Saturday, August 13, 2016
For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here
Probable Pitchers: James Shields vs. Adam Conley
The Chicago White Sox head to Marlins Park on Saturday to take on the Miami Marlins. The probable pitchers are James Shields for the White Sox and Adam Conley for the Marlins. The opening line for this game has Chicago at +168 and Miami at -178. The over/under is 8.5. The White Sox have a 50-57-7 over/under mark and a 53-61-0 run line record, meaning they cover 47% of the time. The Marlins are 58-56-0 against the run line and have a 59-53-2 over/under record. They cover the spread 51% of the time.
The White Sox head into this game with a 54-60 record, and they are 25-34 on the road. Starting pitcher James Shields has a 5-14 record with an ERA of 5.43 and a WHIP of 1.55. He has 88 strikeouts during his 129.1 innings pitched and he has given up 145 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 10.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.58. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.79 and they have allowed 326 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .249 against the pen while they've been struck out 313 times and walked 170 times this year. As a unit, Chicago has given up 8.81 base hits per nine innings while striking out 7.74 hitters per nine. They are 12th in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.04. The White Sox pitchers have collectively given up 1,001 base hits and 459 earned runs. They have allowed 130 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Chicago as a pitching staff has walked 390 batters and struck out 880. They walk 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.36 and their FIP as a unit is 4.33.
As a team, Chicago is hitting .250, good for 18th in the league while putting together a .247 average on the road. The White Sox have a .396 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .313 which is good for 21st in the league. They rank 18th in baseball with 8.54 hits per contest. Jose Abreu comes into this game hitting .280 and his on-base percentage is at .335. He has 123 hits this season along with 41 runs scored and 61 runs batted in. He's struck out 90 times and has walked 29 times. Melky Cabrera is hitting .301 and he has an on-base percentage of .348. He has totaled 124 hits so far while scoring 47 runs and he's driven in 53. He has walked 31 times and has struck out 50 times. The White Sox have 972 hits, including 185 doubles and 114 home runs. They've stolen 52 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 27 times. Chicago has walked 324 times this season and they've struck out 910 times as a unit. They've left 784 men on base and have a team OPS of .709. They score 3.96 runs per contest and have scored a total of 452 runs so far this year.
Miami comes into this game with a 30-26 home mark and a 60-54 overall record. With an ERA of 3.70, Adam Conley has a 8-6 record and a 1.39 WHIP. He has 118 strikeouts over the 126.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 118 hits. He has allowed 8.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.11. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.78 and they have given up 332 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .231 against the Marlins bullpen while being struck out 400 times and walking 179 times this season. As a team, Miami has allowed 8.39 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.72 batters per nine. They are 10th in the league in team earned run average at 3.96. The Marlins pitchers as a team have surrendered 950 base knocks and 449 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 105 home runs this year and they give up 0.9 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Miami as a staff has walked 411 hitters and struck out 988. They give up a walk 3.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.34 while their FIP as a staff is 3.89.
As a team, they are batting .271, good for 3rd in the league while putting together a .256 average at home. The Marlins hold a .408 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .330 which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 2nd in baseball with 9.43 hits per contest. Martin Prado comes into this matchup batting .321 and he has an OBP of .374. He has 137 hits this year along with 54 runs scored and 50 RBI. He's struck out 49 times and has walked on 36 occasions. Christian Yelich is hitting .323 and he has an OBP of .393. He has collected 131 hits so far while he's scored 60 runs and drove in 67. He has earned a walk 46 times and has punched out 91 times. The Marlins as a unit have 1,075 base hits, including 200 doubles and 94 homers. They have 41 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 16 times. Miami as a team has walked 326 times this year and they have struck out 864 times. They've had 847 men left on base and have an OPS of .738. They score 4.27 runs per game and have totaled 487 runs so far this season.
Chicago White Sox Betting Trends
The Chicago White Sox are 50-57-7 against the over/under so far this season
The Chicago White Sox are 53-61-0 against the run line so far this season
Miami Marlins Betting Trends
The Miami Marlins are 59-53-2 against the over/under so far this season
The Miami Marlins are 58-56-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
Chicago White Sox
08/12/16 P Miguel Gonzalez Groin out indefinitely
08/10/16 RF Avisail Garcia Knee 15-day DL (8/7)
08/03/16 CF Charlie Tilson Hamstring 15-day DL (8/3)
07/27/16 2B Brett Lawrie Hamstring 15-day DL (7/22)
07/05/16 C Alex Avila Hamstring 15-day DL (7/6)
07/01/16 3B Matt Davidson Foot 60-day DL (6/30)
06/21/16 P Zach Putnam Elbow 15-day DL (6/21)
06/10/16 CF Austin Jackson Knee 15-day DL (6/10)
05/06/16 P Jacob Petricka Hip 60-day DL (5/2)
04/27/16 C Kevan Smith Pelvis 15-day DL (4/24)
08/11/16 RF Giancarlo Stanton Hip "?" Friday vs. Chicago White Sox
08/09/16 P A.J. Ramos Finger 15-day DL (8/6)
07/25/16 P Wei-Yin Chen Elbow 15-day DL (7/21)
07/06/16 1B Justin Bour Ankle 15-day DL (7/3)
07/01/16 P Bryan Morris Back 60-day DL (5/25)
05/15/16 P Kendry Flores Shoulder 15-day DL (5/15)
04/04/16 P Raudel Lazo Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
Guy's Pick: Take the Marlins
Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here
Read more articles by Guy Bruhn
Get all of Today's Free MLB Picks
Get all of Today's Expert MLB Picks