Thursday, June 16, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Dan Straily vs. Matt Wisler
The Cincinnati Reds visit Turner Field on Thursday to play the Atlanta Braves. The probable starters are Dan Straily for the Reds and Matt Wisler for the Braves. The opening line for this matchup has Cincinnati at -118 and Atlanta at +108. The over/under was set at 8. The Reds have a 36-24-5 over/under record and a 34-31-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 52% of the time. The Braves are 26-38-0 against the run line and have a 29-29-6 over/under record. They cover the spread 41% of the time.
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The Reds head into this matchup with a 26-39 record, including 9-20 on the road. Starting pitcher Dan Straily has a 4-2 record with an earned run average of 3.15 and a WHIP of 1.13. He has 64 strikeouts over his 74.1 innings pitched and he has given up 52 hits so far this season. He has allowed 6.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.3. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 6.34 and they have given up 248 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .273 against the bullpen while being struck out 196 times and walking 129 times this season. As a team, Cincinnati has allowed 9.57 hits per nine innings while striking out 6.94 batters per nine. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.44. The Reds pitchers have collectively given up 607 base hits and 345 earned runs. They have allowed 107 home runs this season and they allow 1.7 homers per nine innings as a staff. Cincinnati as a pitching staff has walked 281 batters and struck out 440. They walk 4.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 6.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.56 and their FIP as a unit is 5.67.
As a team, Cincinnati is batting .240, good for 24th in the league while putting together a .239 average away from home. The Reds hold a .414 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .297 which is good for 27th in baseball. They rank 26th in baseball with 7.86 hits per game. Zack Cozart comes into this game hitting .278 and his on-base percentage is at .308. He has 59 hits this season along with 34 runs scored and 25 runs batted in. He's struck out 31 times and has walked 9 times. Jay Bruce is hitting .271 and he has an on-base percentage of .329. He has totaled 60 hits so far while scoring 38 runs and he's driven in 49. He has walked 18 times and has struck out 50 times. The Reds have 510 hits, including 113 doubles and 78 home runs. They've stolen 41 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 23 times. Cincinnati has walked 158 times this season and they've struck out 541 times as a unit. They've left 340 men on base and have a team OPS of .710. They score 4.35 runs per contest and have scored a total of 283 runs so far this year.
Atlanta comes into this matchup with a 7-27 home record and a 18-46 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.36, Matt Wisler has a 2-7 record and a 1.15 WHIP. He has 55 strikeouts over the 76.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 68 hits. He has allowed 8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.63. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.65 and they have given up 217 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .254 against the Braves bullpen while being struck out 229 times and walking 107 times this season. As a team, Atlanta has allowed 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.83 batters per nine. They are 25th in the league in team earned run average at 4.62. The Braves pitchers as a team have surrendered 557 base knocks and 296 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 72 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Atlanta as a staff has walked 226 hitters and struck out 501. They give up a walk 3.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.36 while their FIP as a staff is 4.32.
As a team, they are batting .230, good for 30th in the league while putting together a .224 average at home. The Braves hold a .320 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .296 which is good for 28th in baseball. They rank 28th in baseball with 7.77 hits per contest. Nick Markakis comes into this matchup batting .239 and he has an OBP of .328. He has 56 hits this year along with 21 runs scored and 34 RBI. He's struck out 40 times and has walked on 31 occasions. Freddie Freeman is hitting .248 and he has an OBP of .343. He has collected 58 hits so far while he's scored 29 runs and drove in 21. He has earned a walk 29 times and has punched out 70 times. The Braves as a unit have 497 base hits, including 92 doubles and 27 homers. They have 32 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 16 times. Atlanta as a team has walked 185 times this year and they have struck out 496 times. They've had 455 men left on base and have an OPS of .617. They score 3.14 runs per game and have totaled 201 runs so far this season.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends
The Cincinnati Reds are 36-24-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Cincinnati Reds are 34-31-0 against the run line so far this season
Atlanta Braves Betting Trends
The Atlanta Braves are 29-29-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Atlanta Braves are 26-38-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
06/14/16 C Jordan Pacheco Shoulder 15-day DL (6/13)
06/10/16 CF Billy Hamilton Concussion 7-day DL (6/9)
06/01/16 P Caleb Cotham Shoulder 15-day DL (5/29)
05/20/16 P Tim Adleman Oblique 15-day DL (5/20)
05/02/16 C Devin Mesoraco Shoulder 60-day DL (5/1); out for season
05/01/16 P Raisel Iglesias Shoulder 15-day DL (4/26)
04/10/16 CF Yorman Rodriguez Hamstring 60-day DL (3/27)
04/04/16 P Homer Bailey Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Michael Lorenzen Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
06/08/16 P Williams Perez Rotator Cuff 15-day DL (6/7)
06/03/16 P Mike Foltynewicz Elbow 15-day DL (6/1)
06/02/16 3B Gordon Beckham Hamstring 15-day DL (6/2)
05/27/16 2B Hector Olivera Suspension 82 game suspension, eligible to return (8/1)
04/12/16 P Daniel Winkler Elbow 15-day DL (4/11)
04/04/16 P Andrew McKiraha Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Paco Rodrigue Elbow out for season
04/04/16 P Shae Simmons Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
Josh's Pick: Take the Reds
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