Monday, August 22, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: David Price vs. Blake Snell
The Boston Red Sox head to Tropicana Field on Monday to take on the Tampa Bay Rays. The probable pitchers are David Price for the Red Sox and Blake Snell for the Rays. The opening line for this game has Boston at -155 and Tampa Bay at +145. The over/under is 7.5. The Red Sox have a 60-57-5 over/under mark and a 61-61-0 run line record, meaning they cover 50% of the time. The Rays are 53-68-0 against the run line and have a 56-58-7 over/under record. They cover the spread 44% of the time.
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The Red Sox head into this game with a 69-53 record, and they are 31-26 on the road. Starting pitcher David Price has a 11-8 record with an ERA of 4.19 and a WHIP of 1.26. He has 171 strikeouts during his 169.2 innings pitched and he has given up 177 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 9.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.52. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.90 and they have allowed 320 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .236 against the pen while they've been struck out 381 times and walked 147 times this year. As a unit, Boston has given up 8.62 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.36 hitters per nine. They are 16th in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.17. The Red Sox pitchers have collectively given up 1,039 base hits and 502 earned runs. They have allowed 136 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Boston as a pitching staff has walked 377 batters and struck out 1,007. They walk 3.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.31 and their FIP as a unit is 4.11.
As a team, Boston is hitting .285, good for 1st in the league while putting together a .267 average on the road. The Red Sox have a .469 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .351 which is good for 1st in the league. They rank 1st in baseball with 10.05 hits per contest. Mookie Betts comes into this game hitting .316 and his on-base percentage is at .356. He has 163 hits this season along with 98 runs scored and 89 runs batted in. He's struck out 68 times and has walked 33 times. Xander Bogaerts is hitting .313 and he has an on-base percentage of .366. He has totaled 155 hits so far while scoring 87 runs and he's driven in 69. He has walked 39 times and has struck out 84 times. The Red Sox have 1,226 hits, including 271 doubles and 158 home runs. They've stolen 67 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 16 times. Boston has walked 410 times this season and they've struck out 862 times as a unit. They've left 885 men on base and have a team OPS of .820. They score 5.51 runs per contest and have scored a total of 672 runs so far this year.
Tampa Bay comes into this game with a 29-35 home mark and a 51-70 overall record. With an ERA of 3.06, Blake Snell has a 4-5 record and a 1.54 WHIP. He has 66 strikeouts over the 61.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 60 hits. He has allowed 8.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.34. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.32 and they have given up 366 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .261 against the Rays bullpen while being struck out 328 times and walking 124 times this season. As a team, Tampa Bay has allowed 8.79 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.58 batters per nine. They are 14th in the league in team earned run average at 4.13. The Rays pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,042 base knocks and 490 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 156 home runs this year and they give up 1.3 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Tampa Bay as a staff has walked 351 hitters and struck out 1,017. They give up a walk 3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.31 while their FIP as a staff is 4.20.
As a team, they are batting .242, good for 28th in the league while putting together a .234 average at home. The Rays hold a .426 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .310 which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 26th in baseball with 8.14 hits per contest. Logan Forsythe comes into this matchup batting .280 and he has an OBP of .341. He has 100 hits this year along with 58 runs scored and 38 RBI. He's struck out 83 times and has walked on 29 occasions. Evan Longoria is hitting .291 and he has an OBP of .343. He has collected 137 hits so far while he's scored 65 runs and drove in 75. He has earned a walk 37 times and has punched out 108 times. The Rays as a unit have 985 base hits, including 212 doubles and 163 homers. They have 47 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 28 times. Tampa Bay as a team has walked 359 times this year and they have struck out 1,091 times. They've had 798 men left on base and have an OPS of .736. They score 4.2 runs per game and have totaled 508 runs so far this season.
Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
The Boston Red Sox are 60-57-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Boston Red Sox are 61-61-0 against the run line so far this season
Tampa Bay Rays Betting Trends
The Tampa Bay Rays are 56-58-7 against the over/under so far this season
The Tampa Bay Rays are 53-68-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
Boston Red Sox
08/21/16 P Eduardo Rodriguez Hamstring expected to miss next scheduled start Sunday vs. Detroit Tigers
08/15/16 P Steven Wright Shoulder 15-day DL (8/8)
08/06/16 C Ryan Hanigan Ankle 15-day DL (8/5)
07/20/16 P Koji Uehara Pectoral 15-day DL (7/20)
06/24/16 LF Chris Young Hamstring 15-day DL (6/23)
06/17/16 2B Josh Rutledge Knee 60-day DL (6/15)
06/07/16 P Carson Smith Elbow 60-day DL (5/15)
06/06/16 C Blake Swihart Ankle 60-day DL (6/5)
05/03/16 3B Pablo Sandoval Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11); out for season
04/04/16 P Brandon Workman Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Tampa Bay Rays
08/21/16 CF Kevin Kiermaier Hip "?" Sunday vs. Texas Rangers
08/20/16 2B Nick Franklin Concussion 7-day (8/20)
08/19/16 2B Logan Forsythe Back "?" Saturday vs. Texas Rangers
08/07/16 LF Desmond Jennings Knee 15-day DL (8/3)
08/07/16 P Enny Romero Back 15-day DL (8/4)
07/31/16 RF Oswaldo Arcia Elbow 15-day DL (7/27)
04/01/16 P Alex Cobb Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Tony's Pick: Take the Rays
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