Saturday, June 11, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Jake Arrieta vs. Matt Wisler
The Chicago Cubs visit Turner Field on Saturday to play the Atlanta Braves. The probable starters are Jake Arrieta for the Cubs and Matt Wisler for the Braves. The opening line for this matchup has Chicago at -295 and Atlanta at +263. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Cubs have a 29-27-2 over/under record and a 36-22-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 62% of the time. The Braves are 24-35-0 against the run line and have a 26-27-6 over/under record. They cover the spread 41% of the time.
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The Cubs head into this matchup with a 41-17 record, including 19-9 on the road. Starting pitcher Jake Arrieta has a 9-1 record with an earned run average of 1.80 and a WHIP of 0.96. He has 87 strikeouts over his 80 innings pitched and he has given up 51 hits so far this season. He has allowed 5.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.49. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.21 and they have given up 111 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .199 against the bullpen while being struck out 164 times and walking 68 times this season. As a team, Chicago has allowed 6.36 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.05 batters per nine. They are 1st in the league in team earned run average at 2.55. The Cubs pitchers have collectively given up 372 base hits and 152 earned runs. They have allowed 45 home runs this season and they allow 0.8 homers per nine innings as a staff. Chicago as a pitching staff has walked 169 batters and struck out 526. They walk 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.03 and their FIP as a unit is 3.30.
As a team, Chicago is batting .256, good for 13th in the league while putting together a .271 average away from home. The Cubs hold a .422 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .351 which is good for 3rd in baseball. They rank 14th in baseball with 8.62 hits per game. Ben Zobrist comes into this game hitting .325 and his on-base percentage is at .436. He has 62 hits this season along with 42 runs scored and 36 runs batted in. He's struck out 28 times and has walked 39 times. Kris Bryant is hitting .284 and he has an on-base percentage of .362. He has totaled 65 hits so far while scoring 44 runs and he's driven in 43. He has walked 23 times and has struck out 58 times. The Cubs have 500 hits, including 101 doubles and 69 home runs. They've stolen 27 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 15 times. Chicago has walked 254 times this season and they've struck out 479 times as a unit. They've left 435 men on base and have a team OPS of .773. They score 5.4 runs per contest and have scored a total of 313 runs so far this year.
Atlanta comes into this matchup with a 6-23 home record and a 17-42 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.98, Matt Wisler has a 2-6 record and a 1.12 WHIP. He has 53 strikeouts over the 72.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 61 hits. He has allowed 7.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.23. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.34 and they have given up 194 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .249 against the Braves bullpen while being struck out 208 times and walking 96 times this season. As a team, Atlanta has allowed 8.68 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.73 batters per nine. They are 23rd in the league in team earned run average at 4.46. The Braves pitchers as a team have surrendered 512 base knocks and 263 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 65 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Atlanta as a staff has walked 206 hitters and struck out 456. They give up a walk 3.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.35 while their FIP as a staff is 4.30.
As a team, they are batting .230, good for 30th in the league while putting together a .222 average at home. The Braves hold a .317 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .295 which is good for 28th in baseball. They rank 28th in baseball with 7.76 hits per contest. Nick Markakis comes into this matchup batting .249 and he has an OBP of .341. He has 53 hits this year along with 19 runs scored and 34 RBI. He's struck out 40 times and has walked on 30 occasions. Freddie Freeman is hitting .250 and he has an OBP of .345. He has collected 54 hits so far while he's scored 27 runs and drove in 17. He has earned a walk 28 times and has punched out 65 times. The Braves as a unit have 458 base hits, including 86 doubles and 23 homers. They have 25 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 16 times. Atlanta as a team has walked 170 times this year and they have struck out 470 times. They've had 414 men left on base and have an OPS of .612. They score 3.1 runs per game and have totaled 183 runs so far this season.
Chicago Cubs Betting Trends
The Chicago Cubs are 29-27-2 against the over/under so far this season
The Chicago Cubs are 36-22-0 against the run line so far this season
Atlanta Braves Betting Trends
The Atlanta Braves are 26-27-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Atlanta Braves are 24-35-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
06/09/16 2B Tommy La Stella Hamstring 15-day DL (6/8)
06/07/16 LF Jorge Soler Hamstring 15-day DL (6/6)
05/18/16 P Joe Nathan Elbow 60-day DL (5/17)
04/08/16 C Kyle Schwarber Knee 60-day DL (4/8); out for season
04/04/16 P Aaron Brooks Hip 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 3B Christian Villanueva Fibula 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Dallas Beeler Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Zac Rosscup Shoulder 60-day DL (2/25)
06/08/16 P Williams Perez Rotator Cuff 15-day DL (6/7)
06/03/16 P Mike Foltynewicz Elbow 15-day DL (6/1)
06/02/16 3B Gordon Beckham Hamstring 15-day DL (6/2)
05/29/16 SS Erick Aybar Foot 15-day DL (5/28)
05/27/16 2B Hector Olivera Suspension 82 game suspension, eligible to return (8/1)
04/12/16 P Daniel Winkler Elbow 15-day DL (4/11)
04/04/16 P Andrew McKiraha Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Paco Rodrigue Elbow out for season
04/04/16 P Shae Simmons Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
Josh's Pick: Take the Cubs
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