Sunday, September 25, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Eduardo Rodriguez vs. Jake Odorizzi
The Boston Red Sox head to Tropicana Field on Sunday to take on the Tampa Bay Rays. The probable pitchers are Eduardo Rodriguez for the Red Sox and Jake Odorizzi for the Rays. The Red Sox have a 75-72-7 over/under mark and a 80-74-0 run line record, meaning they cover 52% of the time. The Rays are 72-81-0 against the run line and have a 75-70-8 over/under record. They cover the spread 47% of the time.
The Red Sox head into this game with a 90-64 record, and they are 44-32 on the road. Starting pitcher Eduardo Rodriguez has a 3-7 record with an ERA of 4.84 and a WHIP of 1.30. He has 78 strikeouts during his 96.2 innings pitched and he has given up 93 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 8.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.75. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.52 and they have allowed 389 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .231 against the pen while they've been struck out 482 times and walked 176 times this year. As a unit, Boston has given up 8.39 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.43 hitters per nine. They are 9th in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.00. The Red Sox pitchers have collectively given up 1,276 base hits and 609 earned runs. They have allowed 169 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Boston as a pitching staff has walked 455 batters and struck out 1,282. They walk 3 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.26 and their FIP as a unit is 4.00.
As a team, Boston is hitting .285, good for 1st in the league while putting together a .267 average on the road. The Red Sox have a .468 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .351 which is good for 1st in the league. They rank 1st in baseball with 10.03 hits per contest. Mookie Betts comes into this game hitting .321 and his on-base percentage is at .365. He has 207 hits this season along with 117 runs scored and 108 runs batted in. He's struck out 80 times and has walked 47 times. Xander Bogaerts is hitting .295 and he has an on-base percentage of .355. He has totaled 183 hits so far while scoring 112 runs and he's driven in 88. He has walked 54 times and has struck out 117 times. The Red Sox have 1,544 hits, including 332 doubles and 202 home runs. They've stolen 80 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 23 times. Boston has walked 526 times this season and they've struck out 1,108 times as a unit. They've left 1,111 men on base and have a team OPS of .818. They score 5.53 runs per contest and have scored a total of 852 runs so far this year.
Tampa Bay comes into this game with a 36-43 home mark and a 65-88 overall record. With an ERA of 3.73, Jake Odorizzi has a 9-6 record and a 1.20 WHIP. He has 155 strikeouts over the 178.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 163 hits. He has allowed 8.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.27. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.14 and they have given up 459 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .252 against the Rays bullpen while being struck out 432 times and walking 185 times this season. As a team, Tampa Bay has allowed 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.53 batters per nine. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.19. The Rays pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,317 base knocks and 627 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 197 home runs this year and they give up 1.3 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Tampa Bay as a staff has walked 464 hitters and struck out 1,277. They give up a walk 3.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.32 while their FIP as a staff is 4.24.
As a team, they are batting .244, good for 26th in the league while putting together a .234 average at home. The Rays hold a .430 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .309 which is good for 27th in baseball. They rank 26th in baseball with 8.24 hits per contest. Logan Forsythe comes into this matchup batting .275 and he has an OBP of .345. He has 130 hits this year along with 74 runs scored and 51 RBI. He's struck out 114 times and has walked on 45 occasions. Evan Longoria is hitting .278 and he has an OBP of .323. He has collected 167 hits so far while he's scored 80 runs and drove in 95. He has earned a walk 39 times and has punched out 136 times. The Rays as a unit have 1,260 base hits, including 264 doubles and 212 homers. They have 57 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 36 times. Tampa Bay as a team has walked 431 times this year and they have struck out 1,392 times. They've had 996 men left on base and have an OPS of .739. They score 4.2 runs per game and have totaled 643 runs so far this season.
Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
The Boston Red Sox are 75-72-7 against the over/under so far this season
The Boston Red Sox are 80-74-0 against the run line so far this season
Tampa Bay Rays Betting Trends
The Tampa Bay Rays are 75-70-8 against the over/under so far this season
The Tampa Bay Rays are 72-81-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
Boston Red Sox
09/07/16 P Steven Wright Shoulder out indefinitely
06/17/16 2B Josh Rutledge Knee 60-day DL (6/15)
06/07/16 P Carson Smith Elbow 60-day DL (5/15)
06/06/16 C Blake Swihart Ankle 60-day DL (6/5)
05/03/16 3B Pablo Sandoval Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11); out for season
04/04/16 P Brandon Workman Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Tampa Bay Rays
09/23/16 RF Steven Souza Hip 60-day DL (9/22); out for season
09/17/16 1B Logan Morrison Wrist 60-day DL (9/16)
09/07/16 SS Matt Duffy Heel out for season
08/07/16 LF Desmond Jennings Knee 15-day DL (8/3); out for season
08/07/16 P Enny Romero Back 15-day DL (8/4)
Guy's Pick: Take the Rays
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