Friday, July 29, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Rick Porcello vs. Tim Lincecum
The Boston Red Sox head to Angel Stadium on Friday to take on the Los Angeles Angels. The probable pitchers are Rick Porcello for the Red Sox and Tim Lincecum for the Angels. The opening line for this game has Boston at -123 and Los Angeles at +113. The over/under is 8. The Red Sox have a 52-42-5 over/under mark and a 49-50-0 run line record, meaning they cover 50% of the time. The Angels are 48-54-0 against the run line and have a 43-56-3 over/under record. They cover the spread 47% of the time.
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The Red Sox head into this game with a 55-44 record, and they are 21-19 on the road. Starting pitcher Rick Porcello has a 13-2 record with an ERA of 3.57 and a WHIP of 1.15. He has 108 strikeouts during his 126 innings pitched and he has given up 121 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 8.6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.68. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.84 and they have allowed 272 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .234 against the pen while they've been struck out 324 times and walked 117 times this year. As a unit, Boston has given up 8.88 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.43 hitters per nine. They are 22nd in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.42. The Red Sox pitchers have collectively given up 873 base hits and 435 earned runs. They have allowed 115 home runs this season and they allow 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. Boston as a pitching staff has walked 313 batters and struck out 829. They walk 3.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.34 and their FIP as a unit is 4.18.
As a team, Boston is hitting .290, good for 1st in the league while putting together a .273 average on the road. The Red Sox have a .477 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .355 which is good for 1st in the league. They rank 1st in baseball with 10.26 hits per contest. Mookie Betts comes into this game hitting .304 and his on-base percentage is at .344. He has 130 hits this season along with 80 runs scored and 65 runs batted in. He's struck out 59 times and has walked 26 times. Xander Bogaerts is hitting .331 and he has an on-base percentage of .388. He has totaled 135 hits so far while scoring 76 runs and he's driven in 63. He has walked 36 times and has struck out 65 times. The Red Sox have 1,016 hits, including 235 doubles and 127 home runs. They've stolen 61 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 11 times. Boston has walked 339 times this season and they've struck out 693 times as a unit. They've left 730 men on base and have a team OPS of .832. They score 5.66 runs per contest and have scored a total of 560 runs so far this year.
Los Angeles comes into this game with a 22-26 home mark and a 45-56 overall record. With an ERA of 8.70, Tim Lincecum has a 2-4 record and a 2.30 WHIP. He has 28 strikeouts over the 30 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 54 hits. He has allowed 16.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 6.87. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.83 and they have given up 326 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .253 against the Angels bullpen while being struck out 261 times and walking 114 times this season. As a team, Los Angeles has allowed 7.34 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.49 batters per nine. They are 4th in the league in team earned run average at 3.49. The Angels pitchers as a team have surrendered 929 base knocks and 436 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 134 home runs this year and they give up 1.4 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Los Angeles as a staff has walked 311 hitters and struck out 715. They give up a walk 3.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.2 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.40 while their FIP as a staff is 4.67.
As a team, they are batting .244, good for 24th in the league while putting together a .235 average at home. The Angels hold a .395 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .317 which is good for 19th in baseball. They rank 23rd in baseball with 8.32 hits per contest. Kole Calhoun comes into this matchup batting .279 and he has an OBP of .360. He has 105 hits this year along with 63 runs scored and 54 RBI. He's struck out 72 times and has walked on 46 occasions. Mike Trout is hitting .314 and he has an OBP of .427. He has collected 113 hits so far while he's scored 79 runs and drove in 65. He has earned a walk 69 times and has punched out 82 times. The Angels as a unit have 925 base hits, including 185 doubles and 95 homers. They have 39 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 20 times. Los Angeles as a team has walked 302 times this year and they have struck out 595 times. They've had 672 men left on base and have an OPS of .744. They score 4.68 runs per game and have totaled 473 runs so far this season.
Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
The Boston Red Sox are 52-42-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Boston Red Sox are 49-50-0 against the run line so far this season
Los Angeles Angels Betting Trends
The Los Angeles Angels are 43-56-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Los Angeles Angels are 48-54-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
Boston Red Sox
07/27/16 C Ryan Hanigan Flu "?" Thursday vs. Los Angeles Angels
07/20/16 P Koji Uehara Pectoral 15-day DL (7/20)
07/10/16 P Sean O'Sullivan Knee 15-day DL (7/10)
07/09/16 P Craig Kimbrel Knee 15-day DL (7/7)
06/24/16 LF Chris Young Hamstring 15-day DL (6/23)
06/17/16 2B Josh Rutledge Knee 60-day DL (6/15)
06/07/16 P Carson Smith Elbow 60-day DL (5/15)
06/06/16 C Blake Swihart Ankle 60-day DL (6/5)
05/03/16 3B Pablo Sandoval Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11); out for season
04/04/16 P Brandon Workman Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Los Angeles Angels
07/20/16 P Nick Tropeano Elbow 15-day DL (7/19)
07/19/16 2B Cliff Pennington Hamstring 60-day DL (6/1)
07/19/16 C Geovany Soto Knee 15-day DL (7/16)
07/09/16 1B C.J. Cron Hand 15-day DL (7/8)
07/06/16 LF Shane Robinson Ankle 15-day DL (7/6)
06/14/16 P Cory Rasmus Groin 60-day DL (6/14)
05/10/16 P Garrett Richards Elbow 60-day DL (5/2)
05/02/16 LF Craig Gentry Back 60-day DL (4/26)
04/06/16 P Andrew Heaney Elbow 60-day DL (4/4), out for season
04/03/16 P C.J. Wilson Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25), out for season
Tony's Pick: Take the Angels
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