Monday, September 5, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Kyle Hendricks vs. Zach Davies
The Chicago Cubs visit Miller Park on Monday to play the Milwaukee Brewers. The probable starters are Kyle Hendricks for the Cubs and Zach Davies for the Brewers. The opening line for this matchup has Chicago at -188 and Milwaukee at +178. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Cubs have a 62-66-7 over/under record and a 72-63-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 53% of the time. The Brewers are 71-64-0 against the run line and have a 63-65-7 over/under record. They cover the spread 53% of the time.
The Cubs head into this matchup with a 87-48 record, including 37-28 on the road. Starting pitcher Kyle Hendricks has a 13-7 record with an earned run average of 2.09 and a WHIP of 0.98. He has 139 strikeouts over his 159 innings pitched and he has given up 117 hits so far this season. He has allowed 6.6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.33. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.50 and they have given up 312 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .212 against the bullpen while being struck out 425 times and walking 166 times this season. As a team, Chicago has allowed 6.88 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.8 batters per nine. They are 1st in the league in team earned run average at 3.07. The Cubs pitchers have collectively given up 936 base hits and 421 earned runs. They have allowed 134 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Chicago as a pitching staff has walked 421 batters and struck out 1,195. They walk 3.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.11 and their FIP as a unit is 3.78.
As a team, Chicago is batting .257, good for 13th in the league while putting together a .265 average away from home. The Cubs hold a .430 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .345 which is good for 2nd in baseball. They rank 16th in baseball with 8.75 hits per game. Anthony Rizzo comes into this game hitting .292 and his on-base percentage is at .389. He has 143 hits this season along with 80 runs scored and 93 runs batted in. He's struck out 89 times and has walked 66 times. Kris Bryant is hitting .306 and he has an on-base percentage of .402. He has totaled 156 hits so far while scoring 112 runs and he's driven in 91. He has walked 68 times and has struck out 128 times. The Cubs have 1,181 hits, including 247 doubles and 167 home runs. They've stolen 55 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 30 times. Chicago has walked 550 times this season and they've struck out 1,129 times as a unit. They've left 1,017 men on base and have a team OPS of .775. They score 5.04 runs per contest and have scored a total of 681 runs so far this year.
Milwaukee comes into this matchup with a 37-35 home record and a 59-76 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.07, Zach Davies has a 10-6 record and a 1.26 WHIP. He has 117 strikeouts over the 139.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 141 hits. He has allowed 9.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.97. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.77 and they have given up 450 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .252 against the Brewers bullpen while being struck out 415 times and walking 189 times this season. As a team, Milwaukee has allowed 9.17 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.46 batters per nine. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.23. The Brewers pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,219 base knocks and 562 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 156 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Milwaukee as a staff has walked 468 hitters and struck out 991. They give up a walk 3.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.41 while their FIP as a staff is 4.50.
As a team, they are batting .244, good for 27th in the league while putting together a .247 average at home. The Brewers hold a .400 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .325 which is good for 13th in baseball. They rank 28th in baseball with 8.02 hits per contest. Jonathan Villar comes into this matchup batting .295 and he has an OBP of .376. He has 146 hits this year along with 73 runs scored and 47 RBI. He's struck out 147 times and has walked on 65 occasions. Ryan Braun is hitting .308 and he has an OBP of .369. He has collected 133 hits so far while he's scored 67 runs and drove in 74. He has earned a walk 40 times and has punched out 83 times. The Brewers as a unit have 1,083 base hits, including 210 doubles and 150 homers. They have 152 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 44 times. Milwaukee as a team has walked 519 times this year and they have struck out 1,293 times. They've had 924 men left on base and have an OPS of .726. They score 4.07 runs per game and have totaled 550 runs so far this season.
Chicago Cubs Betting Trends
The Chicago Cubs are 62-66-7 against the over/under so far this season
The Chicago Cubs are 72-63-0 against the run line so far this season
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends
The Milwaukee Brewers are 63-65-7 against the over/under so far this season
The Milwaukee Brewers are 71-64-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
09/03/16 LF Jorge Soler Toe "?" Sunday vs. San Francisco Giants
08/19/16 P Hector Rondon Tricep 15-day DL (8/17)
08/19/16 P John Lackey Shoulder 15-day DL (8/15) expected to be activated & start Sunday vs. San Francisco Giants
08/12/16 P Pedro Strop Knee 15-day DL (8/11)
04/08/16 C Kyle Schwarber Knee 60-day DL (4/8); out for season
04/04/16 P Aaron Brooks Hip 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 3B Christian Villanueva Fibula 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Dallas Beeler Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Zac Rosscup Shoulder 60-day DL (2/25)
05/27/16 P Chris Capuano Elbow 60-day DL (4/2)
04/04/16 LF Rymer Liriano Facial 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Zach Jones Shoulder 60-day DL (3/31)
04/02/16 P Yhonathan Barrios Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Sean Nolin Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Tony's Pick: Take the Cubs
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