Tuesday, September 20, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Eduardo Rodriguez vs. Kevin Gausman
The Boston Red Sox visit Oriole Park on Tuesday to play the Baltimore Orioles. The probable starters are Eduardo Rodriguez for the Red Sox and Kevin Gausman for the Orioles. The opening line for this matchup has Boston at +117 and Baltimore at -127. The over/under was set at 9. The Red Sox have a 75-67-7 over/under record and a 76-73-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 51% of the time. The Orioles are 77-72-0 against the run line and have a 65-80-4 over/under record. They cover the spread 52% of the time.
The Red Sox head into this matchup with a 85-64 record, including 39-32 on the road. Starting pitcher Eduardo Rodriguez has a 2-7 record with an earned run average of 4.98 and a WHIP of 1.34. He has 71 strikeouts over his 90.1 innings pitched and he has given up 89 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.86. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.61 and they have given up 384 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .233 against the bullpen while being struck out 469 times and walking 173 times this season. As a team, Boston has allowed 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.44 batters per nine. They are 13th in the league in team earned run average at 4.08. The Red Sox pitchers have collectively given up 1,250 base hits and 600 earned runs. They have allowed 165 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Boston as a pitching staff has walked 447 batters and struck out 1,242. They walk 3 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.28 and their FIP as a unit is 4.04.
As a team, Boston is batting .286, good for 1st in the league while putting together a .268 average away from home. The Red Sox hold a .470 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .352 which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 1st in baseball with 10.07 hits per game. Mookie Betts comes into this game hitting .314 and his on-base percentage is at .354. He has 197 hits this season along with 112 runs scored and 106 runs batted in. He's struck out 80 times and has walked 41 times. Xander Bogaerts is hitting .298 and he has an on-base percentage of .357. He has totaled 180 hits so far while scoring 110 runs and he's driven in 88. He has walked 52 times and has struck out 112 times. The Red Sox have 1,500 hits, including 330 doubles and 195 home runs. They've stolen 78 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 22 times. Boston has walked 507 times this season and they've struck out 1,071 times as a unit. They've left 1,073 men on base and have a team OPS of .821. They score 5.57 runs per contest and have scored a total of 830 runs so far this year.
Baltimore comes into this matchup with a 47-27 home record and a 82-67 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.43, Kevin Gausman has a 8-10 record and a 1.26 WHIP. He has 161 strikeouts over the 160 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 158 hits. He has allowed 8.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.9. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.57 and they have given up 471 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .246 against the Orioles bullpen while being struck out 463 times and walking 197 times this season. As a team, Baltimore has allowed 8.97 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.8 batters per nine. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.36. The Orioles pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,310 base knocks and 637 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 173 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Baltimore as a staff has walked 506 hitters and struck out 1,139. They give up a walk 3.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.38 while their FIP as a staff is 4.38.
As a team, they are batting .259, good for 11th in the league while putting together a .265 average at home. The Orioles hold a .449 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .320 which is good for 18th in baseball. They rank 13th in baseball with 8.83 hits per contest. Manny Machado comes into this matchup batting .303 and he has an OBP of .353. He has 179 hits this year along with 101 runs scored and 93 RBI. He's struck out 108 times and has walked on 45 occasions. Adam Jones is hitting .277 and he has an OBP of .320. He has collected 156 hits so far while he's scored 83 runs and drove in 80. He has earned a walk 35 times and has punched out 105 times. The Orioles as a unit have 1,315 base hits, including 250 doubles and 236 homers. They have 17 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 11 times. Baltimore as a team has walked 430 times this year and they have struck out 1,212 times. They've had 973 men left on base and have an OPS of .769. They score 4.7 runs per game and have totaled 701 runs so far this season.
Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
The Boston Red Sox are 75-67-7 against the over/under so far this season
The Boston Red Sox are 76-73-0 against the run line so far this season
Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends
The Baltimore Orioles are 65-80-4 against the over/under so far this season
The Baltimore Orioles are 77-72-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
Boston Red Sox
09/19/16 DH David Ortiz Foot is upgraded to expected to be in the starting lineup Monday vs. Baltimore Orioles
09/07/16 P Steven Wright Shoulder out indefinitely
06/17/16 2B Josh Rutledge Knee 60-day DL (6/15)
06/07/16 P Carson Smith Elbow 60-day DL (5/15)
06/06/16 C Blake Swihart Ankle 60-day DL (6/5)
05/03/16 3B Pablo Sandoval Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11); out for season
04/04/16 P Brandon Workman Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
09/18/16 RF Steve Pearce Elbow 60-day DL (9/18)
09/01/16 RF Joey Rickard Thumb 60-day DL (7/21)
Josh's Pick: Take the Red Sox
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