Sunday, July 3, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Jon Lester vs. Noah Syndergaard
The Chicago Cubs head to Citi Field on Sunday to take on the New York Mets. The probable pitchers are Jon Lester for the Cubs and Noah Syndergaard for the Mets. The opening line for this game has Chicago at -110 and New York at +100. The over/under is 6.5. The Cubs have a 40-36-3 over/under mark and a 44-35-0 run line record, meaning they cover 56% of the time. The Mets are 31-48-0 against the run line and have a 36-42-1 over/under record. They cover the spread 39% of the time.
The Cubs head into this game with a 51-28 record, and they are 26-17 on the road. Starting pitcher Jon Lester has a 9-3 record with an ERA of 2.03 and a WHIP of 0.97. He has 103 strikeouts during his 106.1 innings pitched and he has given up 79 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 6.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.33. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.40 and they have allowed 166 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .204 against the pen while they've been struck out 224 times and walked 93 times this year. As a unit, Chicago has given up 6.76 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.84 hitters per nine. They are 1st in the Majors in team earned run average at 2.90. The Cubs pitchers have collectively given up 538 base hits and 234 earned runs. They have allowed 70 home runs this season and they allow 0.9 homers per nine innings as a staff. Chicago as a pitching staff has walked 240 batters and struck out 701. They walk 3 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.09 and their FIP as a unit is 3.61.
As a team, Chicago is hitting .254, good for 15th in the league while putting together a .263 average on the road. The Cubs have a .433 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .348 which is good for 2nd in the league. They rank 15th in baseball with 8.63 hits per contest. Anthony Rizzo comes into this game hitting .279 and his on-base percentage is at .402. He has 76 hits this season along with 46 runs scored and 58 runs batted in. He's struck out 46 times and has walked 46 times. Kris Bryant is hitting .279 and he has an on-base percentage of .371. He has totaled 84 hits so far while scoring 63 runs and he's driven in 61. He has walked 37 times and has struck out 80 times. The Cubs have 682 hits, including 145 doubles and 105 home runs. They've stolen 31 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 18 times. Chicago has walked 343 times this season and they've struck out 687 times as a unit. They've left 589 men on base and have a team OPS of .780. They score 5.28 runs per contest and have scored a total of 417 runs so far this year.
New York comes into this game with a 21-16 home mark and a 42-37 overall record. With an ERA of 2.49, Noah Syndergaard has a 8-3 record and a 1.06 WHIP. He has 115 strikeouts over the 94 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 85 hits. He has allowed 8.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 1.91. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.35 and they have given up 207 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .225 against the Mets bullpen while being struck out 251 times and walking 93 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 8.53 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.61 batters per nine. They are 4th in the league in team earned run average at 3.34. The Mets pitchers as a team have surrendered 665 base knocks and 259 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 66 home runs this year and they give up 0.8 home runs per nine innings as a staff. New York as a staff has walked 199 hitters and struck out 672. They give up a walk 2.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.23 while their FIP as a staff is 3.38.
As a team, they are batting .234, good for 30th in the league while putting together a .223 average at home. The Mets hold a .404 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .306 which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 30th in baseball with 7.75 hits per contest. Asdrubal Cabrera comes into this matchup batting .262 and he has an OBP of .321. He has 76 hits this year along with 32 runs scored and 27 RBI. He's struck out 63 times and has walked on 19 occasions. Yoenis Cespedes is hitting .292 and he has an OBP of .361. He has collected 77 hits so far while he's scored 43 runs and drove in 47. He has earned a walk 28 times and has punched out 71 times. The Mets as a unit have 612 base hits, including 118 doubles and 103 homers. They have 15 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 9 times. New York as a team has walked 248 times this year and they have struck out 689 times. They've had 535 men left on base and have an OPS of .710. They score 3.67 runs per game and have totaled 290 runs so far this season.
Chicago Cubs Betting Trends
The Chicago Cubs are 40-36-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Chicago Cubs are 44-35-0 against the run line so far this season
New York Mets Betting Trends
The New York Mets are 36-42-1 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Mets are 31-48-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
06/21/16 P Clayton Richard Finger 15-day DL (6/21)
06/20/16 CF Dexter Fowler Hamstring 15-day DL (6/19)
06/09/16 2B Tommy La Stella Hamstring 15-day DL (6/8)
06/07/16 LF Jorge Soler Hamstring 15-day DL (6/6)
05/18/16 P Joe Nathan Elbow 60-day DL (5/17)
04/08/16 C Kyle Schwarber Knee 60-day DL (4/8); out for season
04/04/16 P Aaron Brooks Hip 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 3B Christian Villanueva Fibula 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Dallas Beeler Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Zac Rosscup Shoulder 60-day DL (2/25)
New York Mets
06/30/16 RF Curtis Granderson Calf out indefinitely
06/22/16 P Jim Henderson Bicep 15-day DL (6/19)
06/16/16 CF Juan Lagares Thumb 15-day DL (6/15)
06/03/16 3B David Wright Neck 15-day DL (5/30), likely out for season
05/24/16 1B Lucas Duda Back 15-day DL (5/21)
04/04/16 P Zack Wheeler Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Josh's Pick: Take the Mets
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