Tuesday, June 7, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Rick Porcello vs. Albert Suarez
The Boston Red Sox visit AT&T Park on Tuesday to play the San Francisco Giants. The probable starters are Rick Porcello for the Red Sox and Albert Suarez for the Giants. The opening line for this matchup has Boston at -120 and San Francisco at +110. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Red Sox have a 31-22-4 over/under record and a 33-24-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 58% of the time. The Giants are 28-31-0 against the run line and have a 29-29-1 over/under record. They cover the spread 48% of the time.
The Red Sox head into this matchup with a 33-24 record, including 14-12 on the road. Starting pitcher Rick Porcello has a 7-2 record with an earned run average of 4.00 and a WHIP of 1.09. He has 62 strikeouts over his 69.2 innings pitched and he has given up 62 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.3. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.73 and they have given up 149 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .225 against the bullpen while being struck out 198 times and walking 76 times this season. As a team, Boston has allowed 8.23 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.65 batters per nine. They are 21st in the league in team earned run average at 4.38. The Red Sox pitchers have collectively given up 466 base hits and 248 earned runs. They have allowed 64 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Boston as a pitching staff has walked 204 batters and struck out 490. They walk 3.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.32 and their FIP as a unit is 4.21.
As a team, Boston is batting .293, good for 1st in the league while putting together a .284 average away from home. The Red Sox hold a .488 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .359 which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 1st in baseball with 10.46 hits per game. Xander Bogaerts comes into this game hitting .345 and his on-base percentage is at .396. He has 82 hits this season along with 46 runs scored and 33 runs batted in. He's struck out 43 times and has walked 20 times. Dustin Pedroia is hitting .316 and he has an on-base percentage of .376. He has totaled 72 hits so far while scoring 41 runs and he's driven in 26. He has walked 22 times and has struck out 33 times. The Red Sox have 596 hits, including 148 doubles and 72 home runs. They've stolen 38 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 5 times. Boston has walked 198 times this season and they've struck out 422 times as a unit. They've left 418 men on base and have a team OPS of .847. They score 5.89 runs per contest and have scored a total of 336 runs so far this year.
San Francisco comes into this matchup with a 16-11 home record and a 35-24 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.18, Albert Suarez has a 1-1 record and a 1.00 WHIP. He has 10 strikeouts over the 17 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 13 hits. He has allowed 6.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.01. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.03 and they have given up 158 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .249 against the Giants bullpen while being struck out 132 times and walking 52 times this season. As a team, San Francisco has allowed 8.59 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.72 batters per nine. They are 7th in the league in team earned run average at 3.61. The Giants pitchers as a team have surrendered 509 base knocks and 213 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 50 home runs this year and they give up 0.8 home runs per nine innings as a staff. San Francisco as a staff has walked 148 hitters and struck out 457. They give up a walk 2.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.23 while their FIP as a staff is 3.56.
As a team, they are batting .255, good for 14th in the league while putting together a .260 average at home. The Giants hold a .396 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .330 which is good for 6th in baseball. They rank 14th in baseball with 8.68 hits per contest. Brandon Belt comes into this matchup batting .298 and he has an OBP of .416. He has 57 hits this year along with 27 runs scored and 28 RBI. He's struck out 37 times and has walked on 39 occasions. Hunter Pence is hitting .298 and he has an OBP of .375. He has collected 54 hits so far while he's scored 27 runs and drove in 36. He has earned a walk 23 times and has punched out 39 times. The Giants as a unit have 512 base hits, including 96 doubles and 49 homers. They have 34 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 15 times. San Francisco as a team has walked 220 times this year and they have struck out 376 times. They've had 425 men left on base and have an OPS of .725. They score 4.41 runs per game and have totaled 260 runs so far this season.
Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
The Boston Red Sox are 31-22-4 against the over/under so far this season
The Boston Red Sox are 33-24-0 against the run line so far this season
San Francisco Giants Betting Trends
The San Francisco Giants are 29-29-1 against the over/under so far this season
The San Francisco Giants are 28-31-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
Boston Red Sox
06/06/16 C Blake Swihart Ankle 15-day DL (6/5)
06/06/16 C Ryan Hanigan Neck 15-day DL (6/5)
06/05/16 LF Brock Holt Concussion 15-day DL (6/2)
05/20/16 P Carson Smith Elbow 15-day DL (5/15)
05/03/16 3B Pablo Sandoval Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11); out for season
04/04/16 P Brandon Workman Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
San Francisco Giants
06/01/16 RF Hunter Pence Hamstring 15-day DL (6/2)
05/29/16 P Matt Cain Hamstring 15-day DL (5/28)
05/24/16 LF Angel Pagan Hamstring 15-day DL (5/24)
04/22/16 SS Ehire Adrianza Foot 60-day DL (4/15)
04/15/16 P Sergio Romo Elbow 15-day DL (4/11)
Tony's Pick: Take the Red Sox
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