Monday, August 1, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Eduardo Rodriguez vs. James Paxton
The Boston Red Sox visit Safeco Field on Monday to play the Seattle Mariners. The probable starters are Eduardo Rodriguez for the Red Sox and James Paxton for the Mariners. The Red Sox have a 52-45-5 over/under record and a 50-52-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 49% of the time. The Mariners are 51-51-0 against the run line and have a 49-48-5 over/under record. They cover the spread 50% of the time.
The Red Sox head into this matchup with a 56-46 record, including 22-21 on the road. Starting pitcher Eduardo Rodriguez has a 2-4 record with an earned run average of 6.51 and a WHIP of 1.62. He has 36 strikeouts over his 47 innings pitched and he has given up 58 hits so far this season. He has allowed 11.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 6.07. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.81 and they have given up 277 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .236 against the bullpen while being struck out 327 times and walking 119 times this season. As a team, Boston has allowed 8.86 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.35 batters per nine. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.37. The Red Sox pitchers have collectively given up 896 base hits and 442 earned runs. They have allowed 116 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Boston as a pitching staff has walked 318 batters and struck out 845. They walk 3.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.33 and their FIP as a unit is 4.14.
As a team, Boston is batting .288, good for 1st in the league while putting together a .270 average away from home. The Red Sox hold a .473 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .355 which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 1st in baseball with 10.17 hits per game. Mookie Betts comes into this game hitting .303 and his on-base percentage is at .344. He has 132 hits this season along with 81 runs scored and 68 runs batted in. He's struck out 60 times and has walked 29 times. Xander Bogaerts is hitting .330 and he has an on-base percentage of .387. He has totaled 139 hits so far while scoring 78 runs and he's driven in 66. He has walked 37 times and has struck out 69 times. The Red Sox have 1,037 hits, including 236 doubles and 130 home runs. They've stolen 63 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 14 times. Boston has walked 355 times this season and they've struck out 717 times as a unit. They've left 752 men on base and have a team OPS of .828. They score 5.58 runs per contest and have scored a total of 569 runs so far this year.
Seattle comes into this matchup with a 25-23 home record and a 52-50 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.27, James Paxton has a 3-5 record and a 1.50 WHIP. He has 61 strikeouts over the 65.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 81 hits. He has allowed 11.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.09. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.79 and they have given up 281 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .228 against the Mariners bullpen while being struck out 365 times and walking 122 times this season. As a team, Seattle has allowed 8.79 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.43 batters per nine. They are 12th in the league in team earned run average at 4.07. The Mariners pitchers as a team have surrendered 890 base knocks and 412 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 133 home runs this year and they give up 1.3 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Seattle as a staff has walked 297 hitters and struck out 854. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.30 while their FIP as a staff is 4.25.
As a team, they are batting .258, good for 13th in the league while putting together a .253 average at home. The Mariners hold a .434 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .327 which is good for 10th in baseball. They rank 14th in baseball with 8.85 hits per contest. Robinson Cano comes into this matchup batting .300 and he has an OBP of .359. He has 124 hits this year along with 67 runs scored and 63 RBI. He's struck out 64 times and has walked on 32 occasions. Nelson Cruz is hitting .286 and he has an OBP of .371. He has collected 105 hits so far while he's scored 58 runs and drove in 66. He has earned a walk 42 times and has punched out 101 times. The Mariners as a unit have 903 base hits, including 162 doubles and 143 homers. They have 30 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 22 times. Seattle as a team has walked 319 times this year and they have struck out 797 times. They've had 679 men left on base and have an OPS of .762. They score 4.71 runs per game and have totaled 480 runs so far this season.
Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
The Boston Red Sox are 52-45-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Boston Red Sox are 50-52-0 against the run line so far this season
Seattle Mariners Betting Trends
The Seattle Mariners are 49-48-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Seattle Mariners are 51-51-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
Boston Red Sox
07/20/16 P Koji Uehara Pectoral 15-day DL (7/20)
07/10/16 P Sean O'Sullivan Knee 15-day DL (7/10)
07/09/16 P Craig Kimbrel Knee 15-day DL (7/7)
06/24/16 LF Chris Young Hamstring 15-day DL (6/23)
06/17/16 2B Josh Rutledge Knee 60-day DL (6/15)
06/07/16 P Carson Smith Elbow 60-day DL (5/15)
06/06/16 C Blake Swihart Ankle 60-day DL (6/5)
05/03/16 3B Pablo Sandoval Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11); out for season
04/04/16 P Brandon Workman Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
07/30/16 P Nathan Karns Back 15-day DL (7/30)
07/23/16 SS Ketel Marte Mononucleosis 15-day DL (7/20)
07/06/16 P Taijuan Walker Foot 15-day DL (7/6)
06/30/16 P Nick Vincent Back 15-day DL (6/27)
06/30/16 C Steve Clevenger Hand 60-day DL (6/29)
06/25/16 P Adrian Sampson Elbow 60-day DL (6/24)
05/04/16 P Tony Zych Rotator Cuff 60-day DL (5/2)
04/04/16 P Charlie Furbush Bicep 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Evan Scribner Oblique 60-day DL (3/25)
03/30/16 P Ryan Cook Shoulder 60-day DL (3/12)
Josh's Pick: Take the Red Sox
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