Saturday, May 7, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: David Price vs. Nathan Eovaldi
The Boston Red Sox visit Yankee Stadium on Saturday to play the New York Yankees. The probable starters are David Price for the Red Sox and Nathan Eovaldi for the Yankees. The opening line for this matchup has Boston at +115 and New York at -125. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Red Sox have a 14-13-1 over/under record and a 16-12-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 57% of the time. The Yankees are 11-15-0 against the run line and have a 9-14-3 over/under record. They cover the spread 42% of the time.
The Red Sox head into this matchup with a 17-11 record, including 9-4 on the road. Starting pitcher David Price has a 4-0 record with an earned run average of 6.14 and a WHIP of 1.28. He has 49 strikeouts over his 36.2 innings pitched and he has given up 38 hits so far this season. He has allowed 9.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.89. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.52 and they have given up 76 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .218 against the bullpen while being struck out 105 times and walking 44 times this season. As a team, Boston has allowed 7.89 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.5 batters per nine. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.14. The Red Sox pitchers have collectively given up 221 base hits and 116 earned runs. They have allowed 27 home runs this season and they allow 1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Boston as a pitching staff has walked 112 batters and struck out 266. They walk 4 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.32 and their FIP as a unit is 3.90.
As a team, Boston is batting .283, good for 1st in the league while putting together a .287 average away from home. The Red Sox hold a .454 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .346 which is good for 4th in baseball. They rank 2nd in baseball with 9.96 hits per game. Xander Bogaerts comes into this game hitting .309 and his on-base percentage is at .374. He has 34 hits this season along with 20 runs scored and 13 runs batted in. He's struck out 18 times and has walked 11 times. Dustin Pedroia is hitting .322 and he has an on-base percentage of .364. He has totaled 39 hits so far while scoring 20 runs and he's driven in 14. He has walked 8 times and has struck out 19 times. The Red Sox have 279 hits, including 70 doubles and 26 home runs. They've stolen 22 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 2 times. Boston has walked 92 times this season and they've struck out 215 times as a unit. They've left 201 men on base and have a team OPS of .799. They score 5.25 runs per contest and have scored a total of 147 runs so far this year.
New York comes into this matchup with a 5-7 home record and a 9-17 overall mark. With an earned run average of 5.46, Nathan Eovaldi has a 1-2 record and a 1.38 WHIP. He has 31 strikeouts over the 29.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 33 hits. He has allowed 10 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.99. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.96 and they have given up 66 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .225 against the Yankees bullpen while being struck out 96 times and walking 21 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 9.15 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.07 batters per nine. They are 22nd in the league in team earned run average at 4.39. The Yankees pitchers as a team have surrendered 231 base knocks and 111 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 30 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. New York as a staff has walked 62 hitters and struck out 229. They give up a walk 2.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.29 while their FIP as a staff is 3.70.
As a team, they are batting .232, good for 27th in the league while putting together a .249 average at home. The Yankees hold a .353 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .303 which is good for 24th in baseball. They rank 25th in baseball with 7.69 hits per contest. Jacoby Ellsbury comes into this matchup batting .260 and he has an OBP of .315. He has 26 hits this year along with 9 runs scored and 9 RBI. He's struck out 17 times and has walked on 7 occasions. Mark Teixeira is hitting .225 and he has an OBP of .361. He has collected 20 hits so far while he's scored 13 runs and drove in 11. He has earned a walk 19 times and has punched out 23 times. The Yankees as a unit have 200 base hits, including 30 doubles and 23 homers. They have 20 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 5 times. New York as a team has walked 83 times this year and they have struck out 188 times. They've had 176 men left on base and have an OPS of .656. They score 3.42 runs per game and have totaled 89 runs so far this season.
Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
The Boston Red Sox are 14-13-1 against the over/under so far this season
The Boston Red Sox are 16-12-0 against the run line so far this season
New York Yankees Betting Trends
The New York Yankees are 9-14-3 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Yankees are 11-15-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
Boston Red Sox
05/03/16 3B Pablo Sandoval Shoulder 15-day DL (4/11); out for season
04/19/16 P Joe Kelly Shoulder 15-day DL (4/19)
04/04/16 P Brandon Workman Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Eduardo Rodrigue Knee 15-day DL (4/2)
New York Yankees
05/06/16 LF Brett Gardner Elbow "?" Friday vs. Boston Red Sox
05/04/16 DH Alex Rodriguez Hamstring 15-day DL (5/3)
04/13/16 P Aroldis Chapman Suspension 30-game suspension, eligible to return May 9 vs Kansas City Royals
04/03/16 RF Mason Williams Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Bryan Mitchell Toe 15-day DL (3/31)
03/31/16 1B Gregory Bird Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25); out for season
Tony's Pick: Take the Red Sox
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