Saturday, June 11, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Eduardo Rodriguez vs. Kyle Gibson
The Boston Red Sox visit Target Field on Saturday to play the Minnesota Twins. The probable starters are Eduardo Rodriguez for the Red Sox and Kyle Gibson for the Twins. The opening line for this matchup has Boston at -137 and Minnesota at +127. The over/under was set at 9.5. The Red Sox have a 32-23-4 over/under record and a 34-25-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 58% of the time. The Twins are 25-34-0 against the run line and have a 34-22-3 over/under record. They cover the spread 42% of the time.
The Red Sox head into this matchup with a 34-25 record, including 15-13 on the road. Starting pitcher Eduardo Rodriguez has a 1-1 record with an earned run average of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.11. He has 3 strikeouts over his 11.2 innings pitched and he has given up 10 hits so far this season. He has allowed 7.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 7.84. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.64 and they have given up 151 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .224 against the bullpen while being struck out 202 times and walking 76 times this season. As a team, Boston has allowed 8.12 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.65 batters per nine. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.32. The Red Sox pitchers have collectively given up 475 base hits and 252 earned runs. They have allowed 67 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Boston as a pitching staff has walked 207 batters and struck out 507. They walk 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.29 and their FIP as a unit is 4.20.
As a team, Boston is batting .290, good for 1st in the league while putting together a .278 average away from home. The Red Sox hold a .482 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .355 which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 1st in baseball with 10.34 hits per game. Xander Bogaerts comes into this game hitting .340 and his on-base percentage is at .390. He has 84 hits this season along with 46 runs scored and 36 runs batted in. He's struck out 44 times and has walked 20 times. Dustin Pedroia is hitting .314 and he has an on-base percentage of .375. He has totaled 74 hits so far while scoring 41 runs and he's driven in 26. He has walked 23 times and has struck out 34 times. The Red Sox have 610 hits, including 152 doubles and 73 home runs. They've stolen 43 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 5 times. Boston has walked 204 times this season and they've struck out 437 times as a unit. They've left 432 men on base and have a team OPS of .837. They score 5.8 runs per contest and have scored a total of 342 runs so far this year.
Minnesota comes into this matchup with a 11-19 home record and a 18-41 overall mark. With an earned run average of 6.10, Kyle Gibson has a 0-3 record and a 1.74 WHIP. He has 11 strikeouts over the 20.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 24 hits. He has allowed 10.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.35. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.42 and they have given up 225 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .276 against the Twins bullpen while being struck out 210 times and walking 64 times this season. As a team, Minnesota has allowed 10.25 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.05 batters per nine. They are 29th in the league in team earned run average at 5.08. The Twins pitchers as a team have surrendered 595 base knocks and 295 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 83 home runs this year and they give up 1.4 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Minnesota as a staff has walked 161 hitters and struck out 467. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.45 while their FIP as a staff is 4.42.
As a team, they are batting .244, good for 19th in the league while putting together a .254 average at home. The Twins hold a .396 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .311 which is good for 22nd in baseball. They rank 18th in baseball with 8.36 hits per contest. Joe Mauer comes into this matchup batting .281 and he has an OBP of .388. He has 59 hits this year along with 23 runs scored and 22 RBI. He's struck out 40 times and has walked on 37 occasions. Eduardo Nunez is hitting .332 and he has an OBP of .357. He has collected 65 hits so far while he's scored 30 runs and drove in 24. He has earned a walk 6 times and has punched out 31 times. The Twins as a unit have 493 base hits, including 98 doubles and 64 homers. They have 37 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 13 times. Minnesota as a team has walked 178 times this year and they have struck out 524 times. They've had 417 men left on base and have an OPS of .707. They score 3.81 runs per game and have totaled 225 runs so far this season.
Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
The Boston Red Sox are 32-23-4 against the over/under so far this season
The Boston Red Sox are 34-25-0 against the run line so far this season
Minnesota Twins Betting Trends
The Minnesota Twins are 34-22-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Minnesota Twins are 25-34-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
Boston Red Sox
06/07/16 P Carson Smith Elbow 60-day DL (5/15)
06/06/16 C Blake Swihart Ankle 15-day DL (6/5)
06/06/16 C Ryan Hanigan Neck 15-day DL (6/5)
06/05/16 LF Brock Holt Concussion 15-day DL (6/2)
05/03/16 3B Pablo Sandoval Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11); out for season
04/04/16 P Brandon Workman Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
06/10/16 LF Oswaldo Arcia Foot "?" Friday vs. Boston Red Sox
05/31/16 CF Danny Santana Hamstring 15-day DL (5/31)
05/31/16 3B Miguel Sano Hamstring 15-day DL (6/1)
05/25/16 RF Darin Mastroianni Oblique 15-day DL (5/22)
04/27/16 P Kyle Gibson Back 15-day DL (4/23)
04/13/16 P Glen Perkins Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11)
Guy's Pick: Take the Red Sox
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