Cincinnati Reds at Atlanta Braves 6-14-2016 Free MLB Picks & Odds
by Josh Schonwald - 6/13/2016
Tuesday, June 14, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Brandon Finnegan vs. Julio Teheran
The Cincinnati Reds head to Turner Field on Tuesday to take on the Atlanta Braves. The probable pitchers are Brandon Finnegan for the Reds and Julio Teheran for the Braves. The opening line for this game has Cincinnati at +118 and Atlanta at -128. The over/under is 8. The Reds have a 35-23-5 over/under mark and a 33-30-0 run line record, meaning they cover 52% of the time. The Braves are 25-37-0 against the run line and have a 28-28-6 over/under record. They cover the spread 40% of the time.
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The Reds head into this game with a 24-39 record, and they are 7-20 on the road. Starting pitcher Brandon Finnegan has a 2-4 record with an ERA of 3.77 and a WHIP of 1.32. He has 53 strikeouts during his 76.1 innings pitched and he has given up 66 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 7.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.88. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 6.48 and they have allowed 243 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .277 against the pen while they've been struck out 192 times and walked 124 times this year. As a unit, Cincinnati has given up 9.63 base hits per nine innings while striking out 7.01 hitters per nine. They are 30th in the Majors in team earned run average at 5.50. The Reds pitchers have collectively given up 592 base hits and 338 earned runs. They have allowed 105 home runs this season and they allow 1.7 homers per nine innings as a staff. Cincinnati as a pitching staff has walked 272 batters and struck out 431. They walk 4.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.56 and their FIP as a unit is 5.66.
As a team, Cincinnati is hitting .242, good for 21st in the league while putting together a .243 average on the road. The Reds have a .416 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .297 which is good for 27th in the league. They rank 26th in baseball with 7.92 hits per contest. Zack Cozart comes into this game hitting .284 and his on-base percentage is at .312. He has 58 hits this season along with 32 runs scored and 25 runs batted in. He's struck out 29 times and has walked 8 times. Jay Bruce is hitting .271 and he has an on-base percentage of .325. He has totaled 58 hits so far while scoring 36 runs and he's driven in 44. He has walked 16 times and has struck out 49 times. The Reds have 498 hits, including 111 doubles and 76 home runs. They've stolen 39 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 23 times. Cincinnati has walked 147 times this season and they've struck out 525 times as a unit. They've left 327 men on base and have a team OPS of .713. They score 4.3 runs per contest and have scored a total of 271 runs so far this year.
Atlanta comes into this game with a 7-25 home mark and a 18-44 overall record. With an ERA of 2.85, Julio Teheran has a 2-6 record and a 1.02 WHIP. He has 77 strikeouts over the 82 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 61 hits. He has allowed 6.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.13. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.66 and they have given up 212 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .255 against the Braves bullpen while being struck out 224 times and walking 101 times this season. As a team, Atlanta has allowed 8.79 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.82 batters per nine. They are 25th in the league in team earned run average at 4.58. The Braves pitchers as a team have surrendered 545 base knocks and 284 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 70 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Atlanta as a staff has walked 215 hitters and struck out 485. They give up a walk 3.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.36 while their FIP as a staff is 4.29.
As a team, they are batting .230, good for 29th in the league while putting together a .223 average at home. The Braves hold a .318 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .295 which is good for 28th in baseball. They rank 28th in baseball with 7.77 hits per contest. Nick Markakis comes into this matchup batting .244 and he has an OBP of .336. He has 55 hits this year along with 20 runs scored and 34 RBI. He's struck out 40 times and has walked on 31 occasions. Freddie Freeman is hitting .242 and he has an OBP of .336. He has collected 55 hits so far while he's scored 27 runs and drove in 18. He has earned a walk 29 times and has punched out 68 times. The Braves as a unit have 482 base hits, including 89 doubles and 25 homers. They have 29 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 16 times. Atlanta as a team has walked 176 times this year and they have struck out 487 times. They've had 440 men left on base and have an OPS of .613. They score 3.1 runs per game and have totaled 192 runs so far this season.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends
The Cincinnati Reds are 35-23-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Cincinnati Reds are 33-30-0 against the run line so far this season
Atlanta Braves Betting Trends
The Atlanta Braves are 28-28-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Atlanta Braves are 25-37-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
06/10/16 CF Billy Hamilton Concussion 7-day DL (6/9)
06/01/16 P Caleb Cotham Shoulder 15-day DL (5/29)
05/20/16 P Tim Adleman Oblique 15-day DL (5/20)
05/02/16 C Devin Mesoraco Shoulder 60-day DL (5/1); out for season
05/01/16 P Raisel Iglesias Shoulder 15-day DL (4/26)
04/10/16 CF Yorman Rodriguez Hamstring 60-day DL (3/27)
04/04/16 P Homer Bailey Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Michael Lorenzen Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
06/08/16 P Williams Perez Rotator Cuff 15-day DL (6/7)
06/03/16 P Mike Foltynewicz Elbow 15-day DL (6/1)
06/02/16 3B Gordon Beckham Hamstring 15-day DL (6/2)
05/27/16 2B Hector Olivera Suspension 82 game suspension, eligible to return (8/1)
04/12/16 P Daniel Winkler Elbow 15-day DL (4/11)
04/04/16 P Andrew McKiraha Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Paco Rodrigue Elbow out for season
04/04/16 P Shae Simmons Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
Josh's Pick: Take the Braves
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