Thursday, August 4, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Drew Pomeranz vs. Ariel Miranda
The Boston Red Sox head to Safeco Field on Thursday to take on the Seattle Mariners. The probable pitchers are Drew Pomeranz for the Red Sox and Ariel Miranda for the Mariners. The opening line for this game has Boston at -150 and Seattle at +140. The over/under is 8.5. The Red Sox have a 53-47-5 over/under mark and a 52-53-0 run line record, meaning they cover 50% of the time. The Mariners are 53-52-0 against the run line and have a 51-49-5 over/under record. They cover the spread 51% of the time.
The Red Sox head into this game with a 58-47 record, and they are 24-22 on the road. Starting pitcher Drew Pomeranz has a 8-9 record with an ERA of 3.09 and a WHIP of 1.14. He has 130 strikeouts during his 116.1 innings pitched and he has given up 85 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 6.6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.48. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.74 and they have allowed 280 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .233 against the pen while they've been struck out 335 times and walked 122 times this year. As a unit, Boston has given up 8.83 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.35 hitters per nine. They are 19th in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.33. The Red Sox pitchers have collectively given up 919 base hits and 451 earned runs. They have allowed 118 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Boston as a pitching staff has walked 325 batters and struck out 869. They walk 3.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.33 and their FIP as a unit is 4.11.
As a team, Boston is hitting .286, good for 1st in the league while putting together a .265 average on the road. The Red Sox have a .472 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .352 which is good for 1st in the league. They rank 1st in baseball with 10.07 hits per contest. Mookie Betts comes into this game hitting .306 and his on-base percentage is at .347. He has 137 hits this season along with 84 runs scored and 70 runs batted in. He's struck out 63 times and has walked 30 times. Xander Bogaerts is hitting .323 and he has an on-base percentage of .380. He has totaled 140 hits so far while scoring 79 runs and he's driven in 67. He has walked 37 times and has struck out 73 times. The Red Sox have 1,057 hits, including 242 doubles and 135 home runs. They've stolen 63 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 14 times. Boston has walked 360 times this season and they've struck out 744 times as a unit. They've left 767 men on base and have a team OPS of .823. They score 5.52 runs per contest and have scored a total of 580 runs so far this year.
Seattle comes into this game with a 26-24 home mark and a 53-52 overall record. With an ERA of 13.50, Ariel Miranda has a 0-0 record and a 2.00 WHIP. He has 4 strikeouts over the 2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 4 hits. He has allowed 18 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at -0.87. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.86 and they have given up 290 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .227 against the Mariners bullpen while being struck out 376 times and walking 124 times this season. As a team, Seattle has allowed 8.71 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.46 batters per nine. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 4.07. The Mariners pitchers as a team have surrendered 910 base knocks and 425 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 136 home runs this year and they give up 1.3 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Seattle as a staff has walked 305 hitters and struck out 884. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.29 while their FIP as a staff is 4.23.
As a team, they are batting .257, good for 13th in the league while putting together a .251 average at home. The Mariners hold a .433 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .326 which is good for 13th in baseball. They rank 15th in baseball with 8.82 hits per contest. Robinson Cano comes into this matchup batting .303 and he has an OBP of .361. He has 129 hits this year along with 70 runs scored and 68 RBI. He's struck out 66 times and has walked on 33 occasions. Nelson Cruz is hitting .282 and he has an OBP of .366. He has collected 107 hits so far while he's scored 59 runs and drove in 68. He has earned a walk 43 times and has punched out 105 times. The Mariners as a unit have 926 base hits, including 167 doubles and 148 homers. They have 30 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 23 times. Seattle as a team has walked 327 times this year and they have struck out 829 times. They've had 699 men left on base and have an OPS of .759. They score 4.69 runs per game and have totaled 492 runs so far this season.
Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
The Boston Red Sox are 53-47-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Boston Red Sox are 52-53-0 against the run line so far this season
Seattle Mariners Betting Trends
The Seattle Mariners are 51-49-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Seattle Mariners are 53-52-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
Boston Red Sox
08/03/16 1B Hanley Ramirez Wrist "?" Wednesday vs. Seattle Mariners
07/20/16 P Koji Uehara Pectoral 15-day DL (7/20)
07/10/16 P Sean O'Sullivan Knee 15-day DL (7/10)
06/24/16 LF Chris Young Hamstring 15-day DL (6/23)
06/17/16 2B Josh Rutledge Knee 60-day DL (6/15)
06/07/16 P Carson Smith Elbow 60-day DL (5/15)
06/06/16 C Blake Swihart Ankle 60-day DL (6/5)
05/03/16 3B Pablo Sandoval Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11); out for season
04/04/16 P Brandon Workman Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
07/30/16 P Nathan Karns Back 15-day DL (7/30)
07/23/16 SS Ketel Marte Mononucleosis 15-day DL (7/20)
07/06/16 P Taijuan Walker Foot 15-day DL (7/6)
06/30/16 P Nick Vincent Back 15-day DL (6/27)
06/30/16 C Steve Clevenger Hand 60-day DL (6/29)
06/25/16 P Adrian Sampson Elbow 60-day DL (6/24)
05/04/16 P Tony Zych Rotator Cuff 60-day DL (5/2)
04/04/16 P Charlie Furbush Bicep 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Evan Scribner Oblique 60-day DL (3/25)
03/30/16 P Ryan Cook Shoulder 60-day DL (3/12)
Guy's Pick: Take the Mariners
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