Tuesday, April 26, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: David Price vs. Matt Wisler
The Boston Red Sox visit Turner Field on Tuesday to play the Atlanta Braves. The probable starters are David Price for the Red Sox and Matt Wisler for the Braves. The opening line for this matchup has Boston at -175 and Atlanta at +165. The over/under was set at 7. The Red Sox have a 10-8-0 over/under record and a 10-8-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 56% of the time. The Braves are 8-10-0 against the run line and have a 11-5-2 over/under record. They cover the spread 44% of the time.
The Red Sox head into this matchup with a 9-9 record, including 5-3 on the road. Starting pitcher David Price has a 2-0 record with an earned run average of 7.06 and a WHIP of 1.39. He has 32 strikeouts over his 21.2 innings pitched and he has given up 24 hits so far this season. He has allowed 10 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.19. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.76 and they have given up 58 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .225 against the bullpen while being struck out 81 times and walking 33 times this season. As a team, Boston has allowed 8.56 hits per nine innings while striking out 10.27 batters per nine. They are 25th in the league in team earned run average at 4.75. The Red Sox pitchers have collectively given up 155 base hits and 86 earned runs. They have allowed 22 home runs this season and they allow 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. Boston as a pitching staff has walked 73 batters and struck out 186. They walk 4 men per 9 innings while striking out 10.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.40 and their FIP as a unit is 4.17.
As a team, Boston is batting .277, good for 2nd in the league while putting together a .298 average away from home. The Red Sox hold a .428 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .339 which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 2nd in baseball with 9.78 hits per game. David Ortiz comes into this game hitting .295 and his on-base percentage is at .411. He has 18 hits this season along with 8 runs scored and 14 runs batted in. He's struck out 11 times and has walked 12 times. Dustin Pedroia is hitting .321 and he has an on-base percentage of .361. He has totaled 25 hits so far while scoring 13 runs and he's driven in 6. He has walked 5 times and has struck out 14 times. The Red Sox have 176 hits, including 47 doubles and 13 home runs. They've stolen 15 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 1 times. Boston has walked 58 times this season and they've struck out 145 times as a unit. They've left 128 men on base and have a team OPS of .767. They score 5 runs per contest and have scored a total of 90 runs so far this year.
Atlanta comes into this matchup with a 1-10 home record and a 4-14 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.10, Matt Wisler has a 0-1 record and a 0.93 WHIP. He has 16 strikeouts over the 20.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 15 hits. He has allowed 6.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.17. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.48 and they have given up 63 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .251 against the Braves bullpen while being struck out 70 times and walking 39 times this season. As a team, Atlanta has allowed 9.06 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.11 batters per nine. They are 24th in the league in team earned run average at 4.72. The Braves pitchers as a team have surrendered 163 base knocks and 85 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 20 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Atlanta as a staff has walked 72 hitters and struck out 146. They give up a walk 4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.45 while their FIP as a staff is 4.34.
As a team, they are batting .232, good for 25th in the league while putting together a .241 average at home. The Braves hold a .289 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .304 which is good for 22nd in baseball. They rank 23rd in baseball with 7.83 hits per contest. Nick Markakis comes into this matchup batting .303 and he has an OBP of .410. He has 20 hits this year along with 8 runs scored and 14 RBI. He's struck out 12 times and has walked on 10 occasions. Adonis Garcia is hitting .317 and he has an OBP of .394. He has collected 20 hits so far while he's scored 6 runs and drove in 6. He has earned a walk 6 times and has punched out 13 times. The Braves as a unit have 141 base hits, including 26 doubles and 3 homers. They have 8 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 3 times. Atlanta as a team has walked 57 times this year and they have struck out 150 times. They've had 129 men left on base and have an OPS of .593. They score 3.39 runs per game and have totaled 61 runs so far this season.
Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
The Boston Red Sox are 10-8-0 against the over/under so far this season
The Boston Red Sox are 10-8-0 against the run line so far this season
Atlanta Braves Betting Trends
The Atlanta Braves are 11-5-2 against the over/under so far this season
The Atlanta Braves are 8-10-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
Boston Red Sox
04/19/16 P Joe Kelly Shoulder 15-day DL (4/19)
04/13/16 3B Pablo Sandoval Shoulder 15-day DL (4/11)
04/04/16 P Brandon Workman Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Carson Smith Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Eduardo Rodrigue Knee 15-day DL (4/2)
04/18/16 3B Gordon Beckham Hamstring 15-day DL (4/17)
04/13/16 2B Hector Olivera Legal problems out indefinitely
04/12/16 P Daniel Winkler Elbow 15-day DL (4/11)
04/11/16 RF Ender Inciarte Hamstring 15-day DL (4/9)
04/04/16 P Andrew McKiraha Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Manuel Banuelos Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Paco Rodrigue Elbow out for season
04/04/16 P Shae Simmons Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
Josh's Pick: Take the Braves
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