Tuesday, June 28, 2016
Great American Ball Park
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Probable Pitchers: Jon Lester vs. John Lamb
The Chicago Cubs head to Great American Ball Park on Tuesday to take on the Cincinnati Reds. The probable pitchers are Jon Lester for the Cubs and John Lamb for the Reds. The opening line for this game has Chicago at -270 and Cincinnati at +245. The over/under is 8.5. The Cubs have a 37-35-2 over/under mark and a 41-33-0 run line record, meaning they cover 55% of the time. The Reds are 39-37-0 against the run line and have a 42-28-6 over/under record. They cover the spread 51% of the time.
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The Cubs head into this game with a 48-26 record, and they are 23-15 on the road. Starting pitcher Jon Lester has a 9-3 record with an ERA of 2.10 and a WHIP of 1.00. He has 99 strikeouts during his 98.2 innings pitched and he has given up 76 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 6.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.2. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.50 and they have allowed 152 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .205 against the pen while they've been struck out 206 times and walked 86 times this year. As a unit, Chicago has given up 6.67 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.96 hitters per nine. They are 1st in the Majors in team earned run average at 2.77. The Cubs pitchers have collectively given up 495 base hits and 209 earned runs. They have allowed 60 home runs this season and they allow 0.8 homers per nine innings as a staff. Chicago as a pitching staff has walked 221 batters and struck out 662. They walk 3 men per 9 innings while striking out 9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.08 and their FIP as a unit is 3.45.
As a team, Chicago is hitting .253, good for 15th in the league while putting together a .263 average on the road. The Cubs have a .426 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .348 which is good for 2nd in the league. They rank 16th in baseball with 8.5 hits per contest. Anthony Rizzo comes into this game hitting .283 and his on-base percentage is at .403. He has 71 hits this season along with 43 runs scored and 54 runs batted in. He's struck out 41 times and has walked 41 times. Kris Bryant is hitting .265 and he has an on-base percentage of .357. He has totaled 74 hits so far while scoring 55 runs and he's driven in 51. He has walked 34 times and has struck out 74 times. The Cubs have 629 hits, including 133 doubles and 92 home runs. They've stolen 29 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 17 times. Chicago has walked 320 times this season and they've struck out 632 times as a unit. They've left 546 men on base and have a team OPS of .774. They score 5.2 runs per contest and have scored a total of 385 runs so far this year.
Cincinnati comes into this game with a 18-22 home mark and a 29-47 overall record. With an ERA of 4.78, John Lamb has a 1-4 record and a 1.50 WHIP. He has 34 strikeouts over the 52.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 55 hits. He has allowed 9.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.24. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 6.13 and they have given up 291 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .272 against the Reds bullpen while being struck out 233 times and walking 148 times this season. As a team, Cincinnati has allowed 9.46 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.14 batters per nine. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.35. The Reds pitchers as a team have surrendered 708 base knocks and 400 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 124 home runs this year and they give up 1.7 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Cincinnati as a staff has walked 327 hitters and struck out 534. They give up a walk 4.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.54 while their FIP as a staff is 5.56.
As a team, they are batting .237, good for 26th in the league while putting together a .235 average at home. The Reds hold a .404 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .296 which is good for 29th in baseball. They rank 28th in baseball with 7.87 hits per contest. Zack Cozart comes into this matchup batting .273 and he has an OBP of .316. He has 69 hits this year along with 41 runs scored and 31 RBI. He's struck out 38 times and has walked on 16 occasions. Jay Bruce is hitting .279 and he has an OBP of .328. He has collected 74 hits so far while he's scored 44 runs and drove in 58. He has earned a walk 18 times and has punched out 60 times. The Reds as a unit have 598 base hits, including 129 doubles and 86 homers. They have 51 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 26 times. Cincinnati as a team has walked 195 times this year and they have struck out 641 times. They've had 415 men left on base and have an OPS of .700. They score 4.26 runs per game and have totaled 324 runs so far this season.
Chicago Cubs Betting Trends
The Chicago Cubs are 37-35-2 against the over/under so far this season
The Chicago Cubs are 41-33-0 against the run line so far this season
Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends
The Cincinnati Reds are 42-28-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Cincinnati Reds are 39-37-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
06/21/16 P Clayton Richard Finger 15-day DL (6/21)
06/20/16 CF Dexter Fowler Hamstring 15-day DL (6/19)
06/09/16 2B Tommy La Stella Hamstring 15-day DL (6/8)
06/07/16 LF Jorge Soler Hamstring 15-day DL (6/6)
05/18/16 P Joe Nathan Elbow 60-day DL (5/17)
04/08/16 C Kyle Schwarber Knee 60-day DL (4/8); out for season
04/04/16 P Aaron Brooks Hip 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 3B Christian Villanueva Fibula 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Dallas Beeler Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Zac Rosscup Shoulder 60-day DL (2/25)
06/23/16 P Alfredo Simon Trapezius 15-day DL (6/16)
06/01/16 P Caleb Cotham Shoulder 15-day DL (5/29)
05/20/16 P Tim Adleman Oblique 15-day DL (5/20)
05/02/16 C Devin Mesoraco Shoulder 60-day DL (5/1); out for season
04/10/16 CF Yorman Rodriguez Hamstring 60-day DL (3/27)
04/04/16 P Homer Bailey Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Josh's Pick: Take the Reds
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