Wednesday, May 18, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: John Lackey vs. Jimmy Nelson
The Chicago Cubs visit Miller Park on Wednesday to play the Milwaukee Brewers. The probable starters are John Lackey for the Cubs and Jimmy Nelson for the Brewers. The opening line for this matchup has Chicago at -161 and Milwaukee at +151. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Cubs have a 22-12-2 over/under record and a 24-12-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 67% of the time. The Brewers are 16-22-0 against the run line and have a 23-13-2 over/under record. They cover the spread 42% of the time.
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The Cubs head into this matchup with a 27-9 record, including 13-3 on the road. Starting pitcher John Lackey has a 4-2 record with an earned run average of 3.54 and a WHIP of 0.97. He has 47 strikeouts over his 48.1 innings pitched and he has given up 37 hits so far this season. He has allowed 6.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.18. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.66 and they have given up 67 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .196 against the bullpen while being struck out 105 times and walking 46 times this season. As a team, Chicago has allowed 6.42 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.95 batters per nine. They are 1st in the league in team earned run average at 2.62. The Cubs pitchers have collectively given up 234 base hits and 96 earned runs. They have allowed 26 home runs this season and they allow 0.7 homers per nine innings as a staff. Chicago as a pitching staff has walked 109 batters and struck out 325. They walk 3 men per 9 innings while striking out 9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.05 and their FIP as a unit is 3.23.
As a team, Chicago is batting .263, good for 8th in the league while putting together a .284 average away from home. The Cubs hold a .434 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .365 which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 9th in baseball with 8.94 hits per game. Anthony Rizzo comes into this game hitting .273 and his on-base percentage is at .409. He has 36 hits this season along with 29 runs scored and 34 runs batted in. He's struck out 19 times and has walked 26 times. Kris Bryant is hitting .275 and he has an on-base percentage of .356. He has totaled 39 hits so far while scoring 26 runs and he's driven in 25. He has walked 16 times and has struck out 33 times. The Cubs have 322 hits, including 71 doubles and 42 home runs. They've stolen 20 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 8 times. Chicago has walked 182 times this season and they've struck out 281 times as a unit. They've left 289 men on base and have a team OPS of .799. They score 5.94 runs per contest and have scored a total of 214 runs so far this year.
Milwaukee comes into this matchup with a 10-11 home record and a 16-22 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.51, Jimmy Nelson has a 4-3 record and a 1.17 WHIP. He has 41 strikeouts over the 51.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 41 hits. He has allowed 7.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.75. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.15 and they have given up 139 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .268 against the Brewers bullpen while being struck out 113 times and walking 61 times this season. As a team, Milwaukee has allowed 10 hits per nine innings while striking out 6.92 batters per nine. They are 29th in the league in team earned run average at 5.14. The Brewers pitchers as a team have surrendered 370 base knocks and 190 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 56 home runs this year and they give up 1.5 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Milwaukee as a staff has walked 144 hitters and struck out 256. They give up a walk 3.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 6.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.54 while their FIP as a staff is 5.13.
As a team, they are batting .250, good for 16th in the league while putting together a .269 average at home. The Brewers hold a .407 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .335 which is good for 8th in baseball. They rank 20th in baseball with 8.18 hits per contest. Ryan Braun comes into this matchup batting .367 and he has an OBP of .434. He has 47 hits this year along with 20 runs scored and 27 RBI. He's struck out 20 times and has walked on 15 occasions. Jonathan Lucroy is hitting .310 and he has an OBP of .373. He has collected 40 hits so far while he's scored 22 runs and drove in 15. He has earned a walk 12 times and has punched out 25 times. The Brewers as a unit have 311 base hits, including 67 doubles and 42 homers. They have 24 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 12 times. Milwaukee as a team has walked 158 times this year and they have struck out 359 times. They've had 267 men left on base and have an OPS of .742. They score 4.39 runs per game and have totaled 167 runs so far this season.
Chicago Cubs Betting Trends
The Chicago Cubs are 22-12-2 against the over/under so far this season
The Chicago Cubs are 24-12-0 against the run line so far this season
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends
The Milwaukee Brewers are 23-13-2 against the over/under so far this season
The Milwaukee Brewers are 16-22-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
05/06/16 CF Matt Szczur Hamstring 15-day DL (5/3)
04/08/16 C Kyle Schwarber Knee 60-day DL (4/8); out for season
04/04/16 P Aaron Brooks Hip 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 3B Christian Villanueva Fibula 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Dallas Beeler Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Zac Rosscup Shoulder 60-day DL (2/25)
05/17/16 LF Ryan Braun Wrist "?" Tuesday vs. Chicago Cubs
04/28/16 P Matt Garza Shoulder 60-day DL (4/2)
04/04/16 P Corey Knebel Oblique 15-day DL (4/1)
04/04/16 LF Rymer Liriano Facial 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Zach Jones Shoulder 60-day DL (3/31)
04/02/16 P Yhonathan Barrios Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Sean Nolin Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
03/30/16 P Will Smith Knee 15-day DL (3/25)
Tony's Pick: Take the Brewers
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