Tuesday, May 31, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Eduardo Rodriguez vs. Kevin Gausman
The Boston Red Sox visit Oriole Park on Tuesday to play the Baltimore Orioles. The probable starters are Eduardo Rodriguez for the Red Sox and Kevin Gausman for the Orioles. The opening line for this matchup has Boston at +122 and Baltimore at -132. The over/under was set at 9. The Red Sox have a 28-19-4 over/under record and a 31-20-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 61% of the time. The Orioles are 26-23-0 against the run line and have a 23-23-3 over/under record. They cover the spread 53% of the time.
The Red Sox head into this matchup with a 31-20 record, including 13-10 on the road. Starting pitcher Eduardo Rodriguez is making his season debut for the Sox. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.34 and they have given up 134 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .229 against the bullpen while being struck out 177 times and walking 65 times this season. As a team, Boston has allowed 8.32 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.97 batters per nine. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.21. The Red Sox pitchers have collectively given up 415 base hits and 210 earned runs. They have allowed 51 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Boston as a pitching staff has walked 173 batters and struck out 447. They walk 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.31 and their FIP as a unit is 3.93.
As a team, Boston is batting .295, good for 1st in the league while putting together a .277 average away from home. The Red Sox hold a .483 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .359 which is good for 2nd in baseball. They rank 1st in baseball with 10.52 hits per game. Xander Bogaerts comes into this game hitting .351 and his on-base percentage is at .401. He has 73 hits this season along with 42 runs scored and 28 runs batted in. He's struck out 36 times and has walked 17 times. Dustin Pedroia is hitting .308 and he has an on-base percentage of .369. He has totaled 61 hits so far while scoring 37 runs and he's driven in 24. He has walked 19 times and has struck out 29 times. The Red Sox have 526 hits, including 131 doubles and 58 home runs. They've stolen 35 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 3 times. Boston has walked 170 times this season and they've struck out 375 times as a unit. They've left 367 men on base and have a team OPS of .842. They score 5.9 runs per contest and have scored a total of 295 runs so far this year.
Baltimore comes into this matchup with a 17-9 home record and a 28-21 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.24, Kevin Gausman has a 0-2 record and a 1.13 WHIP. He has 37 strikeouts over the 41.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 38 hits. He has allowed 8.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 2.68 and they have given up 145 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .237 against the Orioles bullpen while being struck out 151 times and walking 61 times this season. As a team, Baltimore has allowed 8.62 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.69 batters per nine. They are 9th in the league in team earned run average at 3.80. The Orioles pitchers as a team have surrendered 408 base knocks and 180 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 43 home runs this year and they give up 0.9 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Baltimore as a staff has walked 158 hitters and struck out 364. They give up a walk 3.3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.33 while their FIP as a staff is 3.94.
As a team, they are batting .259, good for 12th in the league while putting together a .262 average at home. The Orioles hold a .444 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .323 which is good for 11th in baseball. They rank 11th in baseball with 8.85 hits per contest. Manny Machado comes into this matchup batting .320 and he has an OBP of .394. He has 62 hits this year along with 38 runs scored and 29 RBI. He's struck out 40 times and has walked on 23 occasions. Mark Trumbo is hitting .293 and he has an OBP of .341. He has collected 56 hits so far while he's scored 28 runs and drove in 37. He has earned a walk 12 times and has punched out 56 times. The Orioles as a unit have 425 base hits, including 91 doubles and 69 homers. They have 8 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 6 times. Baltimore as a team has walked 150 times this year and they have struck out 415 times. They've had 325 men left on base and have an OPS of .767. They score 4.46 runs per game and have totaled 214 runs so far this season.
Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
The Boston Red Sox are 28-19-4 against the over/under so far this season
The Boston Red Sox are 31-20-0 against the run line so far this season
Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends
The Baltimore Orioles are 23-23-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Baltimore Orioles are 26-23-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
Boston Red Sox
05/20/16 LF Brock Holt Concussion 7-day DL (5/19)
05/20/16 P Carson Smith Elbow 15-day DL (5/15)
05/03/16 3B Pablo Sandoval Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11); out for season
04/04/16 P Brandon Workman Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Eduardo Rodrigue Knee 15-day DL (4/2)
05/03/16 SS J.J. Hardy Foot 15-day DL (5/2)
04/23/16 P Yovani Gallardo Shoulder 15-day DL (4/23)
Guy's Pick: Take the Orioles
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