Sunday, June 26, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Jason Hammel vs. Jose Fernandez
The Chicago Cubs head to Marlins Park on Sunday to take on the Miami Marlins. The probable pitchers are Jason Hammel for the Cubs and Jose Fernandez for the Marlins. The opening line for this game has Chicago at +137 and Miami at -147. The over/under is 7. The Cubs have a 35-35-2 over/under mark and a 41-31-0 run line record, meaning they cover 57% of the time. The Marlins are 37-37-0 against the run line and have a 37-36-1 over/under record. They cover the spread 50% of the time.
The Cubs head into this game with a 48-24 record, and they are 23-13 on the road. Starting pitcher Jason Hammel has a 7-3 record with an ERA of 2.55 and a WHIP of 1.08. He has 67 strikeouts during his 81.1 innings pitched and he has given up 63 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.83. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.42 and they have allowed 144 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .202 against the pen while they've been struck out 202 times and walked 85 times this year. As a unit, Chicago has given up 6.57 base hits per nine innings while striking out 9.01 hitters per nine. They are 1st in the Majors in team earned run average at 2.66. The Cubs pitchers have collectively given up 476 base hits and 196 earned runs. They have allowed 59 home runs this season and they allow 0.8 homers per nine innings as a staff. Chicago as a pitching staff has walked 215 batters and struck out 650. They walk 3 men per 9 innings while striking out 9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.07 and their FIP as a unit is 3.43.
As a team, Chicago is hitting .254, good for 15th in the league while putting together a .266 average on the road. The Cubs have a .427 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .348 which is good for 2nd in the league. They rank 15th in baseball with 8.56 hits per contest. Anthony Rizzo comes into this game hitting .277 and his on-base percentage is at .402. He has 67 hits this season along with 43 runs scored and 54 runs batted in. He's struck out 39 times and has walked 41 times. Kris Bryant is hitting .268 and he has an on-base percentage of .361. He has totaled 73 hits so far while scoring 54 runs and he's driven in 50. He has walked 33 times and has struck out 71 times. The Cubs have 616 hits, including 129 doubles and 90 home runs. They've stolen 29 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 16 times. Chicago has walked 309 times this season and they've struck out 609 times as a unit. They've left 530 men on base and have a team OPS of .776. They score 5.25 runs per contest and have scored a total of 378 runs so far this year.
Miami comes into this game with a 19-19 home mark and a 39-35 overall record. With an ERA of 2.36, Jose Fernandez has a 9-3 record and a 0.99 WHIP. He has 125 strikeouts over the 87.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 60 hits. He has allowed 6.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 2.05. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.68 and they have given up 207 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .231 against the Marlins bullpen while being struck out 251 times and walking 114 times this season. As a team, Miami has allowed 8.32 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.64 batters per nine. They are 9th in the league in team earned run average at 3.93. The Marlins pitchers as a team have surrendered 610 base knocks and 288 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 65 home runs this year and they give up 0.9 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Miami as a staff has walked 276 hitters and struck out 633. They give up a walk 3.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.34 while their FIP as a staff is 3.89.
As a team, they are batting .268, good for 5th in the league while putting together a .252 average at home. The Marlins hold a .406 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .327 which is good for 9th in baseball. They rank 7th in baseball with 9.26 hits per contest. Marcell Ozuna comes into this matchup batting .320 and he has an OBP of .375. He has 87 hits this year along with 47 runs scored and 44 RBI. He's struck out 59 times and has walked on 24 occasions. Martin Prado is hitting .311 and he has an OBP of .360. He has collected 85 hits so far while he's scored 31 runs and drove in 22. He has earned a walk 21 times and has punched out 36 times. The Marlins as a unit have 685 base hits, including 119 doubles and 65 homers. They have 21 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 11 times. Miami as a team has walked 212 times this year and they have struck out 562 times. They've had 551 men left on base and have an OPS of .733. They score 4.09 runs per game and have totaled 303 runs so far this season.
Chicago Cubs Betting Trends
The Chicago Cubs are 35-35-2 against the over/under so far this season
The Chicago Cubs are 41-31-0 against the run line so far this season
Miami Marlins Betting Trends
The Miami Marlins are 37-36-1 against the over/under so far this season
The Miami Marlins are 37-37-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
06/25/16 C Miguel Montero Knee is upgraded to probable Saturday vs. Miami Marlins
06/24/16 1B Anthony Rizzo Back "?" Saturday vs. Miami Marlins
06/24/16 2B Ben Zobrist Foot injured last game, doubtful Saturday vs. Miami Marlins
06/21/16 P Clayton Richard Finger 15-day DL (6/21)
06/20/16 CF Dexter Fowler Hamstring 15-day DL (6/19)
06/09/16 2B Tommy La Stella Hamstring 15-day DL (6/8)
06/07/16 LF Jorge Soler Hamstring 15-day DL (6/6)
05/18/16 P Joe Nathan Elbow 60-day DL (5/17)
04/08/16 C Kyle Schwarber Knee 60-day DL (4/8); out for season
04/04/16 P Aaron Brooks Hip 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 3B Christian Villanueva Fibula 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Dallas Beeler Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Zac Rosscup Shoulder 60-day DL (2/25)
05/26/16 P Bryan Morris Back 15-day DL (5/25)
05/15/16 P Kendry Flores Shoulder 15-day DL (5/15)
04/29/16 2B Dee Gordon Suspension expected to miss 80 games
04/04/16 P Raudel Lazo Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/03/16 P Carter Capps Arm 60-day DL; out for season
Tony's Pick: Take the Marlins
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