Friday, July 29, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Kevin Gausman vs. Marco Estrada
The Baltimore Orioles head to Rogers Centre on Friday to take on the Toronto Blue Jays. The probable pitchers are Kevin Gausman for the Orioles and Marco Estrada for the Blue Jays. The opening line for this game has Baltimore at +124 and Toronto at -134. The over/under is 9. The Orioles have a 45-52-3 over/under mark and a 54-46-0 run line record, meaning they cover 54% of the time. The Blue Jays are 53-49-0 against the run line and have a 41-56-5 over/under record. They cover the spread 52% of the time.
The Orioles head into this game with a 58-42 record, and they are 21-26 on the road. Starting pitcher Kevin Gausman has a 2-7 record with an ERA of 3.77 and a WHIP of 1.27. He has 95 strikeouts during his 100.1 innings pitched and he has given up 104 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 9.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.1. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 2.99 and they have allowed 301 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .235 against the pen while they've been struck out 311 times and walked 134 times this year. As a unit, Baltimore has given up 8.94 base hits per nine innings while striking out 7.59 hitters per nine. They are 14th in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.19. The Orioles pitchers have collectively given up 881 base hits and 413 earned runs. They have allowed 111 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Baltimore as a pitching staff has walked 343 batters and struck out 748. They walk 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.38 and their FIP as a unit is 4.34.
As a team, Baltimore is hitting .265, good for 7th in the league while putting together a .256 average on the road. The Orioles have a .451 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .325 which is good for 12th in the league. They rank 8th in baseball with 9.09 hits per contest. Mark Trumbo comes into this game hitting .273 and his on-base percentage is at .328. He has 108 hits this season along with 57 runs scored and 73 runs batted in. He's struck out 110 times and has walked 30 times. Manny Machado is hitting .311 and he has an on-base percentage of .369. He has totaled 120 hits so far while scoring 68 runs and he's driven in 57. He has walked 35 times and has struck out 72 times. The Orioles have 909 hits, including 182 doubles and 150 home runs. They've stolen 13 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 9 times. Baltimore has walked 294 times this season and they've struck out 833 times as a unit. They've left 668 men on base and have a team OPS of .776. They score 4.78 runs per contest and have scored a total of 478 runs so far this year.
Toronto comes into this game with a 30-23 home mark and a 57-45 overall record. With an ERA of 2.94, Marco Estrada has a 5-4 record and a 1.01 WHIP. He has 102 strikeouts over the 110.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 71 hits. He has allowed 5.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.08. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.10 and they have given up 275 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .252 against the Blue Jays bullpen while being struck out 272 times and walking 79 times this season. As a team, Toronto has allowed 8.28 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.77 batters per nine. They are 9th in the league in team earned run average at 3.85. The Blue Jays pitchers as a team have surrendered 850 base knocks and 395 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 121 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Toronto as a staff has walked 283 hitters and struck out 797. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.23 while their FIP as a staff is 4.17.
As a team, they are batting .251, good for 18th in the league while putting together a .262 average at home. The Blue Jays hold a .436 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .331 which is good for 7th in baseball. They rank 18th in baseball with 8.53 hits per contest. Edwin Encarnacion comes into this matchup batting .262 and he has an OBP of .353. He has 98 hits this year along with 62 runs scored and 87 RBI. He's struck out 89 times and has walked on 51 occasions. Josh Donaldson is hitting .301 and he has an OBP of .411. He has collected 115 hits so far while he's scored 86 runs and drove in 74. He has earned a walk 67 times and has punched out 74 times. The Blue Jays as a unit have 870 base hits, including 180 doubles and 144 homers. They have 33 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 15 times. Toronto as a team has walked 389 times this year and they have struck out 839 times. They've had 695 men left on base and have an OPS of .767. They score 4.91 runs per game and have totaled 501 runs so far this season.
Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends
The Baltimore Orioles are 45-52-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Baltimore Orioles are 54-46-0 against the run line so far this season
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends
The Toronto Blue Jays are 41-56-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Toronto Blue Jays are 53-49-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
07/22/16 RF Joey Rickard Thumb 15-day DL (7/21)
07/01/16 P T.J. McFarland Knee 15-day DL (6/29)
06/21/16 P Brian Duensing Elbow 15-day DL (6/20)
Toronto Blue Jays
07/02/16 2B Ryan Goins Forearm 15-day DL (7/2)
06/27/16 P Gavin Floyd Shoulder 60-day DL (6/26)
Guy's Pick: Take the Blue Jays
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