Friday, May 27, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Joe Kelly vs. Aaron Sanchez
The Boston Red Sox visit Rogers Centre on Friday to play the Toronto Blue Jays. The probable starters are Joe Kelly for the Red Sox and Aaron Sanchez for the Blue Jays. The opening line for this matchup has Boston at +118 and Toronto at -128. The over/under was set at 9. The Red Sox have a 25-18-3 over/under record and a 28-18-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 61% of the time. The Blue Jays are 24-24-0 against the run line and have a 17-28-3 over/under record. They cover the spread 50% of the time.
The Red Sox head into this matchup with a 29-17 record, including 11-8 on the road. Starting pitcher Joe Kelly has a 2-0 record with an earned run average of 5.28 and a WHIP of 1.83. He has 18 strikeouts over his 15.1 innings pitched and he has given up 15 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.18. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.04 and they have given up 115 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .219 against the bullpen while being struck out 160 times and walking 62 times this season. As a team, Boston has allowed 8.04 hits per nine innings while striking out 9 batters per nine. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.00. The Red Sox pitchers have collectively given up 368 base hits and 183 earned runs. They have allowed 42 home runs this season and they allow 0.9 homers per nine innings as a staff. Boston as a pitching staff has walked 163 batters and struck out 412. They walk 3.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.29 and their FIP as a unit is 3.77.
As a team, Boston is batting .298, good for 1st in the league while putting together a .278 average away from home. The Red Sox hold a .489 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .362 which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 1st in baseball with 10.63 hits per game. Xander Bogaerts comes into this game hitting .349 and his on-base percentage is at .404. He has 66 hits this season along with 36 runs scored and 26 runs batted in. He's struck out 33 times and has walked 17 times. Dustin Pedroia is hitting .304 and he has an on-base percentage of .364. He has totaled 55 hits so far while scoring 34 runs and he's driven in 20. He has walked 17 times and has struck out 28 times. The Red Sox have 489 hits, including 121 doubles and 54 home runs. They've stolen 31 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 3 times. Boston has walked 155 times this season and they've struck out 347 times as a unit. They've left 340 men on base and have a team OPS of .851. They score 5.96 runs per contest and have scored a total of 274 runs so far this year.
Toronto comes into this matchup with a 9-13 home record and a 23-25 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.20, Aaron Sanchez has a 4-1 record and a 1.22 WHIP. He has 52 strikeouts over the 59 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 51 hits. He has allowed 7.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.33. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.91 and they have given up 122 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .256 against the Blue Jays bullpen while being struck out 112 times and walking 39 times this season. As a team, Toronto has allowed 8.19 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.34 batters per nine. They are 8th in the league in team earned run average at 3.68. The Blue Jays pitchers as a team have surrendered 392 base knocks and 176 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 49 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Toronto as a staff has walked 141 hitters and struck out 351. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.24 while their FIP as a staff is 4.03.
As a team, they are batting .234, good for 25th in the league while putting together a .241 average at home. The Blue Jays hold a .403 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .314 which is good for 18th in baseball. They rank 25th in baseball with 7.88 hits per contest. Josh Donaldson comes into this matchup batting .246 and he has an OBP of .345. He has 44 hits this year along with 37 runs scored and 24 RBI. He's struck out 41 times and has walked on 25 occasions. Edwin Encarnacion is hitting .242 and he has an OBP of .314. He has collected 45 hits so far while he's scored 20 runs and drove in 33. He has earned a walk 18 times and has punched out 48 times. The Blue Jays as a unit have 378 base hits, including 80 doubles and 61 homers. They have 15 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 5 times. Toronto as a team has walked 171 times this year and they have struck out 409 times. They've had 322 men left on base and have an OPS of .717. They score 4.04 runs per game and have totaled 194 runs so far this season.
Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
The Boston Red Sox are 25-18-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Boston Red Sox are 28-18-0 against the run line so far this season
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends
The Toronto Blue Jays are 17-28-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Toronto Blue Jays are 24-24-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
Boston Red Sox
05/26/16 2B Dustin Pedroia Hamstring is upgraded to probable Thursday vs. Colorado Rockies
05/26/16 SS Xander Bogaerts Thumb left last game, probable Thursday vs. Colorado Rockies
05/25/16 C Ryan Hanigan Illness left last game, "?" Thursday vs. Colorado Rockies
05/20/16 LF Brock Holt Concussion 7-day DL (5/19)
05/20/16 P Carson Smith Elbow 15-day DL (5/15)
05/03/16 3B Pablo Sandoval Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11); out for season
04/04/16 P Brandon Workman Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Eduardo Rodrigue Knee 15-day DL (4/2)
Toronto Blue Jays
05/26/16 SS Troy Tulowitzki Quad is downgraded to not expected to be in the starting lineup Thursday vs. New York Yankees
05/15/16 P Brett Cecil Tricep 15-day DL (5/15)
04/22/16 1B Chris Colabello Suspension expected to miss 80 games
04/10/16 P Franklin Morales Arm 15-day DL (4/7)
04/04/16 P Bo Schultz Hip 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Aaron Loup Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
Josh's Pick: Take the Red Sox
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