Thursday, October 6, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Rick Porcello vs. Trevor Bauer
The Boston Red Sox visit Progressive Field on Thursday to play the Cleveland Indians. The probable starters are Rick Porcello for the Red Sox and Trevor Bauer for the Indians. The Red Sox have a 77-78-7 over/under record and a 83-79-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 51% of the time. The Indians are 75-86-0 against the run line and have a 80-70-11 over/under record. They cover the spread 47% of the time.
The Red Sox head into this matchup with a 93-69 record, including 46-35 on the road. Starting pitcher Rick Porcello has a 22-4 record with an earned run average of 3.15 and a WHIP of 1.01. He has 189 strikeouts over his 223 innings pitched and he has given up 193 hits so far this season. He has allowed 7.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.4. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.56 and they have given up 411 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .231 against the bullpen while being struck out 507 times and walking 193 times this season. As a team, Boston has allowed 8.38 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.51 batters per nine. They are 9th in the league in team earned run average at 4.00. The Red Sox pitchers have collectively given up 1,341 base hits and 640 earned runs. They have allowed 176 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Boston as a pitching staff has walked 490 batters and struck out 1,362. They walk 3.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.27 and their FIP as a unit is 4.00.
As a team, Boston is batting .282, good for 1st in the league while putting together a .264 average away from home. The Red Sox hold a .461 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .348 which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 1st in baseball with 9.86 hits per game. Mookie Betts comes into this game hitting .318 and his on-base percentage is at .363. He has 214 hits this season along with 122 runs scored and 113 runs batted in. He's struck out 80 times and has walked 49 times. Xander Bogaerts is hitting .294 and he has an on-base percentage of .356. He has totaled 192 hits so far while scoring 115 runs and he's driven in 89. He has walked 58 times and has struck out 123 times. The Red Sox have 1,598 hits, including 343 doubles and 208 home runs. They've stolen 83 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 24 times. Boston has walked 558 times this season and they've struck out 1,160 times as a unit. They've left 1,162 men on base and have a team OPS of .810. They score 5.42 runs per contest and have scored a total of 878 runs so far this year.
Cleveland comes into this matchup with a 53-28 home record and a 94-67 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.26, Trevor Bauer has a 12-8 record and a 1.31 WHIP. He has 168 strikeouts over the 190 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 179 hits. He has allowed 8.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.99. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.45 and they have given up 443 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .231 against the Indians bullpen while being struck out 514 times and walking 190 times this season. As a team, Cleveland has allowed 8.28 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.71 batters per nine. They are 7th in the league in team earned run average at 3.84. The Indians pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,330 base knocks and 617 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 186 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Cleveland as a staff has walked 461 hitters and struck out 1,398. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.24 while their FIP as a staff is 3.91.
As a team, they are batting .262, good for 6th in the league while putting together a .288 average at home. The Indians hold a .430 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .329 which is good for 8th in baseball. They rank 9th in baseball with 8.91 hits per contest. Francisco Lindor comes into this matchup batting .301 and he has an OBP of .358. He has 182 hits this year along with 99 runs scored and 78 RBI. He's struck out 88 times and has walked on 57 occasions. Jason Kipnis is hitting .275 and he has an OBP of .343. He has collected 168 hits so far while he's scored 91 runs and drove in 82. He has earned a walk 60 times and has punched out 146 times. The Indians as a unit have 1,435 base hits, including 308 doubles and 185 homers. They have 134 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 31 times. Cleveland as a team has walked 531 times this year and they have struck out 1,246 times. They've had 1,084 men left on base and have an OPS of .759. They score 4.83 runs per game and have totaled 777 runs so far this season.
Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
The Boston Red Sox are 77-78-7 against the over/under so far this season
The Boston Red Sox are 83-79-0 against the run line so far this season
Cleveland Indians Betting Trends
The Cleveland Indians are 80-70-11 against the over/under so far this season
The Cleveland Indians are 75-86-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
Boston Red Sox
09/07/16 P Steven Wright Shoulder out indefinitely
06/17/16 2B Josh Rutledge Knee 60-day DL (6/15)
06/07/16 P Carson Smith Elbow 60-day DL (5/15)
06/06/16 C Blake Swihart Ankle 60-day DL (6/5)
05/03/16 3B Pablo Sandoval Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11); out for season
04/04/16 P Brandon Workman Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
10/03/16 P Corey Kluber Quad expected to start Friday vs. Boston Red Sox
10/01/16 P Carlos Carrasco Hand 60-day DL (9/17), out for season
09/13/16 P Danny Salazar Forearm out indefinitely
07/18/16 P Tommy Hunter Back 15-day DL (7/10)
07/07/16 P Zach McAllister Hip 15-day DL (7/6)
06/01/16 LF Marlon Byrd Suspension out for season
05/14/16 LF Michael Brantley Shoulder 60-day DL (5/10); out for season
Guy's Pick: Take the Red Sox
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