Monday, June 13, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Daniel Wright vs. Aaron Blair
The Cincinnati Reds visit Turner Field on Monday to play the Atlanta Braves. The probable starters are Daniel Wright for the Reds and Aaron Blair for the Braves. The opening line for this matchup has Cincinnati at +105 and Atlanta at -115. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Reds have a 35-22-5 over/under record and a 33-29-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 53% of the time. The Braves are 25-36-0 against the run line and have a 27-28-6 over/under record. They cover the spread 41% of the time.
The Reds head into this matchup with a 24-38 record, including 7-20 on the road. Starting pitcher Daniel Wright has a 0-2 record with an earned run average of 7.20 and a WHIP of 2.00. He has 6 strikeouts over his 10 innings pitched and he has given up 19 hits so far this season. He has allowed 17.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.81. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 6.55 and they have given up 235 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .275 against the bullpen while being struck out 187 times and walking 124 times this season. As a team, Cincinnati has allowed 9.55 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.03 batters per nine. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.49. The Reds pitchers have collectively given up 577 base hits and 332 earned runs. They have allowed 102 home runs this season and they allow 1.7 homers per nine innings as a staff. Cincinnati as a pitching staff has walked 270 batters and struck out 425. They walk 4.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.56 and their FIP as a unit is 5.64.
As a team, Cincinnati is batting .242, good for 22nd in the league while putting together a .243 average away from home. The Reds hold a .419 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .297 which is good for 27th in baseball. They rank 26th in baseball with 7.94 hits per game. Zack Cozart comes into this game hitting .285 and his on-base percentage is at .313. He has 57 hits this season along with 32 runs scored and 25 runs batted in. He's struck out 29 times and has walked 8 times. Jay Bruce is hitting .276 and he has an on-base percentage of .330. He has totaled 58 hits so far while scoring 36 runs and he's driven in 44. He has walked 16 times and has struck out 47 times. The Reds have 491 hits, including 110 doubles and 76 home runs. They've stolen 39 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 22 times. Cincinnati has walked 145 times this season and they've struck out 516 times as a unit. They've left 321 men on base and have a team OPS of .715. They score 4.35 runs per contest and have scored a total of 270 runs so far this year.
Atlanta comes into this matchup with a 7-24 home record and a 18-43 overall mark. With an earned run average of 7.13, Aaron Blair has a 0-4 record and a 1.84 WHIP. He has 20 strikeouts over the 35.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 44 hits. He has allowed 11.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.49. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.33 and they have given up 200 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .248 against the Braves bullpen while being struck out 219 times and walking 97 times this season. As a team, Atlanta has allowed 8.67 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.79 batters per nine. They are 23rd in the league in team earned run average at 4.46. The Braves pitchers as a team have surrendered 529 base knocks and 272 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 69 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Atlanta as a staff has walked 207 hitters and struck out 475. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.34 while their FIP as a staff is 4.28.
As a team, they are batting .230, good for 29th in the league while putting together a .224 average at home. The Braves hold a .319 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .296 which is good for 28th in baseball. They rank 28th in baseball with 7.79 hits per contest. Nick Markakis comes into this matchup batting .243 and he has an OBP of .333. He has 54 hits this year along with 20 runs scored and 34 RBI. He's struck out 40 times and has walked on 30 occasions. Freddie Freeman is hitting .242 and he has an OBP of .337. He has collected 54 hits so far while he's scored 27 runs and drove in 18. He has earned a walk 29 times and has punched out 67 times. The Braves as a unit have 475 base hits, including 87 doubles and 25 homers. They have 27 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 16 times. Atlanta as a team has walked 175 times this year and they have struck out 479 times. They've had 433 men left on base and have an OPS of .615. They score 3.11 runs per game and have totaled 190 runs so far this season.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends
The Cincinnati Reds are 35-22-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Cincinnati Reds are 33-29-0 against the run line so far this season
Atlanta Braves Betting Trends
The Atlanta Braves are 27-28-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Atlanta Braves are 25-36-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
06/10/16 CF Billy Hamilton Concussion 7-day DL (6/9)
06/01/16 P Caleb Cotham Shoulder 15-day DL (5/29)
05/20/16 P Tim Adleman Oblique 15-day DL (5/20)
05/02/16 C Devin Mesoraco Shoulder 60-day DL (5/1); out for season
05/01/16 P Raisel Iglesias Shoulder 15-day DL (4/26)
04/10/16 CF Yorman Rodriguez Hamstring 60-day DL (3/27)
04/04/16 P Homer Bailey Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Michael Lorenzen Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
06/12/16 SS Erick Aybar Foot 15-day DL (5/28); expected to be activated Sunday vs. Chicago Cubs
06/08/16 P Williams Perez Rotator Cuff 15-day DL (6/7)
06/03/16 P Mike Foltynewicz Elbow 15-day DL (6/1)
06/02/16 3B Gordon Beckham Hamstring 15-day DL (6/2)
05/27/16 2B Hector Olivera Suspension 82 game suspension, eligible to return (8/1)
04/12/16 P Daniel Winkler Elbow 15-day DL (4/11)
04/04/16 P Andrew McKiraha Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Paco Rodrigue Elbow out for season
04/04/16 P Shae Simmons Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
Guy's Pick: Take the Reds
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