Sunday, May 29, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: David Price vs. R.A. Dickey
The Boston Red Sox visit Rogers Centre on Sunday to play the Toronto Blue Jays. The probable starters are David Price for the Red Sox and R.A. Dickey for the Blue Jays. The opening line for this matchup has Boston at -128 and Toronto at +118. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Red Sox have a 28-18-3 over/under record and a 29-20-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 59% of the time. The Blue Jays are 26-25-0 against the run line and have a 19-29-3 over/under record. They cover the spread 51% of the time.
The Red Sox head into this matchup with a 29-20 record, including 11-10 on the road. Starting pitcher David Price has a 7-1 record with an earned run average of 5.34 and a WHIP of 1.22. He has 76 strikeouts over his 62.1 innings pitched and he has given up 61 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.81. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.38 and they have given up 128 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .226 against the bullpen while being struck out 172 times and walking 64 times this season. As a team, Boston has allowed 8.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.04 batters per nine. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.13. The Red Sox pitchers have collectively given up 391 base hits and 197 earned runs. They have allowed 48 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Boston as a pitching staff has walked 167 batters and struck out 431. They walk 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.30 and their FIP as a unit is 3.87.
As a team, Boston is batting .294, good for 1st in the league while putting together a .275 average away from home. The Red Sox hold a .482 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .358 which is good for 3rd in baseball. They rank 1st in baseball with 10.46 hits per game. Xander Bogaerts comes into this game hitting .345 and his on-base percentage is at .398. He has 68 hits this season along with 38 runs scored and 26 runs batted in. He's struck out 35 times and has walked 17 times. Dustin Pedroia is hitting .305 and he has an on-base percentage of .369. He has totaled 57 hits so far while scoring 35 runs and he's driven in 20. He has walked 19 times and has struck out 29 times. The Red Sox have 502 hits, including 124 doubles and 55 home runs. They've stolen 31 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 3 times. Boston has walked 161 times this season and they've struck out 360 times as a unit. They've left 350 men on base and have a team OPS of .840. They score 5.85 runs per contest and have scored a total of 281 runs so far this year.
Toronto comes into this matchup with a 11-13 home record and a 26-25 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.60, R.A. Dickey has a 2-6 record and a 1.32 WHIP. He has 47 strikeouts over the 60.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 61 hits. He has allowed 9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.4. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.81 and they have given up 129 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .255 against the Blue Jays bullpen while being struck out 120 times and walking 39 times this season. As a team, Toronto has allowed 8.08 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.32 batters per nine. They are 7th in the league in team earned run average at 3.63. The Blue Jays pitchers as a team have surrendered 403 base knocks and 181 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 50 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Toronto as a staff has walked 146 hitters and struck out 365. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.22 while their FIP as a staff is 3.98.
As a team, they are batting .235, good for 25th in the league while putting together a .245 average at home. The Blue Jays hold a .404 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .315 which is good for 18th in baseball. They rank 24th in baseball with 7.9 hits per contest. Josh Donaldson comes into this matchup batting .257 and he has an OBP of .353. He has 48 hits this year along with 39 runs scored and 29 RBI. He's struck out 43 times and has walked on 26 occasions. Edwin Encarnacion is hitting .237 and he has an OBP of .306. He has collected 46 hits so far while he's scored 20 runs and drove in 36. He has earned a walk 18 times and has punched out 48 times. The Blue Jays as a unit have 395 base hits, including 83 doubles and 64 homers. They have 15 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 5 times. Toronto as a team has walked 176 times this year and they have struck out 433 times. They've had 338 men left on base and have an OPS of .718. They score 4.08 runs per game and have totaled 204 runs so far this season.
Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
The Boston Red Sox are 28-18-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Boston Red Sox are 29-20-0 against the run line so far this season
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends
The Toronto Blue Jays are 19-29-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Toronto Blue Jays are 26-25-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
Boston Red Sox
05/20/16 LF Brock Holt Concussion 7-day DL (5/19)
05/20/16 P Carson Smith Elbow 15-day DL (5/15)
05/03/16 3B Pablo Sandoval Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11); out for season
04/04/16 P Brandon Workman Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Eduardo Rodrigue Knee 15-day DL (4/2)
Toronto Blue Jays
05/28/16 SS Troy Tulowitzki Quad 15-day DL (5/27)
05/15/16 P Brett Cecil Tricep 15-day DL (5/15)
04/22/16 1B Chris Colabello Suspension expected to miss 80 games
04/10/16 P Franklin Morales Arm 15-day DL (4/7)
04/04/16 P Bo Schultz Hip 15-day DL (3/25)
Guy's Pick: Take the Red Sox
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