Wednesday, June 29, 2016
Great American Ball Park
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Probable Pitchers: Kyle Hendricks vs. Cody Reed
The Chicago Cubs head to Great American Ball Park on Wednesday to take on the Cincinnati Reds. The probable pitchers are Kyle Hendricks for the Cubs and Cody Reed for the Reds. The opening line for this game has Chicago at -208 and Cincinnati at +193. The over/under is 9. The Cubs have a 38-35-2 over/under mark and a 42-33-0 run line record, meaning they cover 56% of the time. The Reds are 39-38-0 against the run line and have a 43-28-6 over/under record. They cover the spread 51% of the time.
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The Cubs head into this game with a 49-26 record, and they are 24-15 on the road. Starting pitcher Kyle Hendricks has a 5-6 record with an ERA of 2.76 and a WHIP of 1.02. He has 78 strikeouts during his 84.2 innings pitched and he has given up 63 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 6.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.37. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.56 and they have allowed 156 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .206 against the pen while they've been struck out 208 times and walked 87 times this year. As a unit, Chicago has given up 6.69 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.92 hitters per nine. They are 1st in the Majors in team earned run average at 2.84. The Cubs pitchers have collectively given up 503 base hits and 217 earned runs. They have allowed 62 home runs this season and they allow 0.8 homers per nine innings as a staff. Chicago as a pitching staff has walked 227 batters and struck out 668. They walk 3 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.08 and their FIP as a unit is 3.51.
As a team, Chicago is hitting .256, good for 15th in the league while putting together a .267 average on the road. The Cubs have a .433 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .349 which is good for 2nd in the league. They rank 16th in baseball with 8.61 hits per contest. Anthony Rizzo comes into this game hitting .287 and his on-base percentage is at .410. He has 73 hits this season along with 44 runs scored and 55 runs batted in. He's struck out 41 times and has walked 43 times. Kris Bryant is hitting .278 and he has an on-base percentage of .367. He has totaled 79 hits so far while scoring 59 runs and he's driven in 57. He has walked 34 times and has struck out 74 times. The Cubs have 646 hits, including 137 doubles and 97 home runs. They've stolen 29 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 17 times. Chicago has walked 323 times this season and they've struck out 639 times as a unit. They've left 554 men on base and have a team OPS of .782. They score 5.28 runs per contest and have scored a total of 396 runs so far this year.
Cincinnati comes into this game with a 18-23 home mark and a 29-48 overall record. With an ERA of 6.75, Cody Reed has a 0-1 record and a 1.67 WHIP. He has 15 strikeouts over the 12 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 15 hits. He has allowed 11.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.15. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 6.11 and they have given up 299 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .273 against the Reds bullpen while being struck out 238 times and walking 148 times this season. As a team, Cincinnati has allowed 9.56 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.14 batters per nine. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.41. The Reds pitchers as a team have surrendered 725 base knocks and 410 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 129 home runs this year and they give up 1.7 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Cincinnati as a staff has walked 330 hitters and struck out 541. They give up a walk 4.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.55 while their FIP as a staff is 5.63.
As a team, they are batting .238, good for 26th in the league while putting together a .236 average at home. The Reds hold a .406 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .297 which is good for 29th in baseball. They rank 28th in baseball with 7.88 hits per contest. Zack Cozart comes into this matchup batting .268 and he has an OBP of .314. He has 69 hits this year along with 42 runs scored and 31 RBI. He's struck out 38 times and has walked on 17 occasions. Jay Bruce is hitting .278 and he has an OBP of .325. He has collected 75 hits so far while he's scored 44 runs and drove in 59. He has earned a walk 18 times and has punched out 61 times. The Reds as a unit have 606 base hits, including 132 doubles and 88 homers. They have 55 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 26 times. Cincinnati as a team has walked 201 times this year and they have struck out 647 times. They've had 421 men left on base and have an OPS of .702. They score 4.31 runs per game and have totaled 332 runs so far this season.
Chicago Cubs Betting Trends
The Chicago Cubs are 38-35-2 against the over/under so far this season
The Chicago Cubs are 42-33-0 against the run line so far this season
Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends
The Cincinnati Reds are 43-28-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Cincinnati Reds are 39-38-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
06/21/16 P Clayton Richard Finger 15-day DL (6/21)
06/20/16 CF Dexter Fowler Hamstring 15-day DL (6/19)
06/09/16 2B Tommy La Stella Hamstring 15-day DL (6/8)
06/07/16 LF Jorge Soler Hamstring 15-day DL (6/6)
05/18/16 P Joe Nathan Elbow 60-day DL (5/17)
04/08/16 C Kyle Schwarber Knee 60-day DL (4/8); out for season
04/04/16 P Aaron Brooks Hip 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 3B Christian Villanueva Fibula 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Dallas Beeler Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Zac Rosscup Shoulder 60-day DL (2/25)
06/23/16 P Alfredo Simon Trapezius 15-day DL (6/16)
06/01/16 P Caleb Cotham Shoulder 15-day DL (5/29)
05/20/16 P Tim Adleman Oblique 15-day DL (5/20)
05/02/16 C Devin Mesoraco Shoulder 60-day DL (5/1); out for season
04/10/16 CF Yorman Rodriguez Hamstring 60-day DL (3/27)
04/04/16 P Homer Bailey Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Guy's Pick: Take the Reds
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