Thursday, June 23, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Jon Lester vs. Wei-Yin Chen
The Chicago Cubs visit Marlins Park on Thursday to play the Miami Marlins. The probable starters are Jon Lester for the Cubs and Wei-Yin Chen for the Marlins. The opening line for this matchup has Chicago at -166 and Miami at +156. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Cubs have a 33-34-2 over/under record and a 41-28-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 59% of the time. The Marlins are 34-37-0 against the run line and have a 36-34-1 over/under record. They cover the spread 48% of the time.
The Cubs head into this matchup with a 47-22 record, including 22-12 on the road. Starting pitcher Jon Lester has a 9-3 record with an earned run average of 2.06 and a WHIP of 0.99. He has 92 strikeouts over his 91.2 innings pitched and he has given up 71 hits so far this season. He has allowed 7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.97. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.24 and they have given up 136 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .201 against the bullpen while being struck out 192 times and walking 82 times this season. As a team, Chicago has allowed 6.59 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.99 batters per nine. They are 1st in the league in team earned run average at 2.63. The Cubs pitchers have collectively given up 458 base hits and 186 earned runs. They have allowed 55 home runs this season and they allow 0.8 homers per nine innings as a staff. Chicago as a pitching staff has walked 201 batters and struck out 622. They walk 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.06 and their FIP as a unit is 3.36.
As a team, Chicago is batting .257, good for 14th in the league while putting together a .267 average away from home. The Cubs hold a .430 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .351 which is good for 2nd in baseball. They rank 15th in baseball with 8.67 hits per game. Anthony Rizzo comes into this game hitting .275 and his on-base percentage is at .401. He has 66 hits this season along with 43 runs scored and 54 runs batted in. He's struck out 39 times and has walked 41 times. Kris Bryant is hitting .270 and he has an on-base percentage of .360. He has totaled 71 hits so far while scoring 52 runs and he's driven in 48. He has walked 30 times and has struck out 67 times. The Cubs have 598 hits, including 127 doubles and 86 home runs. They've stolen 29 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 16 times. Chicago has walked 299 times this season and they've struck out 582 times as a unit. They've left 511 men on base and have a team OPS of .780. They score 5.35 runs per contest and have scored a total of 369 runs so far this year.
Miami comes into this matchup with a 17-18 home record and a 37-34 overall mark. With an earned run average of 5.22, Wei-Yin Chen has a 4-2 record and a 1.34 WHIP. He has 65 strikeouts over the 79.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 87 hits. He has allowed 9.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.73. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.73 and they have given up 202 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .231 against the Marlins bullpen while being struck out 241 times and walking 109 times this season. As a team, Miami has allowed 8.38 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.62 batters per nine. They are 13th in the league in team earned run average at 4.00. The Marlins pitchers as a team have surrendered 589 base knocks and 281 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 62 home runs this year and they give up 0.9 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Miami as a staff has walked 268 hitters and struck out 606. They give up a walk 3.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.36 while their FIP as a staff is 3.88.
As a team, they are batting .271, good for 4th in the league while putting together a .257 average at home. The Marlins hold a .408 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .329 which is good for 9th in baseball. They rank 3rd in baseball with 9.39 hits per contest. Marcell Ozuna comes into this matchup batting .321 and he has an OBP of .373. He has 84 hits this year along with 44 runs scored and 43 RBI. He's struck out 59 times and has walked on 22 occasions. Martin Prado is hitting .320 and he has an OBP of .367. He has collected 85 hits so far while he's scored 31 runs and drove in 22. He has earned a walk 20 times and has punched out 32 times. The Marlins as a unit have 667 base hits, including 118 doubles and 61 homers. They have 19 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 10 times. Miami as a team has walked 203 times this year and they have struck out 538 times. They've had 535 men left on base and have an OPS of .737. They score 4.11 runs per game and have totaled 292 runs so far this season.
Chicago Cubs Betting Trends
The Chicago Cubs are 33-34-2 against the over/under so far this season
The Chicago Cubs are 41-28-0 against the run line so far this season
Miami Marlins Betting Trends
The Miami Marlins are 36-34-1 against the over/under so far this season
The Miami Marlins are 34-37-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
06/21/16 P Clayton Richard Finger 15-day DL (6/21)
06/20/16 CF Dexter Fowler Hamstring 15-day DL (6/19)
06/09/16 2B Tommy La Stella Hamstring 15-day DL (6/8)
06/07/16 LF Jorge Soler Hamstring 15-day DL (6/6)
05/18/16 P Joe Nathan Elbow 60-day DL (5/17)
04/08/16 C Kyle Schwarber Knee 60-day DL (4/8); out for season
04/04/16 P Aaron Brooks Hip 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 3B Christian Villanueva Fibula 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Dallas Beeler Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Zac Rosscup Shoulder 60-day DL (2/25)
05/26/16 P Bryan Morris Back 15-day DL (5/25)
05/15/16 P Kendry Flores Shoulder 15-day DL (5/15)
04/29/16 2B Dee Gordon Suspension expected to miss 80 games
04/04/16 P Raudel Lazo Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/03/16 P Carter Capps Arm 60-day DL; out for season
Tony's Pick: Take the Cubs
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