Sunday, August 28, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Homer Bailey vs. Archie Bradley
The Cincinnati Reds visit Chase Field on Sunday to play the Arizona Diamondbacks. The probable starters are Homer Bailey for the Reds and Archie Bradley for the Diamondbacks. The opening line for this matchup has Cincinnati at +100 and Arizona at -110. The over/under was set at 9.5. The Reds have a 69-48-10 over/under record and a 69-58-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 54% of the time. The Diamondbacks are 49-80-0 against the run line and have a 74-51-4 over/under record. They cover the spread 38% of the time.
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The Reds head into this matchup with a 54-73 record, including 22-40 on the road. Starting pitcher Homer Bailey has a 2-2 record with an earned run average of 5.73 and a WHIP of 1.68. He has 27 strikeouts over his 22 innings pitched and he has given up 30 hits so far this season. He has allowed 12.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.1. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 5.02 and they have given up 441 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .248 against the bullpen while being struck out 417 times and walking 238 times this season. As a team, Cincinnati has allowed 9.08 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.67 batters per nine. They are 28th in the league in team earned run average at 4.96. The Reds pitchers have collectively given up 1,146 base hits and 626 earned runs. They have allowed 206 home runs this season and they allow 1.6 homers per nine innings as a staff. Cincinnati as a pitching staff has walked 505 batters and struck out 969. They walk 4 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.45 and their FIP as a unit is 5.29.
As a team, Cincinnati is batting .249, good for 22nd in the league while putting together a .245 average away from home. The Reds hold a .405 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .312 which is good for 24th in baseball. They rank 25th in baseball with 8.42 hits per game. Zack Cozart comes into this game hitting .265 and his on-base percentage is at .315. He has 110 hits this season along with 61 runs scored and 46 runs batted in. He's struck out 71 times and has walked 30 times. Joey Votto is hitting .310 and he has an on-base percentage of .435. He has totaled 131 hits so far while scoring 80 runs and he's driven in 74. He has walked 94 times and has struck out 108 times. The Reds have 1,068 hits, including 217 doubles and 134 home runs. They've stolen 112 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 37 times. Cincinnati has walked 368 times this season and they've struck out 1,028 times as a unit. They've left 769 men on base and have a team OPS of .717. They score 4.47 runs per contest and have scored a total of 568 runs so far this year.
Arizona comes into this matchup with a 24-42 home record and a 54-75 overall mark. With an earned run average of 5.06, Archie Bradley has a 4-8 record and a 1.57 WHIP. He has 101 strikeouts over the 105 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 111 hits. He has allowed 9.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.59. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 5.13 and they have given up 470 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .272 against the Diamondbacks bullpen while being struck out 398 times and walking 212 times this season. As a team, Arizona has allowed 9.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.13 batters per nine. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.12. The Diamondbacks pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,265 base knocks and 661 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 162 home runs this year and they give up 1.3 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Arizona as a staff has walked 490 hitters and struck out 1,049. They give up a walk 3.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.51 while their FIP as a staff is 4.55.
As a team, they are batting .262, good for 8th in the league while putting together a .264 average at home. The Diamondbacks hold a .432 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .321 which is good for 15th in baseball. They rank 4th in baseball with 9.21 hits per contest. Paul Goldschmidt comes into this matchup batting .305 and he has an OBP of .421. He has 142 hits this year along with 86 runs scored and 78 RBI. He's struck out 115 times and has walked on 93 occasions. Jean Segura is hitting .316 and he has an OBP of .365. He has collected 162 hits so far while he's scored 79 runs and drove in 50. He has earned a walk 29 times and has punched out 83 times. The Diamondbacks as a unit have 1,188 base hits, including 231 doubles and 146 homers. They have 104 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 26 times. Arizona as a team has walked 366 times this year and they have struck out 1,134 times. They've had 903 men left on base and have an OPS of .753. They score 4.57 runs per game and have totaled 589 runs so far this season.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends
The Cincinnati Reds are 69-48-10 against the over/under so far this season
The Cincinnati Reds are 69-58-0 against the run line so far this season
Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Trends
The Arizona Diamondbacks are 74-51-4 against the over/under so far this season
The Arizona Diamondbacks are 49-80-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
08/27/16 SS Zack Cozart Achilles probable Saturday vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
08/04/16 P A.J. Morris Shoulder 15-day DL (6/16)
06/23/16 P Alfredo Simon Trapezius 15-day DL (6/22)
06/01/16 P Caleb Cotham Shoulder 15-day DL (5/29)
05/02/16 C Devin Mesoraco Shoulder 60-day DL (5/1); out for season
04/10/16 CF Yorman Rodriguez Hamstring 60-day DL (3/27)
08/07/16 RF David Peralta Wrist 60-day DL (8/6), out for season
07/24/16 SS Nick Ahmed Hip 15-day DL (7/23); out for season
07/17/16 C Chris Herrmann Hamstring 15-day DL (7/17)
07/07/16 P Andrew Chafin Shoulder 15-day DL (7/4)
05/27/16 P Rubby De La Rosa Elbow 60-day DL (5/26)
Josh's Pick: Take the Reds
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