Friday, August 26, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Brandon Finnegan vs. Braden Shipley
The Cincinnati Reds visit Chase Field on Friday to play the Arizona Diamondbacks. The probable starters are Brandon Finnegan for the Reds and Braden Shipley for the Diamondbacks. The opening line for this matchup has Cincinnati at +100 and Arizona at -110. The over/under was set at 9.5. The Reds have a 69-47-10 over/under record and a 68-58-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 54% of the time. The Diamondbacks are 49-78-0 against the run line and have a 74-49-4 over/under record. They cover the spread 39% of the time.
The Reds head into this matchup with a 54-72 record, including 22-39 on the road. Starting pitcher Brandon Finnegan has a 8-9 record with an earned run average of 4.32 and a WHIP of 1.37. He has 106 strikeouts over his 141.2 innings pitched and he has given up 124 hits so far this season. He has allowed 7.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.6. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 5.04 and they have given up 437 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .248 against the bullpen while being struck out 416 times and walking 235 times this season. As a team, Cincinnati has allowed 9.11 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.64 batters per nine. They are 28th in the league in team earned run average at 4.97. The Reds pitchers have collectively given up 1,139 base hits and 622 earned runs. They have allowed 205 home runs this season and they allow 1.6 homers per nine innings as a staff. Cincinnati as a pitching staff has walked 500 batters and struck out 956. They walk 4 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.46 and their FIP as a unit is 5.31.
As a team, Cincinnati is batting .249, good for 22nd in the league while putting together a .244 average away from home. The Reds hold a .405 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .312 which is good for 23rd in baseball. They rank 25th in baseball with 8.39 hits per game. Zack Cozart comes into this game hitting .263 and his on-base percentage is at .313. He has 109 hits this season along with 61 runs scored and 46 runs batted in. He's struck out 71 times and has walked 30 times. Joey Votto is hitting .310 and he has an on-base percentage of .432. He has totaled 130 hits so far while scoring 80 runs and he's driven in 74. He has walked 91 times and has struck out 108 times. The Reds have 1,056 hits, including 214 doubles and 134 home runs. They've stolen 112 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 37 times. Cincinnati has walked 362 times this season and they've struck out 1,024 times as a unit. They've left 756 men on base and have a team OPS of .716. They score 4.48 runs per contest and have scored a total of 565 runs so far this year.
Arizona comes into this matchup with a 23-41 home record and a 53-74 overall mark. With an earned run average of 5.45, Braden Shipley has a 2-3 record and a 1.47 WHIP. He has 22 strikeouts over the 34.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 37 hits. He has allowed 9.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 6.09. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 5.19 and they have given up 460 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .271 against the Diamondbacks bullpen while being struck out 393 times and walking 209 times this season. As a team, Arizona has allowed 9.82 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.17 batters per nine. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.17. The Diamondbacks pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,245 base knocks and 656 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 162 home runs this year and they give up 1.3 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Arizona as a staff has walked 479 hitters and struck out 1,036. They give up a walk 3.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.2 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.51 while their FIP as a staff is 4.56.
As a team, they are batting .264, good for 6th in the league while putting together a .268 average at home. The Diamondbacks hold a .435 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .323 which is good for 15th in baseball. They rank 4th in baseball with 9.28 hits per contest. Paul Goldschmidt comes into this matchup batting .304 and he has an OBP of .422. He has 139 hits this year along with 85 runs scored and 78 RBI. He's struck out 113 times and has walked on 93 occasions. Jean Segura is hitting .319 and he has an OBP of .367. He has collected 161 hits so far while he's scored 79 runs and drove in 50. He has earned a walk 28 times and has punched out 80 times. The Diamondbacks as a unit have 1,179 base hits, including 230 doubles and 145 homers. They have 102 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 26 times. Arizona as a team has walked 358 times this year and they have struck out 1,116 times. They've had 890 men left on base and have an OPS of .758. They score 4.6 runs per game and have totaled 584 runs so far this season.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends
The Cincinnati Reds are 69-47-10 against the over/under so far this season
The Cincinnati Reds are 68-58-0 against the run line so far this season
Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Trends
The Arizona Diamondbacks are 74-49-4 against the over/under so far this season
The Arizona Diamondbacks are 49-78-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
08/25/16 SS Zack Cozart Achilles "?" Friday vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
08/04/16 P A.J. Morris Shoulder 15-day DL (6/16)
06/23/16 P Alfredo Simon Trapezius 15-day DL (6/22)
06/01/16 P Caleb Cotham Shoulder 15-day DL (5/29)
05/02/16 C Devin Mesoraco Shoulder 60-day DL (5/1); out for season
04/10/16 CF Yorman Rodriguez Hamstring 60-day DL (3/27)
08/25/16 CF A.J. Pollock Elbow 60-day DL (4/2); expected to be activated Friday
08/24/16 LF Yasmany Tomas Back "?" Thursday vs. Atlanta Braves
08/07/16 RF David Peralta Wrist 15-day DL (8/6), out for season
07/24/16 SS Nick Ahmed Hip 15-day DL (7/23); out for season
07/17/16 C Chris Herrmann Hamstring 15-day DL (7/17)
07/07/16 P Andrew Chafin Shoulder 15-day DL (7/4)
05/27/16 P Rubby De La Rosa Elbow 60-day DL (5/26)
Guy's Pick: Take the Reds
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