Wednesday, August 17, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: David Price vs. Chris Tillman
The Boston Red Sox head to Oriole Park on Wednesday to take on the Baltimore Orioles. The probable pitchers are David Price for the Red Sox and Chris Tillman for the Orioles. The opening line for this game has Boston at -116 and Baltimore at +106. The over/under is 9. The Red Sox have a 58-54-5 over/under mark and a 57-60-0 run line record, meaning they cover 49% of the time. The Orioles are 62-55-0 against the run line and have a 52-62-3 over/under record. They cover the spread 53% of the time.
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The Red Sox head into this game with a 65-52 record, and they are 27-25 on the road. Starting pitcher David Price has a 10-8 record with an ERA of 4.29 and a WHIP of 1.28. He has 167 strikeouts during his 163.2 innings pitched and he has given up 173 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 9.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.49. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.86 and they have allowed 310 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .237 against the pen while they've been struck out 368 times and walked 140 times this year. As a unit, Boston has given up 8.72 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.36 hitters per nine. They are 19th in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.24. The Red Sox pitchers have collectively given up 1,011 base hits and 491 earned runs. They have allowed 132 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Boston as a pitching staff has walked 366 batters and struck out 969. They walk 3.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.32 and their FIP as a unit is 4.12.
As a team, Boston is hitting .285, good for 1st in the league while putting together a .263 average on the road. The Red Sox have a .468 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .350 which is good for 1st in the league. They rank 1st in baseball with 10.03 hits per contest. Mookie Betts comes into this game hitting .313 and his on-base percentage is at .354. He has 155 hits this season along with 91 runs scored and 84 runs batted in. He's struck out 67 times and has walked 32 times. Xander Bogaerts is hitting .312 and he has an on-base percentage of .367. He has totaled 148 hits so far while scoring 82 runs and he's driven in 69. He has walked 38 times and has struck out 82 times. The Red Sox have 1,173 hits, including 262 doubles and 150 home runs. They've stolen 65 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 16 times. Boston has walked 394 times this season and they've struck out 829 times as a unit. They've left 849 men on base and have a team OPS of .818. They score 5.5 runs per contest and have scored a total of 643 runs so far this year.
Baltimore comes into this game with a 39-17 home mark and a 66-51 overall record. With an ERA of 3.46, Chris Tillman has a 15-4 record and a 1.21 WHIP. He has 126 strikeouts over the 151 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 130 hits. He has allowed 7.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.06. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.15 and they have given up 345 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .233 against the Orioles bullpen while being struck out 361 times and walking 161 times this season. As a team, Baltimore has allowed 8.82 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.71 batters per nine. They are 14th in the league in team earned run average at 4.18. The Orioles pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,014 base knocks and 481 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 128 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Baltimore as a staff has walked 407 hitters and struck out 887. They give up a walk 3.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.37 while their FIP as a staff is 4.30.
As a team, they are batting .263, good for 8th in the league while putting together a .272 average at home. The Orioles hold a .447 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .323 which is good for 15th in baseball. They rank 8th in baseball with 9.02 hits per contest. Manny Machado comes into this matchup batting .305 and he has an OBP of .363. He has 139 hits this year along with 81 runs scored and 69 RBI. He's struck out 82 times and has walked on 41 occasions. Adam Jones is hitting .276 and he has an OBP of .319. He has collected 126 hits so far while he's scored 70 runs and drove in 69. He has earned a walk 29 times and has punched out 85 times. The Orioles as a unit have 1,054 base hits, including 205 doubles and 176 homers. They have 14 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 9 times. Baltimore as a team has walked 339 times this year and they have struck out 966 times. They've had 773 men left on base and have an OPS of .769. They score 4.69 runs per game and have totaled 549 runs so far this season.
Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
The Boston Red Sox are 58-54-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Boston Red Sox are 57-60-0 against the run line so far this season
Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends
The Baltimore Orioles are 52-62-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Baltimore Orioles are 62-55-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
Boston Red Sox
08/15/16 1B Hanley Ramirez Personal out indefinitely
08/15/16 P Steven Wright Shoulder 15-day DL (8/8)
08/06/16 C Ryan Hanigan Ankle 15-day DL (8/5)
07/20/16 P Koji Uehara Pectoral 15-day DL (7/20)
06/24/16 LF Chris Young Hamstring 15-day DL (6/23)
06/17/16 2B Josh Rutledge Knee 60-day DL (6/15)
06/07/16 P Carson Smith Elbow 60-day DL (5/15)
06/06/16 C Blake Swihart Ankle 60-day DL (6/5)
05/03/16 3B Pablo Sandoval Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11); out for season
04/04/16 P Brandon Workman Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
08/15/16 RF Steve Pearce Elbow probable Tuesday vs. Boston Red Sox
08/13/16 P Darren O'Day Shoulder 15-day DL (8/12)
07/22/16 RF Joey Rickard Thumb 15-day DL (7/21)
07/01/16 P T.J. McFarland Knee 15-day DL (6/29)
06/21/16 P Brian Duensing Elbow 15-day DL (6/20)
Tony's Pick: Take the Orioles
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