Monday, April 25, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Rick Porcello vs. Julio Teheran
The Boston Red Sox visit Turner Field on Monday to play the Atlanta Braves. The probable starters are Rick Porcello for the Red Sox and Julio Teheran for the Braves. The opening line for this matchup has Boston at -136 and Atlanta at +126. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Red Sox have a 9-8-0 over/under record and a 9-8-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 53% of the time. The Braves are 7-10-0 against the run line and have a 11-4-2 over/under record. They cover the spread 41% of the time.
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The Red Sox head into this matchup with a 8-9 record, including 4-3 on the road. Starting pitcher Rick Porcello has a 3-0 record with an earned run average of 4.66 and a WHIP of 0.93. He has 24 strikeouts over his 19.1 innings pitched and he has given up 15 hits so far this season. He has allowed 7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.72. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.01 and they have given up 52 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .231 against the bullpen while being struck out 70 times and walking 32 times this season. As a team, Boston has allowed 8.58 hits per nine innings while striking out 10.19 batters per nine. They are 26th in the league in team earned run average at 4.83. The Red Sox pitchers have collectively given up 144 base hits and 81 earned runs. They have allowed 20 home runs this season and they allow 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. Boston as a pitching staff has walked 68 batters and struck out 171. They walk 4.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 10.2 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.40 and their FIP as a unit is 4.15.
As a team, Boston is batting .273, good for 3rd in the league while putting together a .292 average away from home. The Red Sox hold a .428 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .335 which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 4th in baseball with 9.41 hits per game. David Ortiz comes into this game hitting .286 and his on-base percentage is at .403. He has 16 hits this season along with 7 runs scored and 14 runs batted in. He's struck out 11 times and has walked 11 times. Dustin Pedroia is hitting .310 and he has an on-base percentage of .355. He has totaled 22 hits so far while scoring 12 runs and he's driven in 6. He has walked 5 times and has struck out 13 times. The Red Sox have 160 hits, including 44 doubles and 13 home runs. They've stolen 13 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 1 times. Boston has walked 53 times this season and they've struck out 138 times as a unit. They've left 115 men on base and have a team OPS of .763. They score 4.88 runs per contest and have scored a total of 83 runs so far this year.
Atlanta comes into this matchup with a 1-9 home record and a 4-13 overall mark. With an earned run average of 5.64, Julio Teheran has a 0-2 record and a 1.39 WHIP. He has 17 strikeouts over the 22.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 23 hits. He has allowed 9.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.95. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.75 and they have given up 62 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .259 against the Braves bullpen while being struck out 64 times and walking 37 times this season. As a team, Atlanta has allowed 9.18 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.18 batters per nine. They are 25th in the league in team earned run average at 4.82. The Braves pitchers as a team have surrendered 156 base knocks and 82 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 20 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Atlanta as a staff has walked 68 hitters and struck out 139. They give up a walk 4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.2 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.46 while their FIP as a staff is 4.40.
As a team, they are batting .226, good for 26th in the league while putting together a .233 average at home. The Braves hold a .287 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .303 which is good for 23rd in baseball. They rank 25th in baseball with 7.59 hits per contest. Nick Markakis comes into this matchup batting .279 and he has an OBP of .397. He has 17 hits this year along with 8 runs scored and 13 RBI. He's struck out 11 times and has walked on 10 occasions. Adonis Garcia is hitting .305 and he has an OBP of .388. He has collected 18 hits so far while he's scored 6 runs and drove in 6. He has earned a walk 6 times and has punched out 12 times. The Braves as a unit have 129 base hits, including 26 doubles and 3 homers. They have 8 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 3 times. Atlanta as a team has walked 57 times this year and they have struck out 145 times. They've had 120 men left on base and have an OPS of .590. They score 3.47 runs per game and have totaled 59 runs so far this season.
Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
The Boston Red Sox are 9-8-0 against the over/under so far this season
The Boston Red Sox are 9-8-0 against the run line so far this season
Atlanta Braves Betting Trends
The Atlanta Braves are 11-4-2 against the over/under so far this season
The Atlanta Braves are 7-10-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
Boston Red Sox
04/23/16 SS Xander Bogaerts Wrist "?" Sunday vs. Houston Astros
04/19/16 P Joe Kelly Shoulder 15-day DL (4/19)
04/13/16 3B Pablo Sandoval Shoulder 15-day DL (4/11)
04/04/16 P Brandon Workman Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Carson Smith Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Eduardo Rodrigue Knee 15-day DL (4/2)
04/18/16 3B Gordon Beckham Hamstring 15-day DL (4/17)
04/13/16 2B Hector Olivera Legal problems out indefinitely
04/12/16 P Daniel Winkler Elbow 15-day DL (4/11)
04/11/16 RF Ender Inciarte Hamstring 15-day DL (4/9)
04/04/16 P Andrew McKiraha Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Manuel Banuelos Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Paco Rodrigue Elbow out for season
04/04/16 P Shae Simmons Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
Guy's Pick: Take the Red Sox
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