Sunday, June 12, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Ubaldo Jimenez vs. Aaron Sanchez
The Baltimore Orioles visit Rogers Centre on Sunday to play the Toronto Blue Jays. The probable starters are Ubaldo Jimenez for the Orioles and Aaron Sanchez for the Blue Jays. The opening line for this matchup has Baltimore at +153 and Toronto at -163. The over/under was set at 9. The Orioles have a 29-28-3 over/under record and a 34-26-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 57% of the time. The Blue Jays are 32-31-0 against the run line and have a 22-37-4 over/under record. They cover the spread 51% of the time.
The Orioles head into this matchup with a 36-24 record, including 12-13 on the road. Starting pitcher Ubaldo Jimenez has a 3-6 record with an earned run average of 6.21 and a WHIP of 1.89. He has 52 strikeouts over his 62.1 innings pitched and he has given up 83 hits so far this season. He has allowed 12 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.49. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 2.62 and they have given up 183 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .242 against the bullpen while being struck out 183 times and walking 70 times this season. As a team, Baltimore has allowed 9 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.58 batters per nine. They are 10th in the league in team earned run average at 3.91. The Orioles pitchers have collectively given up 534 base hits and 232 earned runs. They have allowed 61 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Baltimore as a pitching staff has walked 190 batters and struck out 450. They walk 3.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.36 and their FIP as a unit is 4.09.
As a team, Baltimore is batting .258, good for 11th in the league while putting together a .254 average away from home. The Orioles hold a .450 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .324 which is good for 11th in baseball. They rank 11th in baseball with 8.73 hits per game. Manny Machado comes into this game hitting .300 and his on-base percentage is at .372. He has 72 hits this season along with 42 runs scored and 38 runs batted in. He's struck out 48 times and has walked 26 times. Mark Trumbo is hitting .292 and he has an on-base percentage of .345. He has totaled 69 hits so far while scoring 38 runs and he's driven in 48. He has walked 17 times and has struck out 70 times. The Orioles have 523 hits, including 111 doubles and 91 home runs. They've stolen 10 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 6 times. Baltimore has walked 193 times this season and they've struck out 508 times as a unit. They've left 397 men on base and have a team OPS of .774. They score 4.73 runs per contest and have scored a total of 284 runs so far this year.
Toronto comes into this matchup with a 15-15 home record and a 33-30 overall mark. With an earned run average of 2.91, Aaron Sanchez has a 5-1 record and a 1.15 WHIP. He has 76 strikeouts over the 80.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 66 hits. He has allowed 7.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 2.89. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.87 and they have given up 163 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .255 against the Blue Jays bullpen while being struck out 152 times and walking 53 times this season. As a team, Toronto has allowed 8.13 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.34 batters per nine. They are 7th in the league in team earned run average at 3.70. The Blue Jays pitchers as a team have surrendered 512 base knocks and 233 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 62 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Toronto as a staff has walked 194 hitters and struck out 462. They give up a walk 3.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.25 while their FIP as a staff is 4.05.
As a team, they are batting .235, good for 26th in the league while putting together a .255 average at home. The Blue Jays hold a .406 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .316 which is good for 19th in baseball. They rank 26th in baseball with 7.87 hits per contest. Josh Donaldson comes into this matchup batting .253 and he has an OBP of .364. He has 58 hits this year along with 47 runs scored and 35 RBI. He's struck out 51 times and has walked on 38 occasions. Edwin Encarnacion is hitting .233 and he has an OBP of .310. He has collected 56 hits so far while he's scored 27 runs and drove in 48. He has earned a walk 24 times and has punched out 57 times. The Blue Jays as a unit have 495 base hits, including 102 doubles and 80 homers. They have 20 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 8 times. Toronto as a team has walked 226 times this year and they have struck out 518 times. They've had 414 men left on base and have an OPS of .721. They score 4.19 runs per game and have totaled 264 runs so far this season.
Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends
The Baltimore Orioles are 29-28-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Baltimore Orioles are 34-26-0 against the run line so far this season
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends
The Toronto Blue Jays are 22-37-4 against the over/under so far this season
The Toronto Blue Jays are 32-31-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
06/11/16 C Matt Wieters Rest is not expected to be in the starting lineup Saturday vs. Toronto Blue Jays
06/04/16 P Darren O'Day Hamstring 15-day DL (6/3)
05/31/16 C Caleb Joseph Groin 15-day DL (5/30)
05/03/16 SS J.J. Hardy Foot 15-day DL (5/2)
04/23/16 P Yovani Gallardo Shoulder 15-day DL (4/23)
Toronto Blue Jays
06/11/16 RF Jose Bautista Hip "?" Sunday vs. Baltimore Orioles
05/28/16 SS Troy Tulowitzki Quad 15-day DL (5/27)
05/15/16 P Brett Cecil Tricep 15-day DL (5/15)
04/22/16 1B Chris Colabello Suspension expected to miss 80 games
04/10/16 P Franklin Morales Arm 15-day DL (4/7)
04/04/16 P Bo Schultz Hip 15-day DL (3/25)
Tony's Pick: Take the Orioles
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