Sunday, May 8, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Steven Wright vs. Luis Severino
The Boston Red Sox visit Yankee Stadium on Sunday to play the New York Yankees. The probable starters are Steven Wright for the Red Sox and Luis Severino for the Yankees. The opening line for this matchup has Boston at -101 and New York at -109. The over/under was set at 8. The Red Sox have a 15-14-1 over/under record and a 17-13-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 57% of the time. The Yankees are 12-16-0 against the run line and have a 10-15-3 over/under record. They cover the spread 43% of the time.
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The Red Sox head into this matchup with a 17-13 record, including 9-6 on the road. Starting pitcher Steven Wright has a 2-3 record with an earned run average of 1.67 and a WHIP of 1.14. He has 31 strikeouts over his 32.1 innings pitched and he has given up 22 hits so far this season. He has allowed 6.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.23. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.55 and they have given up 80 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .219 against the bullpen while being struck out 108 times and walking 46 times this season. As a team, Boston has allowed 7.86 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.38 batters per nine. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.12. The Red Sox pitchers have collectively given up 227 base hits and 119 earned runs. They have allowed 28 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Boston as a pitching staff has walked 115 batters and struck out 271. They walk 4 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.32 and their FIP as a unit is 3.92.
As a team, Boston is batting .285, good for 1st in the league while putting together a .290 average away from home. The Red Sox hold a .454 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .346 which is good for 4th in baseball. They rank 1st in baseball with 10.07 hits per game. Xander Bogaerts comes into this game hitting .313 and his on-base percentage is at .375. He has 36 hits this season along with 21 runs scored and 13 runs batted in. He's struck out 19 times and has walked 11 times. Dustin Pedroia is hitting .317 and he has an on-base percentage of .358. He has totaled 40 hits so far while scoring 20 runs and he's driven in 14. He has walked 8 times and has struck out 19 times. The Red Sox have 292 hits, including 72 doubles and 27 home runs. They've stolen 24 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 2 times. Boston has walked 94 times this season and they've struck out 225 times as a unit. They've left 213 men on base and have a team OPS of .800. They score 5.14 runs per contest and have scored a total of 149 runs so far this year.
New York comes into this matchup with a 7-7 home record and a 11-17 overall mark. With an earned run average of 6.31, Luis Severino has a 0-4 record and a 1.64 WHIP. He has 16 strikeouts over the 25.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 37 hits. He has allowed 13 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.44. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.76 and they have given up 71 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .229 against the Yankees bullpen while being struck out 104 times and walking 22 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 9.29 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.1 batters per nine. They are 22nd in the league in team earned run average at 4.30. The Yankees pitchers as a team have surrendered 244 base knocks and 113 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 31 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. New York as a staff has walked 64 hitters and struck out 239. They give up a walk 2.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.30 while their FIP as a staff is 3.67.
As a team, they are batting .231, good for 27th in the league while putting together a .248 average at home. The Yankees hold a .355 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .303 which is good for 23rd in baseball. They rank 25th in baseball with 7.63 hits per contest. Jacoby Ellsbury comes into this matchup batting .260 and he has an OBP of .321. He has 26 hits this year along with 10 runs scored and 9 RBI. He's struck out 17 times and has walked on 8 occasions. Mark Teixeira is hitting .215 and he has an OBP of .348. He has collected 20 hits so far while he's scored 13 runs and drove in 11. He has earned a walk 19 times and has punched out 24 times. The Yankees as a unit have 206 base hits, including 32 doubles and 24 homers. They have 23 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 5 times. New York as a team has walked 86 times this year and they have struck out 193 times. They've had 180 men left on base and have an OPS of .658. They score 3.41 runs per game and have totaled 92 runs so far this season.
Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
The Boston Red Sox are 15-14-1 against the over/under so far this season
The Boston Red Sox are 17-13-0 against the run line so far this season
New York Yankees Betting Trends
The New York Yankees are 10-15-3 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Yankees are 12-16-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
Boston Red Sox
05/03/16 3B Pablo Sandoval Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11); out for season
04/19/16 P Joe Kelly Shoulder 15-day DL (4/19)
04/04/16 P Brandon Workman Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Eduardo Rodrigue Knee 15-day DL (4/2)
New York Yankees
05/07/16 C Brian McCann Rest is not expected to be in the starting lineup Saturday vs. Boston Red Sox
05/07/16 CF Jacoby Ellsbury Hip is not expected to be in the starting lineup Saturday vs. Boston Red Sox
05/06/16 P CC Sabathia Groin 15-day DL (5/06)
05/04/16 DH Alex Rodriguez Hamstring 15-day DL (5/3)
04/13/16 P Aroldis Chapman Suspension 30-game suspension, eligible to return May 9 vs Kansas City Royals
04/03/16 RF Mason Williams Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Bryan Mitchell Toe 15-day DL (3/31)
03/31/16 1B Gregory Bird Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25); out for season
Guy's Pick: Take the Red Sox
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