Saturday, June 11, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Mike Wright vs. J.A. Happ
The Baltimore Orioles head to Rogers Centre on Saturday to take on the Toronto Blue Jays. The probable pitchers are Mike Wright for the Orioles and J.A. Happ for the Blue Jays. The opening line for this game has Baltimore at +140 and Toronto at -150. The over/under is 9.5. The Orioles have a 29-27-3 over/under mark and a 33-26-0 run line record, meaning they cover 56% of the time. The Blue Jays are 32-30-0 against the run line and have a 22-36-4 over/under record. They cover the spread 52% of the time.
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The Orioles head into this game with a 36-23 record, and they are 12-12 on the road. Starting pitcher Mike Wright has a 3-3 record with an ERA of 5.14 and a WHIP of 1.41. He has 40 strikeouts during his 56 innings pitched and he has given up 61 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 9.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.97. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 2.61 and they have allowed 181 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .243 against the pen while they've been struck out 180 times and walked 69 times this year. As a unit, Baltimore has given up 8.98 base hits per nine innings while striking out 7.59 hitters per nine. They are 12th in the Majors in team earned run average at 3.93. The Orioles pitchers have collectively given up 524 base hits and 229 earned runs. They have allowed 59 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Baltimore as a pitching staff has walked 187 batters and struck out 443. They walk 3.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.35 and their FIP as a unit is 4.07.
As a team, Baltimore is hitting .260, good for 11th in the league while putting together a .259 average on the road. The Orioles have a .453 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .326 which is good for 9th in the league. They rank 11th in baseball with 8.81 hits per contest. Manny Machado comes into this game hitting .305 and his on-base percentage is at .375. He has 72 hits this season along with 41 runs scored and 38 runs batted in. He's struck out 47 times and has walked 25 times. Mark Trumbo is hitting .296 and he has an on-base percentage of .347. He has totaled 69 hits so far while scoring 38 runs and he's driven in 48. He has walked 16 times and has struck out 69 times. The Orioles have 520 hits, including 111 doubles and 89 home runs. They've stolen 10 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 6 times. Baltimore has walked 188 times this season and they've struck out 498 times as a unit. They've left 391 men on base and have a team OPS of .779. They score 4.76 runs per contest and have scored a total of 281 runs so far this year.
Toronto comes into this game with a 14-15 home mark and a 32-30 overall record. With an ERA of 3.57, J.A. Happ has a 6-3 record and a 1.19 WHIP. He has 48 strikeouts over the 75.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 66 hits. He has allowed 7.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.48. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.96 and they have given up 163 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .260 against the Blue Jays bullpen while being struck out 150 times and walking 52 times this season. As a team, Toronto has allowed 8.21 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.31 batters per nine. They are 7th in the league in team earned run average at 3.72. The Blue Jays pitchers as a team have surrendered 508 base knocks and 230 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 60 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Toronto as a staff has walked 189 hitters and struck out 452. They give up a walk 3.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.25 while their FIP as a staff is 4.03.
As a team, they are batting .234, good for 26th in the league while putting together a .254 average at home. The Blue Jays hold a .405 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .315 which is good for 19th in baseball. They rank 26th in baseball with 7.84 hits per contest. Josh Donaldson comes into this matchup batting .254 and he has an OBP of .367. He has 57 hits this year along with 47 runs scored and 34 RBI. He's struck out 49 times and has walked on 38 occasions. Edwin Encarnacion is hitting .234 and he has an OBP of .312. He has collected 55 hits so far while he's scored 26 runs and drove in 47. He has earned a walk 24 times and has punched out 56 times. The Blue Jays as a unit have 485 base hits, including 101 doubles and 78 homers. They have 19 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 8 times. Toronto as a team has walked 223 times this year and they have struck out 511 times. They've had 406 men left on base and have an OPS of .719. They score 4.19 runs per game and have totaled 260 runs so far this season.
Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends
The Baltimore Orioles are 29-27-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Baltimore Orioles are 33-26-0 against the run line so far this season
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends
The Toronto Blue Jays are 22-36-4 against the over/under so far this season
The Toronto Blue Jays are 32-30-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
06/04/16 P Darren O'Day Hamstring 15-day DL (6/3)
05/31/16 C Caleb Joseph Groin 15-day DL (5/30)
05/03/16 SS J.J. Hardy Foot 15-day DL (5/2)
04/23/16 P Yovani Gallardo Shoulder 15-day DL (4/23)
Toronto Blue Jays
06/10/16 RF Jose Bautista Hip injured last game, "?" Friday vs. Baltimore Orioles
05/28/16 SS Troy Tulowitzki Quad 15-day DL (5/27)
05/15/16 P Brett Cecil Tricep 15-day DL (5/15)
04/22/16 1B Chris Colabello Suspension expected to miss 80 games
04/10/16 P Franklin Morales Arm 15-day DL (4/7)
04/04/16 P Bo Schultz Hip 15-day DL (3/25)
Josh's Pick: Take the Blue Jays
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