Friday, July 8, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Jake Arrieta vs. Chad Kuhl
The Chicago Cubs visit PNC Park on Friday to play the Pittsburgh Pirates. The probable starters are Jake Arrieta for the Cubs and Chad Kuhl for the Pirates. The opening line for this matchup has Chicago at -195 and Pittsburgh at +184. The over/under was set at 8. The Cubs have a 43-37-4 over/under record and a 45-39-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 54% of the time. The Pirates are 42-43-0 against the run line and have a 51-33-1 over/under record. They cover the spread 49% of the time.
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The Cubs head into this matchup with a 52-32 record, including 26-19 on the road. Starting pitcher Jake Arrieta has a 12-3 record with an earned run average of 2.33 and a WHIP of 1.06. He has 115 strikeouts over his 108.1 innings pitched and he has given up 73 hits so far this season. He has allowed 6.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.9. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.72 and they have given up 193 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .215 against the bullpen while being struck out 242 times and walking 101 times this season. As a team, Chicago has allowed 7.05 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.76 batters per nine. They are 1st in the league in team earned run average at 3.14. The Cubs pitchers have collectively given up 595 base hits and 268 earned runs. They have allowed 82 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Chicago as a pitching staff has walked 257 batters and struck out 737. They walk 3.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.13 and their FIP as a unit is 3.79.
As a team, Chicago is batting .254, good for 15th in the league while putting together a .262 average away from home. The Cubs hold a .435 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .347 which is good for 2nd in baseball. They rank 15th in baseball with 8.64 hits per game. Anthony Rizzo comes into this game hitting .282 and his on-base percentage is at .402. He has 82 hits this season along with 50 runs scored and 61 runs batted in. He's struck out 53 times and has walked 48 times. Kris Bryant is hitting .278 and he has an on-base percentage of .369. He has totaled 88 hits so far while scoring 68 runs and he's driven in 64. He has walked 39 times and has struck out 85 times. The Cubs have 726 hits, including 150 doubles and 116 home runs. They've stolen 31 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 18 times. Chicago has walked 360 times this season and they've struck out 730 times as a unit. They've left 629 men on base and have a team OPS of .782. They score 5.25 runs per contest and have scored a total of 441 runs so far this year.
Pittsburgh comes into this matchup with a 22-19 home record and a 44-41 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.09, Chad Kuhl has a 1-0 record and a 1.36 WHIP. He has 7 strikeouts over the 11 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 11 hits. He has allowed 9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.17. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.75 and they have given up 280 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .248 against the Pirates bullpen while being struck out 240 times and walking 119 times this season. As a team, Pittsburgh has allowed 9.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.13 batters per nine. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.34. The Pirates pitchers as a team have surrendered 781 base knocks and 368 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 96 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Pittsburgh as a staff has walked 298 hitters and struck out 605. They give up a walk 3.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.41 while their FIP as a staff is 4.52.
As a team, they are batting .265, good for 10th in the league while putting together a .275 average at home. The Pirates hold a .412 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .337 which is good for 3rd in baseball. They rank 8th in baseball with 9.2 hits per contest. Starling Marte comes into this matchup batting .318 and he has an OBP of .362. He has 96 hits this year along with 45 runs scored and 31 RBI. He's struck out 69 times and has walked on 11 occasions. Gregory Polanco is hitting .291 and he has an OBP of .367. He has collected 85 hits so far while he's scored 50 runs and drove in 50. He has earned a walk 38 times and has punched out 69 times. The Pirates as a unit have 782 base hits, including 155 doubles and 80 homers. They have 63 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 22 times. Pittsburgh as a team has walked 279 times this year and they have struck out 708 times. They've had 632 men left on base and have an OPS of .749. They score 4.67 runs per game and have totaled 397 runs so far this season.
Chicago Cubs Betting Trends
The Chicago Cubs are 43-37-4 against the over/under so far this season
The Chicago Cubs are 45-39-0 against the run line so far this season
Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Trends
The Pittsburgh Pirates are 51-33-1 against the over/under so far this season
The Pittsburgh Pirates are 42-43-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
07/06/16 C David Ross Concussion 7-day DL (7/5)
07/03/16 2B Chris Coghlan Ribs 15-day DL (7/3)
06/21/16 P Clayton Richard Finger 15-day DL (6/21)
06/20/16 CF Dexter Fowler Hamstring 15-day DL (6/19)
06/07/16 LF Jorge Soler Hamstring 15-day DL (6/6)
05/18/16 P Joe Nathan Elbow 60-day DL (5/17)
04/08/16 C Kyle Schwarber Knee 60-day DL (4/8); out for season
04/04/16 P Aaron Brooks Hip 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 3B Christian Villanueva Fibula 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Dallas Beeler Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Zac Rosscup Shoulder 60-day DL (2/25)
07/06/16 P Jon Niese Knee probable Sunday vs. Chicago Cubs
07/04/16 C Chris Stewart Knee 15-day DL (7/2)
07/04/16 P Jameson Taillon Shoulder 15-day DL (6/30)
06/14/16 P Gerrit Cole Tricep 15-day DL (6/9)
06/11/16 C Francisco Cervelli Hand 15-day DL (6/10)
05/24/16 P Ryan Vogelsong Eye 60-day DL (5/24)
03/31/16 C Elias Diaz Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Josh's Pick: Take the Cubs
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