Thursday, September 22, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: David Price vs. Chris Tillman
The Boston Red Sox visit Oriole Park on Thursday to play the Baltimore Orioles. The probable starters are David Price for the Red Sox and Chris Tillman for the Orioles. The opening line for this matchup has Boston at -138 and Baltimore at +128. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Red Sox have a 75-69-7 over/under record and a 78-73-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 52% of the time. The Orioles are 77-74-0 against the run line and have a 65-82-4 over/under record. They cover the spread 51% of the time.
The Red Sox head into this matchup with a 87-64 record, including 41-32 on the road. Starting pitcher David Price has a 16-8 record with an earned run average of 3.91 and a WHIP of 1.18. He has 217 strikeouts over his 211.2 innings pitched and he has given up 205 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.34. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.59 and they have given up 386 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .233 against the bullpen while being struck out 471 times and walking 174 times this season. As a team, Boston has allowed 8.45 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.44 batters per nine. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 4.05. The Red Sox pitchers have collectively given up 1,260 base hits and 604 earned runs. They have allowed 167 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Boston as a pitching staff has walked 449 batters and struck out 1,258. They walk 3 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.27 and their FIP as a unit is 4.02.
As a team, Boston is batting .286, good for 1st in the league while putting together a .268 average away from home. The Red Sox hold a .470 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .351 which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 1st in baseball with 10.07 hits per game. Mookie Betts comes into this game hitting .317 and his on-base percentage is at .358. He has 201 hits this season along with 115 runs scored and 108 runs batted in. He's struck out 80 times and has walked 43 times. Xander Bogaerts is hitting .296 and he has an on-base percentage of .356. He has totaled 182 hits so far while scoring 111 runs and he's driven in 88. He has walked 52 times and has struck out 115 times. The Red Sox have 1,520 hits, including 332 doubles and 199 home runs. They've stolen 79 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 23 times. Boston has walked 510 times this season and they've struck out 1,083 times as a unit. They've left 1,085 men on base and have a team OPS of .821. They score 5.56 runs per contest and have scored a total of 840 runs so far this year.
Baltimore comes into this matchup with a 47-29 home record and a 82-69 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.72, Chris Tillman has a 16-6 record and a 1.24 WHIP. He has 136 strikeouts over the 164.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 144 hits. He has allowed 7.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.2. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.53 and they have given up 475 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .245 against the Orioles bullpen while being struck out 467 times and walking 197 times this season. As a team, Baltimore has allowed 8.99 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.78 batters per nine. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.37. The Orioles pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,330 base knocks and 647 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 177 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Baltimore as a staff has walked 509 hitters and struck out 1,151. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.38 while their FIP as a staff is 4.39.
As a team, they are batting .257, good for 13th in the league while putting together a .262 average at home. The Orioles hold a .447 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .318 which is good for 20th in baseball. They rank 14th in baseball with 8.78 hits per contest. Manny Machado comes into this matchup batting .300 and he has an OBP of .351. He has 179 hits this year along with 102 runs scored and 93 RBI. He's struck out 110 times and has walked on 46 occasions. Adam Jones is hitting .274 and he has an OBP of .317. He has collected 157 hits so far while he's scored 84 runs and drove in 81. He has earned a walk 35 times and has punched out 106 times. The Orioles as a unit have 1,325 base hits, including 252 doubles and 238 homers. They have 17 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 11 times. Baltimore as a team has walked 432 times this year and they have struck out 1,228 times. They've had 982 men left on base and have an OPS of .765. They score 4.67 runs per game and have totaled 705 runs so far this season.
Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
The Boston Red Sox are 75-69-7 against the over/under so far this season
The Boston Red Sox are 78-73-0 against the run line so far this season
Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends
The Baltimore Orioles are 65-82-4 against the over/under so far this season
The Baltimore Orioles are 77-74-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
Boston Red Sox
09/20/16 LF Brock Holt Personal expected to miss Wednesday vs. Baltimore Orioles
09/07/16 P Steven Wright Shoulder out indefinitely
06/17/16 2B Josh Rutledge Knee 60-day DL (6/15)
06/07/16 P Carson Smith Elbow 60-day DL (5/15)
06/06/16 C Blake Swihart Ankle 60-day DL (6/5)
05/03/16 3B Pablo Sandoval Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11); out for season
04/04/16 P Brandon Workman Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
09/18/16 RF Steve Pearce Elbow 60-day DL (9/18)
09/01/16 RF Joey Rickard Thumb 60-day DL (7/21)
Josh's Pick: Take the Red Sox
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