Saturday, September 10, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Eduardo Rodriguez vs. J.A. Happ
The Boston Red Sox visit Rogers Centre on Saturday to play the Toronto Blue Jays. The probable starters are Eduardo Rodriguez for the Red Sox and J.A. Happ for the Blue Jays. The opening line for this matchup has Boston at +121 and Toronto at -131. The over/under was set at 9. The Red Sox have a 69-64-6 over/under record and a 70-69-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 50% of the time. The Blue Jays are 72-67-0 against the run line and have a 57-76-6 over/under record. They cover the spread 52% of the time.
The Red Sox head into this matchup with a 78-61 record, including 37-31 on the road. Starting pitcher Eduardo Rodriguez has a 2-6 record with an earned run average of 4.83 and a WHIP of 1.31. He has 66 strikeouts over his 82 innings pitched and he has given up 77 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.9. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.83 and they have given up 357 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .236 against the bullpen while being struck out 424 times and walking 158 times this season. As a team, Boston has allowed 8.51 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.4 batters per nine. They are 12th in the league in team earned run average at 4.10. The Red Sox pitchers have collectively given up 1,168 base hits and 562 earned runs. They have allowed 152 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Boston as a pitching staff has walked 419 batters and struck out 1,152. They walk 3.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.29 and their FIP as a unit is 4.05.
As a team, Boston is batting .286, good for 1st in the league while putting together a .267 average away from home. The Red Sox hold a .467 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .351 which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 1st in baseball with 10.05 hits per game. Xander Bogaerts comes into this game hitting .300 and his on-base percentage is at .360. He has 169 hits this season along with 99 runs scored and 79 runs batted in. He's struck out 104 times and has walked 49 times. Mookie Betts is hitting .316 and he has an on-base percentage of .357. He has totaled 185 hits so far while scoring 105 runs and he's driven in 100. He has walked 39 times and has struck out 78 times. The Red Sox have 1,397 hits, including 307 doubles and 178 home runs. They've stolen 74 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 19 times. Boston has walked 473 times this season and they've struck out 1,009 times as a unit. They've left 1,005 men on base and have a team OPS of .817. They score 5.5 runs per contest and have scored a total of 764 runs so far this year.
Toronto comes into this matchup with a 40-28 home record and a 77-62 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.34, J.A. Happ has a 17-4 record and a 1.18 WHIP. He has 144 strikeouts over the 164.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 145 hits. He has allowed 7.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.95. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.96 and they have given up 379 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .248 against the Blue Jays bullpen while being struck out 402 times and walking 112 times this season. As a team, Toronto has allowed 8.35 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.1 batters per nine. They are 7th in the league in team earned run average at 3.86. The Blue Jays pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,163 base knocks and 537 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 161 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Toronto as a staff has walked 383 hitters and struck out 1,128. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.23 while their FIP as a staff is 4.06.
As a team, they are batting .249, good for 23rd in the league while putting together a .266 average at home. The Blue Jays hold a .434 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .329 which is good for 7th in baseball. They rank 23rd in baseball with 8.5 hits per contest. Josh Donaldson comes into this matchup batting .290 and he has an OBP of .405. He has 147 hits this year along with 109 runs scored and 92 RBI. He's struck out 101 times and has walked on 93 occasions. Edwin Encarnacion is hitting .267 and he has an OBP of .358. He has collected 138 hits so far while he's scored 86 runs and drove in 112. He has earned a walk 71 times and has punched out 119 times. The Blue Jays as a unit have 1,181 base hits, including 244 doubles and 198 homers. They have 43 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 20 times. Toronto as a team has walked 525 times this year and they have struck out 1,176 times. They've had 942 men left on base and have an OPS of .763. They score 4.86 runs per game and have totaled 675 runs so far this season.
Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
The Boston Red Sox are 69-64-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Boston Red Sox are 70-69-0 against the run line so far this season
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends
The Toronto Blue Jays are 57-76-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Toronto Blue Jays are 72-67-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
Boston Red Sox
09/07/16 P Steven Wright Shoulder out indefinitely
08/25/16 LF Andrew Benintendi Knee 15-day DL (8/25)
06/17/16 2B Josh Rutledge Knee 60-day DL (6/15)
06/07/16 P Carson Smith Elbow 60-day DL (5/15)
06/06/16 C Blake Swihart Ankle 60-day DL (6/5)
05/03/16 3B Pablo Sandoval Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11); out for season
04/04/16 P Brandon Workman Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Toronto Blue Jays
09/08/16 C Russell Martin Knee injured last game, "?" Friday vs. Boston Red Sox
06/27/16 P Gavin Floyd Shoulder 60-day DL (6/26)
Josh's Pick: Take the Red Sox
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