Friday, May 20, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Jake Arrieta vs. Jake Peavy
The Chicago Cubs visit AT&T Park on Friday to play the San Francisco Giants. The probable starters are Jake Arrieta for the Cubs and Jake Peavy for the Giants. The opening line for this matchup has Chicago at -200 and San Francisco at +185. The over/under was set at 6.5. The Cubs have a 22-14-2 over/under record and a 24-14-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 63% of the time. The Giants are 20-22-0 against the run line and have a 21-21-0 over/under record. They cover the spread 48% of the time.
The Cubs head into this matchup with a 28-10 record, including 14-4 on the road. Starting pitcher Jake Arrieta has a 7-0 record with an earned run average of 1.29 and a WHIP of 0.84. He has 55 strikeouts over his 56 innings pitched and he has given up 29 hits so far this season. He has allowed 4.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.61. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.32 and they have given up 69 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .185 against the bullpen while being struck out 117 times and walking 52 times this season. As a team, Chicago has allowed 6.32 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.01 batters per nine. They are 1st in the league in team earned run average at 2.59. The Cubs pitchers have collectively given up 245 base hits and 101 earned runs. They have allowed 27 home runs this season and they allow 0.7 homers per nine innings as a staff. Chicago as a pitching staff has walked 119 batters and struck out 348. They walk 3.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.05 and their FIP as a unit is 3.21.
As a team, Chicago is batting .258, good for 10th in the league while putting together a .272 average away from home. The Cubs hold a .426 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .361 which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 11th in baseball with 8.82 hits per game. Anthony Rizzo comes into this game hitting .259 and his on-base percentage is at .395. He has 36 hits this season along with 29 runs scored and 34 runs batted in. He's struck out 22 times and has walked 26 times. Kris Bryant is hitting .278 and he has an on-base percentage of .359. He has totaled 42 hits so far while scoring 27 runs and he's driven in 26. He has walked 17 times and has struck out 34 times. The Cubs have 335 hits, including 74 doubles and 44 home runs. They've stolen 22 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 10 times. Chicago has walked 191 times this season and they've struck out 297 times as a unit. They've left 305 men on base and have a team OPS of .787. They score 5.74 runs per contest and have scored a total of 218 runs so far this year.
San Francisco comes into this matchup with a 11-10 home record and a 24-18 overall mark. With an earned run average of 7.43, Jake Peavy has a 1-4 record and a 1.75 WHIP. He has 36 strikeouts over the 40 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 55 hits. He has allowed 12.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.76. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.01 and they have given up 114 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .259 against the Giants bullpen while being struck out 91 times and walking 39 times this season. As a team, San Francisco has allowed 9.14 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.99 batters per nine. They are 12th in the league in team earned run average at 3.84. The Giants pitchers as a team have surrendered 388 base knocks and 162 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 35 home runs this year and they give up 0.8 home runs per nine innings as a staff. San Francisco as a staff has walked 108 hitters and struck out 339. They give up a walk 2.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.30 while their FIP as a staff is 3.45.
As a team, they are batting .259, good for 9th in the league while putting together a .269 average at home. The Giants hold a .401 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .337 which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 10th in baseball with 8.88 hits per contest. Buster Posey comes into this matchup batting .274 and he has an OBP of .333. He has 37 hits this year along with 19 runs scored and 14 RBI. He's struck out 16 times and has walked on 13 occasions. Brandon Belt is hitting .301 and he has an OBP of .429. He has collected 41 hits so far while he's scored 20 runs and drove in 22. He has earned a walk 31 times and has punched out 28 times. The Giants as a unit have 373 base hits, including 63 doubles and 37 homers. They have 23 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 12 times. San Francisco as a team has walked 166 times this year and they have struck out 268 times. They've had 308 men left on base and have an OPS of .738. They score 4.48 runs per game and have totaled 188 runs so far this season.
Chicago Cubs Betting Trends
The Chicago Cubs are 22-14-2 against the over/under so far this season
The Chicago Cubs are 24-14-0 against the run line so far this season
San Francisco Giants Betting Trends
The San Francisco Giants are 21-21-0 against the over/under so far this season
The San Francisco Giants are 20-22-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
05/18/16 P Joe Nathan Elbow 60-day DL (5/17)
05/06/16 CF Matt Szczur Hamstring 15-day DL (5/3)
04/08/16 C Kyle Schwarber Knee 60-day DL (4/8); out for season
04/04/16 P Aaron Brooks Hip 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 3B Christian Villanueva Fibula 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Dallas Beeler Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Zac Rosscup Shoulder 60-day DL (2/25)
San Francisco Giants
04/22/16 SS Ehire Adrianza Foot 60-day DL (4/15)
04/19/16 P George Kontos Elbow 15-day DL (4/18)
04/15/16 P Sergio Romo Elbow 15-day DL (4/11)
Tony's Pick: Take the Giants
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