Friday, May 6, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Rick Porcello vs. Michael Pineda
The Boston Red Sox visit Yankee Stadium on Friday to play the New York Yankees. The probable starters are Rick Porcello for the Red Sox and Michael Pineda for the Yankees. The opening line for this matchup has Boston at +105 and New York at -115. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Red Sox have a 13-13-1 over/under record and a 15-12-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 56% of the time. The Yankees are 10-15-0 against the run line and have a 9-13-3 over/under record. They cover the spread 40% of the time.
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The Red Sox head into this matchup with a 16-11 record, including 8-4 on the road. Starting pitcher Rick Porcello has a 5-0 record with an earned run average of 2.76 and a WHIP of 0.92. He has 36 strikeouts over his 32.2 innings pitched and he has given up 24 hits so far this season. He has allowed 6.6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.59. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.65 and they have given up 70 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .214 against the bullpen while being struck out 99 times and walking 41 times this season. As a team, Boston has allowed 7.89 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.56 batters per nine. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.19. The Red Sox pitchers have collectively given up 213 base hits and 113 earned runs. They have allowed 26 home runs this season and they allow 1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Boston as a pitching staff has walked 103 batters and struck out 258. They walk 3.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.30 and their FIP as a unit is 3.82.
As a team, Boston is batting .281, good for 2nd in the league while putting together a .282 average away from home. The Red Sox hold a .444 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .342 which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 2nd in baseball with 9.89 hits per game. Xander Bogaerts comes into this game hitting .321 and his on-base percentage is at .390. He has 34 hits this season along with 20 runs scored and 12 runs batted in. He's struck out 17 times and has walked 11 times. Dustin Pedroia is hitting .310 and he has an on-base percentage of .355. He has totaled 36 hits so far while scoring 19 runs and he's driven in 13. He has walked 8 times and has struck out 19 times. The Red Sox have 267 hits, including 68 doubles and 23 home runs. They've stolen 22 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 2 times. Boston has walked 85 times this season and they've struck out 208 times as a unit. They've left 191 men on base and have a team OPS of .786. They score 5.19 runs per contest and have scored a total of 140 runs so far this year.
New York comes into this matchup with a 5-7 home record and a 9-16 overall mark. With an earned run average of 6.33, Michael Pineda has a 1-3 record and a 1.59 WHIP. He has 30 strikeouts over the 27 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 35 hits. He has allowed 11.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.22. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.91 and they have given up 64 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .222 against the Yankees bullpen while being struck out 95 times and walking 20 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 9.25 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.12 batters per nine. They are 23rd in the league in team earned run average at 4.54. The Yankees pitchers as a team have surrendered 224 base knocks and 110 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 30 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. New York as a staff has walked 60 hitters and struck out 221. They give up a walk 2.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.30 while their FIP as a staff is 3.77.
As a team, they are batting .236, good for 22nd in the league while putting together a .249 average at home. The Yankees hold a .361 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .308 which is good for 22nd in baseball. They rank 22nd in baseball with 7.84 hits per contest. Jacoby Ellsbury comes into this matchup batting .271 and he has an OBP of .327. He has 26 hits this year along with 9 runs scored and 9 RBI. He's struck out 16 times and has walked on 7 occasions. Mark Teixeira is hitting .224 and he has an OBP of .365. He has collected 19 hits so far while he's scored 13 runs and drove in 11. He has earned a walk 19 times and has punched out 22 times. The Yankees as a unit have 196 base hits, including 29 doubles and 23 homers. They have 19 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 5 times. New York as a team has walked 82 times this year and they have struck out 180 times. They've had 173 men left on base and have an OPS of .669. They score 3.56 runs per game and have totaled 89 runs so far this season.
Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
The Boston Red Sox are 13-13-1 against the over/under so far this season
The Boston Red Sox are 15-12-0 against the run line so far this season
New York Yankees Betting Trends
The New York Yankees are 9-13-3 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Yankees are 10-15-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
Boston Red Sox
05/05/16 1B Hanley Ramirez Flu is upgraded to expected to be in the starting lineup Thursday vs. Chicago White Sox
05/05/16 CF Jackie Bradley Jr. Finger "?" Thursday vs. Chicago White Sox
05/03/16 3B Pablo Sandoval Shoulder 15-day DL (4/11); out for season
04/19/16 P Joe Kelly Shoulder 15-day DL (4/19)
04/04/16 P Brandon Workman Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Eduardo Rodrigue Knee 15-day DL (4/2)
New York Yankees
05/05/16 LF Brett Gardner Elbow is not expected to be in the starting lineup Thursday vs. Baltimore Orioles
05/04/16 DH Alex Rodriguez Hamstring 15-day DL (5/3)
04/13/16 P Aroldis Chapman Suspension 30-game suspension, eligible to return May 9 vs Kansas City Royals
04/03/16 RF Mason Williams Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Bryan Mitchell Toe 15-day DL (3/31)
03/31/16 1B Gregory Bird Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25); out for season
Josh's Pick: Take the Yankees
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