Sunday, May 22, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Kyle Hendricks vs. Madison Bumgarner
The Chicago Cubs visit AT&T Park on Sunday to play the San Francisco Giants. The probable starters are Kyle Hendricks for the Cubs and Madison Bumgarner for the Giants. The opening line for this matchup has Chicago at +130 and San Francisco at -140. The over/under was set at 7. The Cubs have a 23-15-2 over/under record and a 25-15-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 63% of the time. The Giants are 21-23-0 against the run line and have a 22-22-0 over/under record. They cover the spread 48% of the time.
The Cubs head into this matchup with a 29-11 record, including 15-5 on the road. Starting pitcher Kyle Hendricks has a 2-3 record with an earned run average of 3.51 and a WHIP of 1.05. He has 37 strikeouts over his 41 innings pitched and he has given up 34 hits so far this season. He has allowed 7.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.72. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.28 and they have given up 74 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .190 against the bullpen while being struck out 122 times and walking 54 times this season. As a team, Chicago has allowed 6.37 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.08 batters per nine. They are 1st in the league in team earned run average at 2.62. The Cubs pitchers have collectively given up 259 base hits and 107 earned runs. They have allowed 29 home runs this season and they allow 0.7 homers per nine innings as a staff. Chicago as a pitching staff has walked 125 batters and struck out 368. They walk 3.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.05 and their FIP as a unit is 3.22.
As a team, Chicago is batting .258, good for 10th in the league while putting together a .269 average away from home. The Cubs hold a .430 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .360 which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 11th in baseball with 8.8 hits per game. Anthony Rizzo comes into this game hitting .253 and his on-base percentage is at .392. He has 37 hits this season along with 29 runs scored and 34 runs batted in. He's struck out 23 times and has walked 28 times. Kris Bryant is hitting .277 and he has an on-base percentage of .358. He has totaled 44 hits so far while scoring 28 runs and he's driven in 30. He has walked 18 times and has struck out 36 times. The Cubs have 352 hits, including 77 doubles and 48 home runs. They've stolen 22 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 10 times. Chicago has walked 199 times this season and they've struck out 316 times as a unit. They've left 318 men on base and have a team OPS of .789. They score 5.72 runs per contest and have scored a total of 229 runs so far this year.
San Francisco comes into this matchup with a 11-11 home record and a 25-19 overall mark. With an earned run average of 2.45, Madison Bumgarner has a 5-2 record and a 1.18 WHIP. He has 71 strikeouts over the 58.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 51 hits. He has allowed 7.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.02. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.96 and they have given up 119 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .253 against the Giants bullpen while being struck out 97 times and walking 39 times this season. As a team, San Francisco has allowed 9.07 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.94 batters per nine. They are 13th in the league in team earned run average at 3.87. The Giants pitchers as a team have surrendered 403 base knocks and 171 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 38 home runs this year and they give up 0.9 home runs per nine innings as a staff. San Francisco as a staff has walked 110 hitters and struck out 353. They give up a walk 2.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.28 while their FIP as a staff is 3.48.
As a team, they are batting .258, good for 11th in the league while putting together a .265 average at home. The Giants hold a .396 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .334 which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 10th in baseball with 8.82 hits per contest. Buster Posey comes into this matchup batting .268 and he has an OBP of .323. He has 38 hits this year along with 19 runs scored and 15 RBI. He's struck out 17 times and has walked on 13 occasions. Brandon Belt is hitting .294 and he has an OBP of .421. He has collected 42 hits so far while he's scored 20 runs and drove in 22. He has earned a walk 32 times and has punched out 30 times. The Giants as a unit have 388 base hits, including 65 doubles and 38 homers. They have 27 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 12 times. San Francisco as a team has walked 170 times this year and they have struck out 287 times. They've had 323 men left on base and have an OPS of .730. They score 4.36 runs per game and have totaled 192 runs so far this season.
Chicago Cubs Betting Trends
The Chicago Cubs are 23-15-2 against the over/under so far this season
The Chicago Cubs are 25-15-0 against the run line so far this season
San Francisco Giants Betting Trends
The San Francisco Giants are 22-22-0 against the over/under so far this season
The San Francisco Giants are 21-23-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
05/21/16 RF Jason Heyward Hip expected to miss 3-5 days
05/18/16 P Joe Nathan Elbow 60-day DL (5/17)
04/08/16 C Kyle Schwarber Knee 60-day DL (4/8); out for season
04/04/16 P Aaron Brooks Hip 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 3B Christian Villanueva Fibula 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Dallas Beeler Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Zac Rosscup Shoulder 60-day DL (2/25)
San Francisco Giants
05/21/16 1B Brandon Belt Rest is not expected to be in the starting lineup Saturday vs. Chicago Cubs
05/21/16 RF Hunter Pence Rest is not expected to be in the starting lineup Saturday vs. Chicago Cubs
04/22/16 SS Ehire Adrianza Foot 60-day DL (4/15)
04/15/16 P Sergio Romo Elbow 15-day DL (4/11)
Josh's Pick: Take the Cubs
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