Saturday, August 27, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Anthony DeSclafani vs. Zack Godley
The Cincinnati Reds head to Chase Field on Saturday to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks. The probable pitchers are Anthony DeSclafani for the Reds and Zack Godley for the Diamondbacks. The opening line for this game has Cincinnati at -110 and Arizona at +100. The over/under is 9.5. The Reds have a 69-47-10 over/under mark and a 68-58-0 run line record, meaning they cover 54% of the time. The Diamondbacks are 49-79-0 against the run line and have a 74-50-4 over/under record. They cover the spread 38% of the time.
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The Reds head into this game with a 54-72 record, and they are 22-39 on the road. Starting pitcher Anthony DeSclafani has a 7-2 record with an ERA of 3.27 and a WHIP of 1.22. He has 75 strikeouts during his 85.1 innings pitched and he has given up 85 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.72. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 5.04 and they have allowed 437 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .248 against the pen while they've been struck out 416 times and walked 235 times this year. As a unit, Cincinnati has given up 9.11 base hits per nine innings while striking out 7.64 hitters per nine. They are 28th in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.97. The Reds pitchers have collectively given up 1,139 base hits and 622 earned runs. They have allowed 205 home runs this season and they allow 1.6 homers per nine innings as a staff. Cincinnati as a pitching staff has walked 500 batters and struck out 956. They walk 4 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.46 and their FIP as a unit is 5.30.
As a team, Cincinnati is hitting .249, good for 22nd in the league while putting together a .244 average on the road. The Reds have a .405 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .312 which is good for 24th in the league. They rank 25th in baseball with 8.39 hits per contest. Zack Cozart comes into this game hitting .263 and his on-base percentage is at .313. He has 109 hits this season along with 61 runs scored and 46 runs batted in. He's struck out 71 times and has walked 30 times. Joey Votto is hitting .310 and he has an on-base percentage of .432. He has totaled 130 hits so far while scoring 80 runs and he's driven in 74. He has walked 91 times and has struck out 108 times. The Reds have 1,056 hits, including 214 doubles and 134 home runs. They've stolen 112 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 37 times. Cincinnati has walked 362 times this season and they've struck out 1,024 times as a unit. They've left 756 men on base and have a team OPS of .716. They score 4.48 runs per contest and have scored a total of 565 runs so far this year.
Arizona comes into this game with a 23-42 home mark and a 53-75 overall record. With an ERA of 5.53, Zack Godley has a 4-2 record and a 1.40 WHIP. He has 42 strikeouts over the 57 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 62 hits. He has allowed 9.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.6. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 5.14 and they have given up 462 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .270 against the Diamondbacks bullpen while being struck out 395 times and walking 210 times this season. As a team, Arizona has allowed 9.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.18 batters per nine. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.15. The Diamondbacks pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,253 base knocks and 658 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 162 home runs this year and they give up 1.3 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Arizona as a staff has walked 484 hitters and struck out 1,045. They give up a walk 3.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.2 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.51 while their FIP as a staff is 4.55.
As a team, they are batting .263, good for 7th in the league while putting together a .266 average at home. The Diamondbacks hold a .433 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .322 which is good for 15th in baseball. They rank 4th in baseball with 9.23 hits per contest. Paul Goldschmidt comes into this matchup batting .304 and he has an OBP of .421. He has 140 hits this year along with 86 runs scored and 78 RBI. He's struck out 113 times and has walked on 93 occasions. Jean Segura is hitting .320 and he has an OBP of .368. He has collected 162 hits so far while he's scored 79 runs and drove in 50. He has earned a walk 29 times and has punched out 80 times. The Diamondbacks as a unit have 1,181 base hits, including 230 doubles and 145 homers. They have 102 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 26 times. Arizona as a team has walked 361 times this year and they have struck out 1,121 times. They've had 894 men left on base and have an OPS of .755. They score 4.57 runs per game and have totaled 585 runs so far this season.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends
The Cincinnati Reds are 69-47-10 against the over/under so far this season
The Cincinnati Reds are 68-58-0 against the run line so far this season
Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Trends
The Arizona Diamondbacks are 74-50-4 against the over/under so far this season
The Arizona Diamondbacks are 49-79-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
08/26/16 SS Zack Cozart Achilles is downgraded to doubtful Friday vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
08/04/16 P A.J. Morris Shoulder 15-day DL (6/16)
06/23/16 P Alfredo Simon Trapezius 15-day DL (6/22)
06/01/16 P Caleb Cotham Shoulder 15-day DL (5/29)
05/02/16 C Devin Mesoraco Shoulder 60-day DL (5/1); out for season
04/10/16 CF Yorman Rodriguez Hamstring 60-day DL (3/27)
08/26/16 LF Yasmany Tomas Back is upgraded to probable Friday vs. Cincinnati Reds
08/25/16 CF A.J. Pollock Elbow 60-day DL (4/2); expected to be activated & start Friday vs. Cincinnati Reds
08/07/16 RF David Peralta Wrist 15-day DL (8/6), out for season
07/24/16 SS Nick Ahmed Hip 15-day DL (7/23); out for season
07/17/16 C Chris Herrmann Hamstring 15-day DL (7/17)
07/07/16 P Andrew Chafin Shoulder 15-day DL (7/4)
05/27/16 P Rubby De La Rosa Elbow 60-day DL (5/26)
Tony's Pick: Take the Diamondbacks
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