Tuesday, September 6, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Jason Hammel vs. Wily Peralta
The Chicago Cubs head to Miller Park on Tuesday to take on the Milwaukee Brewers. The probable pitchers are Jason Hammel for the Cubs and Wily Peralta for the Brewers. The opening line for this game has Chicago at -173 and Milwaukee at +163. The over/under is 9. The Cubs have a 62-67-7 over/under mark and a 72-64-0 run line record, meaning they cover 53% of the time. The Brewers are 72-64-0 against the run line and have a 64-65-7 over/under record. They cover the spread 53% of the time.
The Cubs head into this game with a 88-48 record, and they are 37-28 on the road. Starting pitcher Jason Hammel has a 14-7 record with an ERA of 3.14 and a WHIP of 1.14. He has 122 strikeouts during his 146 innings pitched and he has given up 119 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 7.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.26. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.43 and they have allowed 315 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .210 against the pen while they've been struck out 436 times and walked 168 times this year. As a unit, Chicago has given up 6.84 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.82 hitters per nine. They are 1st in the Majors in team earned run average at 3.05. The Cubs pitchers have collectively given up 940 base hits and 422 earned runs. They have allowed 134 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Chicago as a pitching staff has walked 424 batters and struck out 1,210. They walk 3.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.11 and their FIP as a unit is 3.76.
As a team, Chicago is hitting .257, good for 14th in the league while putting together a .265 average on the road. The Cubs have a .428 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .344 which is good for 2nd in the league. They rank 15th in baseball with 8.76 hits per contest. Anthony Rizzo comes into this game hitting .294 and his on-base percentage is at .390. He has 146 hits this season along with 82 runs scored and 93 runs batted in. He's struck out 90 times and has walked 66 times. Kris Bryant is hitting .305 and he has an on-base percentage of .401. He has totaled 157 hits so far while scoring 112 runs and he's driven in 91. He has walked 68 times and has struck out 129 times. The Cubs have 1,191 hits, including 249 doubles and 167 home runs. They've stolen 56 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 30 times. Chicago has walked 554 times this season and they've struck out 1,137 times as a unit. They've left 1,028 men on base and have a team OPS of .773. They score 5.03 runs per contest and have scored a total of 684 runs so far this year.
Milwaukee comes into this game with a 37-35 home mark and a 60-76 overall record. With an ERA of 5.53, Wily Peralta has a 5-9 record and a 1.65 WHIP. He has 69 strikeouts over the 96 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 121 hits. He has allowed 11.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.13. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.73 and they have given up 451 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .251 against the Brewers bullpen while being struck out 416 times and walking 190 times this season. As a team, Milwaukee has allowed 9.15 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.42 batters per nine. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.20. The Brewers pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,225 base knocks and 562 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 156 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Milwaukee as a staff has walked 469 hitters and struck out 994. They give up a walk 3.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.41 while their FIP as a staff is 4.49.
As a team, they are batting .245, good for 26th in the league while putting together a .247 average at home. The Brewers hold a .403 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .326 which is good for 12th in baseball. They rank 28th in baseball with 8.04 hits per contest. Jonathan Villar comes into this matchup batting .296 and he has an OBP of .377. He has 147 hits this year along with 74 runs scored and 51 RBI. He's struck out 147 times and has walked on 65 occasions. Ryan Braun is hitting .308 and he has an OBP of .369. He has collected 133 hits so far while he's scored 67 runs and drove in 74. He has earned a walk 40 times and has punched out 83 times. The Brewers as a unit have 1,094 base hits, including 213 doubles and 154 homers. They have 153 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 45 times. Milwaukee as a team has walked 524 times this year and they have struck out 1,299 times. They've had 929 men left on base and have an OPS of .729. They score 4.12 runs per game and have totaled 560 runs so far this season.
Chicago Cubs Betting Trends
The Chicago Cubs are 62-67-7 against the over/under so far this season
The Chicago Cubs are 72-64-0 against the run line so far this season
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends
The Milwaukee Brewers are 64-65-7 against the over/under so far this season
The Milwaukee Brewers are 72-64-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
09/04/16 LF Jorge Soler Toe "?" Monday vs. Milwaukee Brewers
08/19/16 P Hector Rondon Tricep 15-day DL (8/17)
08/12/16 P Pedro Strop Knee 15-day DL (8/11)
04/08/16 C Kyle Schwarber Knee 60-day DL (4/8); out for season
04/04/16 P Aaron Brooks Hip 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 3B Christian Villanueva Fibula 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Dallas Beeler Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Zac Rosscup Shoulder 60-day DL (2/25)
09/04/16 3B Jonathan Villar Knee "?" Monday vs. Chicago Cubs
05/27/16 P Chris Capuano Elbow 60-day DL (4/2)
04/04/16 LF Rymer Liriano Facial 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Zach Jones Shoulder 60-day DL (3/31)
04/02/16 P Yhonathan Barrios Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Sean Nolin Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Guy's Pick: Take the Brewers
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