Sunday, July 17, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Dylan Bundy vs. Jake Odorizzi
The Baltimore Orioles visit Tropicana Field on Sunday to play the Tampa Bay Rays. The probable starters are Dylan Bundy for the Orioles and Jake Odorizzi for the Rays. The opening line for this matchup has Baltimore at -111 and Tampa Bay at +101. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Orioles have a 45-40-3 over/under record and a 50-38-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 57% of the time. The Rays are 35-54-0 against the run line and have a 39-44-6 over/under record. They cover the spread 39% of the time.
The Orioles head into this matchup with a 52-36 record, including 19-22 on the road. Starting pitcher Dylan Bundy has a 2-1 record with an earned run average of 3.08 and a WHIP of 1.53. He has 32 strikeouts over his 38 innings pitched and he has given up 46 hits so far this season. He has allowed 10.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.71. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.08 and they have given up 281 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .241 against the bullpen while being struck out 283 times and walking 126 times this season. As a team, Baltimore has allowed 9.25 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.58 batters per nine. They are 14th in the league in team earned run average at 4.34. The Orioles pitchers have collectively given up 804 base hits and 377 earned runs. They have allowed 99 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Baltimore as a pitching staff has walked 309 batters and struck out 659. They walk 3.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.42 and their FIP as a unit is 4.43.
As a team, Baltimore is batting .272, good for 4th in the league while putting together a .264 average away from home. The Orioles hold a .467 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .332 which is good for 9th in baseball. They rank 4th in baseball with 9.4 hits per game. Manny Machado comes into this game hitting .317 and his on-base percentage is at .374. He has 110 hits this season along with 63 runs scored and 53 runs batted in. He's struck out 67 times and has walked 30 times. Mark Trumbo is hitting .291 and he has an on-base percentage of .343. He has totaled 102 hits so far while scoring 55 runs and he's driven in 68. He has walked 26 times and has struck out 99 times. The Orioles have 827 hits, including 171 doubles and 139 home runs. They've stolen 12 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 9 times. Baltimore has walked 265 times this season and they've struck out 749 times as a unit. They've left 594 men on base and have a team OPS of .799. They score 5.07 runs per contest and have scored a total of 446 runs so far this year.
Tampa Bay comes into this matchup with a 18-29 home record and a 34-55 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.47, Jake Odorizzi has a 3-5 record and a 1.27 WHIP. He has 98 strikeouts over the 104.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 99 hits. He has allowed 8.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.39. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.76 and they have given up 276 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .266 against the Rays bullpen while being struck out 235 times and walking 96 times this season. As a team, Tampa Bay has allowed 9.08 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.51 batters per nine. They are 25th in the league in team earned run average at 4.57. The Rays pitchers as a team have surrendered 790 base knocks and 397 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 118 home runs this year and they give up 1.4 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Tampa Bay as a staff has walked 270 hitters and struck out 740. They give up a walk 3.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.35 while their FIP as a staff is 4.36.
As a team, they are batting .240, good for 27th in the league while putting together a .232 average at home. The Rays hold a .419 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .307 which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 26th in baseball with 8.09 hits per contest. Evan Longoria comes into this matchup batting .287 and he has an OBP of .338. He has 99 hits this year along with 47 runs scored and 47 RBI. He's struck out 83 times and has walked on 27 occasions. Logan Forsythe is hitting .288 and he has an OBP of .350. He has collected 69 hits so far while he's scored 35 runs and drove in 22. He has earned a walk 20 times and has punched out 56 times. The Rays as a unit have 720 base hits, including 152 doubles and 118 homers. They have 31 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 21 times. Tampa Bay as a team has walked 259 times this year and they have struck out 819 times. They've had 602 men left on base and have an OPS of .726. They score 3.9 runs per game and have totaled 347 runs so far this season.
Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends
The Baltimore Orioles are 45-40-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Baltimore Orioles are 50-38-0 against the run line so far this season
Tampa Bay Rays Betting Trends
The Tampa Bay Rays are 39-44-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Tampa Bay Rays are 35-54-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
07/15/16 LF Hyun-soo Kim Leg "?" Saturday vs. Tampa Bay Rays
07/01/16 P T.J. McFarland Knee 15-day DL (6/29)
06/21/16 P Brian Duensing Elbow 15-day DL (6/20)
06/04/16 P Darren O'Day Hamstring 15-day DL (6/3)
Tampa Bay Rays
07/04/16 LF Desmond Jennings Hamstring 15-day DL (7/1)
06/21/16 CF Mike Mahtook Hand 15-day DL (6/21)
06/21/16 2B Steve Pearce Hamstring 15-day DL (6/21)
06/02/16 P Brad Boxberger Oblique 15-day DL (6/1)
04/10/16 P Chase Whitley Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Alex Cobb Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Josh's Pick: Take the Orioles
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