Wednesday, September 21, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Clay Buchholz vs. Ubaldo Jimenez
The Boston Red Sox head to Oriole Park on Wednesday to take on the Baltimore Orioles. The probable pitchers are Clay Buchholz for the Red Sox and Ubaldo Jimenez for the Orioles. The opening line for this game has Boston at -115 and Baltimore at +105. The over/under is 10. The Red Sox have a 75-68-7 over/under mark and a 77-73-0 run line record, meaning they cover 51% of the time. The Orioles are 77-73-0 against the run line and have a 65-81-4 over/under record. They cover the spread 51% of the time.
The Red Sox head into this game with a 86-64 record, and they are 40-32 on the road. Starting pitcher Clay Buchholz has a 7-10 record with an ERA of 5.20 and a WHIP of 1.40. He has 83 strikeouts during his 126.1 innings pitched and he has given up 126 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.31. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.61 and they have allowed 384 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .233 against the pen while they've been struck out 469 times and walked 173 times this year. As a unit, Boston has given up 8.47 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.43 hitters per nine. They are 12th in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.06. The Red Sox pitchers have collectively given up 1,254 base hits and 602 earned runs. They have allowed 166 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Boston as a pitching staff has walked 447 batters and struck out 1,249. They walk 3 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.28 and their FIP as a unit is 4.03.
As a team, Boston is hitting .286, good for 1st in the league while putting together a .268 average on the road. The Red Sox have a .470 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .351 which is good for 1st in the league. They rank 1st in baseball with 10.06 hits per contest. Mookie Betts comes into this game hitting .314 and his on-base percentage is at .356. He has 198 hits this season along with 113 runs scored and 108 runs batted in. He's struck out 80 times and has walked 43 times. Xander Bogaerts is hitting .297 and he has an on-base percentage of .357. He has totaled 181 hits so far while scoring 111 runs and he's driven in 88. He has walked 52 times and has struck out 112 times. The Red Sox have 1,509 hits, including 331 doubles and 197 home runs. They've stolen 79 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 23 times. Boston has walked 509 times this season and they've struck out 1,075 times as a unit. They've left 1,078 men on base and have a team OPS of .821. They score 5.57 runs per contest and have scored a total of 835 runs so far this year.
Baltimore comes into this game with a 47-28 home mark and a 82-68 overall record. With an ERA of 5.94, Ubaldo Jimenez has a 7-11 record and a 1.61 WHIP. He has 112 strikeouts over the 130.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 145 hits. He has allowed 10 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.58. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.55 and they have given up 474 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .246 against the Orioles bullpen while being struck out 464 times and walking 197 times this season. As a team, Baltimore has allowed 8.97 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.78 batters per nine. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.37. The Orioles pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,319 base knocks and 642 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 175 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Baltimore as a staff has walked 508 hitters and struck out 1,143. They give up a walk 3.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.38 while their FIP as a staff is 4.39.
As a team, they are batting .258, good for 12th in the league while putting together a .263 average at home. The Orioles hold a .448 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .319 which is good for 20th in baseball. They rank 14th in baseball with 8.8 hits per contest. Manny Machado comes into this matchup batting .302 and he has an OBP of .352. He has 179 hits this year along with 102 runs scored and 93 RBI. He's struck out 110 times and has walked on 45 occasions. Adam Jones is hitting .276 and he has an OBP of .319. He has collected 157 hits so far while he's scored 84 runs and drove in 81. He has earned a walk 35 times and has punched out 105 times. The Orioles as a unit have 1,319 base hits, including 251 doubles and 237 homers. They have 17 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 11 times. Baltimore as a team has walked 430 times this year and they have struck out 1,219 times. They've had 976 men left on base and have an OPS of .766. They score 4.69 runs per game and have totaled 703 runs so far this season.
Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
The Boston Red Sox are 75-68-7 against the over/under so far this season
The Boston Red Sox are 77-73-0 against the run line so far this season
Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends
The Baltimore Orioles are 65-81-4 against the over/under so far this season
The Baltimore Orioles are 77-73-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
Boston Red Sox
09/07/16 P Steven Wright Shoulder out indefinitely
06/17/16 2B Josh Rutledge Knee 60-day DL (6/15)
06/07/16 P Carson Smith Elbow 60-day DL (5/15)
06/06/16 C Blake Swihart Ankle 60-day DL (6/5)
05/03/16 3B Pablo Sandoval Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11); out for season
04/04/16 P Brandon Workman Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
09/18/16 RF Steve Pearce Elbow 60-day DL (9/18)
09/01/16 RF Joey Rickard Thumb 60-day DL (7/21)
Josh's Pick: Take the Orioles
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