Monday, June 27, 2016
Great American Ball Park
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Probable Pitchers: Jake Arrieta vs. Dan Straily
The Chicago Cubs visit Great American Ball Park on Monday to play the Cincinnati Reds. The probable starters are Jake Arrieta for the Cubs and Dan Straily for the Reds. The opening line for this matchup has Chicago at -265 and Cincinnati at +242. The over/under was set at 8. The Cubs have a 36-35-2 over/under record and a 41-32-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 56% of the time. The Reds are 38-37-0 against the run line and have a 42-27-6 over/under record. They cover the spread 51% of the time.
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The Cubs head into this matchup with a 48-25 record, including 23-14 on the road. Starting pitcher Jake Arrieta has a 11-2 record with an earned run average of 1.74 and a WHIP of 0.98. He has 107 strikeouts over his 98 innings pitched and he has given up 61 hits so far this season. He has allowed 5.6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.51. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.40 and they have given up 147 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .202 against the bullpen while being struck out 204 times and walking 85 times this season. As a team, Chicago has allowed 6.63 hits per nine innings while striking out 9 batters per nine. They are 1st in the league in team earned run average at 2.74. The Cubs pitchers have collectively given up 486 base hits and 204 earned runs. They have allowed 60 home runs this season and they allow 0.8 homers per nine innings as a staff. Chicago as a pitching staff has walked 218 batters and struck out 657. They walk 3 men per 9 innings while striking out 9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.07 and their FIP as a unit is 3.44.
As a team, Chicago is batting .254, good for 15th in the league while putting together a .265 average away from home. The Cubs hold a .429 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .349 which is good for 2nd in baseball. They rank 16th in baseball with 8.55 hits per game. Anthony Rizzo comes into this game hitting .279 and his on-base percentage is at .402. He has 69 hits this season along with 43 runs scored and 54 runs batted in. He's struck out 39 times and has walked 41 times. Kris Bryant is hitting .268 and he has an on-base percentage of .362. He has totaled 74 hits so far while scoring 55 runs and he's driven in 50. He has walked 34 times and has struck out 72 times. The Cubs have 624 hits, including 133 doubles and 92 home runs. They've stolen 29 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 16 times. Chicago has walked 317 times this season and they've struck out 617 times as a unit. They've left 540 men on base and have a team OPS of .778. They score 5.26 runs per contest and have scored a total of 384 runs so far this year.
Cincinnati comes into this matchup with a 17-22 home record and a 28-47 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.83, Dan Straily has a 4-4 record and a 1.17 WHIP. He has 72 strikeouts over the 84.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 62 hits. He has allowed 6.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.34. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 6.16 and they have given up 291 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .273 against the Reds bullpen while being struck out 232 times and walking 148 times this season. As a team, Cincinnati has allowed 9.52 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.15 batters per nine. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.42. The Reds pitchers as a team have surrendered 703 base knocks and 400 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 124 home runs this year and they give up 1.7 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Cincinnati as a staff has walked 327 hitters and struck out 528. They give up a walk 4.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.2 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.55 while their FIP as a staff is 5.60.
As a team, they are batting .237, good for 25th in the league while putting together a .234 average at home. The Reds hold a .404 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .295 which is good for 29th in baseball. They rank 28th in baseball with 7.85 hits per contest. Zack Cozart comes into this matchup batting .276 and he has an OBP of .317. He has 69 hits this year along with 41 runs scored and 31 RBI. He's struck out 37 times and has walked on 15 occasions. Jay Bruce is hitting .280 and he has an OBP of .329. He has collected 73 hits so far while he's scored 43 runs and drove in 57. He has earned a walk 18 times and has punched out 59 times. The Reds as a unit have 589 base hits, including 128 doubles and 85 homers. They have 50 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 26 times. Cincinnati as a team has walked 191 times this year and they have struck out 634 times. They've had 406 men left on base and have an OPS of .699. They score 4.28 runs per game and have totaled 321 runs so far this season.
Chicago Cubs Betting Trends
The Chicago Cubs are 36-35-2 against the over/under so far this season
The Chicago Cubs are 41-32-0 against the run line so far this season
Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends
The Cincinnati Reds are 42-27-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Cincinnati Reds are 38-37-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
06/26/16 2B Ben Zobrist Foot is upgraded to expected to be in the starting lineup Sunday vs. Miami Marlins
06/21/16 P Clayton Richard Finger 15-day DL (6/21)
06/20/16 CF Dexter Fowler Hamstring 15-day DL (6/19)
06/09/16 2B Tommy La Stella Hamstring 15-day DL (6/8)
06/07/16 LF Jorge Soler Hamstring 15-day DL (6/6)
05/18/16 P Joe Nathan Elbow 60-day DL (5/17)
04/08/16 C Kyle Schwarber Knee 60-day DL (4/8); out for season
04/04/16 P Aaron Brooks Hip 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 3B Christian Villanueva Fibula 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Dallas Beeler Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Zac Rosscup Shoulder 60-day DL (2/25)
06/26/16 CF Billy Hamilton Rest is not expected to be in the starting lineup Sunday vs. San Diego Padres
06/23/16 P Alfredo Simon Trapezius 15-day DL (6/16)
06/01/16 P Caleb Cotham Shoulder 15-day DL (5/29)
05/20/16 P Tim Adleman Oblique 15-day DL (5/20)
05/02/16 C Devin Mesoraco Shoulder 60-day DL (5/1); out for season
04/10/16 CF Yorman Rodriguez Hamstring 60-day DL (3/27)
04/04/16 P Homer Bailey Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Tony's Pick: Take the Cubs
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