Saturday, July 2, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Jake Arrieta vs. Bartolo Colon
The Chicago Cubs head to Citi Field on Saturday to take on the New York Mets. The probable pitchers are Jake Arrieta for the Cubs and Bartolo Colon for the Mets. The opening line for this game has Chicago at -185 and New York at +175. The over/under is 7. The Cubs have a 39-36-3 over/under mark and a 44-34-0 run line record, meaning they cover 56% of the time. The Mets are 30-48-0 against the run line and have a 35-42-1 over/under record. They cover the spread 39% of the time.
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The Cubs head into this game with a 51-27 record, and they are 26-16 on the road. Starting pitcher Jake Arrieta has a 12-2 record with an ERA of 2.10 and a WHIP of 1.02. He has 111 strikeouts during his 103 innings pitched and he has given up 65 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 5.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.77. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.46 and they have allowed 163 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .205 against the pen while they've been struck out 221 times and walked 91 times this year. As a unit, Chicago has given up 6.68 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.86 hitters per nine. They are 1st in the Majors in team earned run average at 2.80. The Cubs pitchers have collectively given up 526 base hits and 224 earned runs. They have allowed 65 home runs this season and they allow 0.8 homers per nine innings as a staff. Chicago as a pitching staff has walked 236 batters and struck out 695. They walk 3 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.08 and their FIP as a unit is 3.53.
As a team, Chicago is hitting .255, good for 15th in the league while putting together a .265 average on the road. The Cubs have a .434 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .349 which is good for 2nd in the league. They rank 16th in baseball with 8.67 hits per contest. Anthony Rizzo comes into this game hitting .284 and his on-base percentage is at .407. He has 76 hits this season along with 46 runs scored and 58 runs batted in. He's struck out 44 times and has walked 46 times. Kris Bryant is hitting .279 and he has an on-base percentage of .369. He has totaled 83 hits so far while scoring 62 runs and he's driven in 60. He has walked 36 times and has struck out 79 times. The Cubs have 676 hits, including 144 doubles and 104 home runs. They've stolen 30 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 18 times. Chicago has walked 341 times this season and they've struck out 675 times as a unit. They've left 582 men on base and have a team OPS of .783. They score 5.32 runs per contest and have scored a total of 415 runs so far this year.
New York comes into this game with a 20-16 home mark and a 41-37 overall record. With an ERA of 2.86, Bartolo Colon has a 6-4 record and a 1.17 WHIP. He has 58 strikeouts over the 88 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 89 hits. He has allowed 9.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.69. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.40 and they have given up 204 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .225 against the Mets bullpen while being struck out 246 times and walking 92 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 8.57 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.57 batters per nine. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.38. The Mets pitchers as a team have surrendered 659 base knocks and 258 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 65 home runs this year and they give up 0.8 home runs per nine innings as a staff. New York as a staff has walked 197 hitters and struck out 660. They give up a walk 2.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.24 while their FIP as a staff is 3.39.
As a team, they are batting .232, good for 30th in the league while putting together a .219 average at home. The Mets hold a .399 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .305 which is good for 26th in baseball. They rank 30th in baseball with 7.69 hits per contest. Asdrubal Cabrera comes into this matchup batting .259 and he has an OBP of .318. He has 74 hits this year along with 30 runs scored and 24 RBI. He's struck out 62 times and has walked on 19 occasions. Yoenis Cespedes is hitting .288 and he has an OBP of .357. He has collected 75 hits so far while he's scored 41 runs and drove in 46. He has earned a walk 27 times and has punched out 71 times. The Mets as a unit have 600 base hits, including 117 doubles and 98 homers. They have 15 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 9 times. New York as a team has walked 244 times this year and they have struck out 683 times. They've had 529 men left on base and have an OPS of .703. They score 3.59 runs per game and have totaled 280 runs so far this season.
Chicago Cubs Betting Trends
The Chicago Cubs are 39-36-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Chicago Cubs are 44-34-0 against the run line so far this season
New York Mets Betting Trends
The New York Mets are 35-42-1 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Mets are 30-48-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
07/01/16 RF Jason Heyward Side probable Friday vs. New York Mets
06/21/16 P Clayton Richard Finger 15-day DL (6/21)
06/20/16 CF Dexter Fowler Hamstring 15-day DL (6/19)
06/09/16 2B Tommy La Stella Hamstring 15-day DL (6/8)
06/07/16 LF Jorge Soler Hamstring 15-day DL (6/6)
05/18/16 P Joe Nathan Elbow 60-day DL (5/17)
04/08/16 C Kyle Schwarber Knee 60-day DL (4/8); out for season
04/04/16 P Aaron Brooks Hip 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 3B Christian Villanueva Fibula 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Dallas Beeler Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Zac Rosscup Shoulder 60-day DL (2/25)
New York Mets
06/30/16 RF Curtis Granderson Calf out indefinitely
06/22/16 P Jim Henderson Bicep 15-day DL (6/19)
06/16/16 CF Juan Lagares Thumb 15-day DL (6/15)
06/03/16 3B David Wright Neck 15-day DL (5/30)
05/24/16 1B Lucas Duda Back 15-day DL (5/21)
04/04/16 P Zack Wheeler Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Josh's Pick: Take the Mets
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