Tuesday, June 28, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Rick Porcello vs. Chris Archer
The Boston Red Sox visit Tropicana Field on Tuesday to play the Tampa Bay Rays. The probable starters are Rick Porcello for the Red Sox and Chris Archer for the Rays. The opening line for this matchup has Boston at +100 and Tampa Bay at -110. The over/under was set at 8. The Red Sox have a 40-30-5 over/under record and a 38-37-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 51% of the time. The Rays are 30-44-0 against the run line and have a 33-36-5 over/under record. They cover the spread 41% of the time.
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The Red Sox head into this matchup with a 41-34 record, including 18-16 on the road. Starting pitcher Rick Porcello has a 8-2 record with an earned run average of 3.93 and a WHIP of 1.13. He has 81 strikeouts over his 94 innings pitched and he has given up 88 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.07. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.56 and they have given up 192 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .224 against the bullpen while being struck out 260 times and walking 95 times this season. As a team, Boston has allowed 8.36 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.61 batters per nine. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.29. The Red Sox pitchers have collectively given up 623 base hits and 319 earned runs. They have allowed 88 home runs this season and they allow 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. Boston as a pitching staff has walked 254 batters and struck out 643. They walk 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.31 and their FIP as a unit is 4.21.
As a team, Boston is batting .287, good for 1st in the league while putting together a .279 average away from home. The Red Sox hold a .470 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .355 which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 1st in baseball with 10.21 hits per game. Xander Bogaerts comes into this game hitting .344 and his on-base percentage is at .395. He has 108 hits this season along with 58 runs scored and 50 runs batted in. He's struck out 50 times and has walked 26 times. Mookie Betts is hitting .293 and he has an on-base percentage of .334. He has totaled 97 hits so far while scoring 65 runs and he's driven in 54. He has walked 21 times and has struck out 51 times. The Red Sox have 766 hits, including 179 doubles and 90 home runs. They've stolen 49 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 8 times. Boston has walked 265 times this season and they've struck out 540 times as a unit. They've left 556 men on base and have a team OPS of .825. They score 5.59 runs per contest and have scored a total of 419 runs so far this year.
Tampa Bay comes into this matchup with a 15-20 home record and a 31-43 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.70, Chris Archer has a 4-10 record and a 1.44 WHIP. He has 108 strikeouts over the 92 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 93 hits. He has allowed 9.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.32. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.33 and they have given up 223 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .261 against the Rays bullpen while being struck out 199 times and walking 83 times this season. As a team, Tampa Bay has allowed 8.98 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.64 batters per nine. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.37. The Rays pitchers as a team have surrendered 649 base knocks and 316 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 103 home runs this year and they give up 1.4 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Tampa Bay as a staff has walked 217 hitters and struck out 625. They give up a walk 3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.33 while their FIP as a staff is 4.34.
As a team, they are batting .238, good for 25th in the league while putting together a .221 average at home. The Rays hold a .424 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .308 which is good for 23rd in baseball. They rank 26th in baseball with 8.01 hits per contest. Evan Longoria comes into this matchup batting .269 and he has an OBP of .326. He has 77 hits this year along with 41 runs scored and 43 RBI. He's struck out 74 times and has walked on 24 occasions. Logan Forsythe is hitting .288 and he has an OBP of .360. He has collected 51 hits so far while he's scored 24 runs and drove in 15. He has earned a walk 17 times and has punched out 44 times. The Rays as a unit have 593 base hits, including 126 doubles and 104 homers. They have 26 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 17 times. Tampa Bay as a team has walked 226 times this year and they have struck out 679 times. They've had 504 men left on base and have an OPS of .731. They score 3.99 runs per game and have totaled 295 runs so far this season.
Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
The Boston Red Sox are 40-30-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Boston Red Sox are 38-37-0 against the run line so far this season
Tampa Bay Rays Betting Trends
The Tampa Bay Rays are 33-36-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Tampa Bay Rays are 30-44-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
Boston Red Sox
06/24/16 LF Chris Young Hamstring 15-day DL (6/23)
06/17/16 2B Josh Rutledge Knee 15-day DL (6/15)
06/07/16 P Carson Smith Elbow 60-day DL (5/15)
06/06/16 C Blake Swihart Ankle 15-day DL (6/5)
06/06/16 C Ryan Hanigan Neck 15-day DL (6/5)
06/05/16 LF Brock Holt Concussion 15-day DL (6/2)
05/03/16 3B Pablo Sandoval Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11); out for season
04/04/16 P Brandon Workman Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Tampa Bay Rays
06/21/16 CF Mike Mahtook Hand 15-day DL (6/21)
06/21/16 2B Steve Pearce Hamstring 15-day DL (6/21)
06/17/16 RF Steven Souza Hip 15-day DL (6/15)
06/06/16 LF Brandon Guyer Hamstring 15-day DL (6/4)
06/02/16 P Brad Boxberger Oblique 15-day DL (6/1)
05/23/16 CF Kevin Kiermaier Hand 15-day DL (5/22)
04/10/16 P Chase Whitley Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Alex Cobb Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Tony's Pick: Take the Red Sox
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