Thursday, June 30, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: John Lackey vs. Steven Matz
The Chicago Cubs head to Citi Field on Thursday to take on the New York Mets. The probable pitchers are John Lackey for the Cubs and Steven Matz for the Mets. The opening line for this game has Chicago at -109 and New York at -101. The over/under is 7.5. The Cubs have a 38-35-3 over/under mark and a 43-33-0 run line record, meaning they cover 57% of the time. The Mets are 29-47-0 against the run line and have a 35-40-1 over/under record. They cover the spread 38% of the time.
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The Cubs head into this game with a 50-26 record, and they are 25-15 on the road. Starting pitcher John Lackey has a 7-4 record with an ERA of 3.29 and a WHIP of 1.04. He has 102 strikeouts during his 98.1 innings pitched and he has given up 75 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 6.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.41. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.48 and they have allowed 161 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .206 against the pen while they've been struck out 217 times and walked 87 times this year. As a unit, Chicago has given up 6.65 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.9 hitters per nine. They are 1st in the Majors in team earned run average at 2.81. The Cubs pitchers have collectively given up 511 base hits and 219 earned runs. They have allowed 63 home runs this season and they allow 0.8 homers per nine innings as a staff. Chicago as a pitching staff has walked 228 batters and struck out 681. They walk 3 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.07 and their FIP as a unit is 3.50.
As a team, Chicago is hitting .254, good for 16th in the league while putting together a .263 average on the road. The Cubs have a .430 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .348 which is good for 2nd in the league. They rank 16th in baseball with 8.62 hits per contest. Anthony Rizzo comes into this game hitting .286 and his on-base percentage is at .410. He has 74 hits this season along with 45 runs scored and 55 runs batted in. He's struck out 42 times and has walked 45 times. Kris Bryant is hitting .277 and he has an on-base percentage of .368. He has totaled 80 hits so far while scoring 60 runs and he's driven in 58. He has walked 36 times and has struck out 75 times. The Cubs have 655 hits, including 139 doubles and 99 home runs. They've stolen 29 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 17 times. Chicago has walked 330 times this season and they've struck out 652 times as a unit. They've left 563 men on base and have a team OPS of .778. They score 5.3 runs per contest and have scored a total of 403 runs so far this year.
New York comes into this game with a 19-16 home mark and a 40-36 overall record. With an ERA of 3.29, Steven Matz has a 7-3 record and a 1.19 WHIP. He has 73 strikeouts over the 76.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 76 hits. He has allowed 8.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 2.94. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.42 and they have given up 201 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .228 against the Mets bullpen while being struck out 239 times and walking 88 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 8.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.37. The Mets pitchers as a team have surrendered 645 base knocks and 251 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 61 home runs this year and they give up 0.8 home runs per nine innings as a staff. New York as a staff has walked 186 hitters and struck out 646. They give up a walk 2.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.23 while their FIP as a staff is 3.30.
As a team, they are batting .234, good for 30th in the league while putting together a .220 average at home. The Mets hold a .401 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .306 which is good for 26th in baseball. They rank 29th in baseball with 7.74 hits per contest. Asdrubal Cabrera comes into this matchup batting .263 and he has an OBP of .323. He has 73 hits this year along with 30 runs scored and 24 RBI. He's struck out 60 times and has walked on 19 occasions. Yoenis Cespedes is hitting .290 and he has an OBP of .360. He has collected 73 hits so far while he's scored 39 runs and drove in 45. He has earned a walk 27 times and has punched out 66 times. The Mets as a unit have 588 base hits, including 115 doubles and 96 homers. They have 15 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 9 times. New York as a team has walked 240 times this year and they have struck out 662 times. They've had 518 men left on base and have an OPS of .707. They score 3.61 runs per game and have totaled 274 runs so far this season.
Chicago Cubs Betting Trends
The Chicago Cubs are 38-35-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Chicago Cubs are 43-33-0 against the run line so far this season
New York Mets Betting Trends
The New York Mets are 35-40-1 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Mets are 29-47-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
06/21/16 P Clayton Richard Finger 15-day DL (6/21)
06/20/16 CF Dexter Fowler Hamstring 15-day DL (6/19)
06/09/16 2B Tommy La Stella Hamstring 15-day DL (6/8)
06/07/16 LF Jorge Soler Hamstring 15-day DL (6/6)
05/18/16 P Joe Nathan Elbow 60-day DL (5/17)
04/08/16 C Kyle Schwarber Knee 60-day DL (4/8); out for season
04/04/16 P Aaron Brooks Hip 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 3B Christian Villanueva Fibula 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Dallas Beeler Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Zac Rosscup Shoulder 60-day DL (2/25)
New York Mets
06/28/16 P Steven Matz Elbow expected to start Thursday vs Chicago Cubs
06/28/16 RF Curtis Granderson Calf injured last game, "?" Wednesday vs. Washington Nationals
06/22/16 P Jim Henderson Bicep 15-day DL (6/19)
06/16/16 CF Juan Lagares Thumb 15-day DL (6/15)
06/03/16 3B David Wright Neck 15-day DL (5/30)
05/24/16 1B Lucas Duda Back 15-day DL (5/21)
04/04/16 P Zack Wheeler Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Tony's Pick: Take the Mets
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