Wednesday, July 6, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Anthony DeSclafani vs. Adam Warren
The Cincinnati Reds visit Wrigley Field on Wednesday to play the Chicago Cubs. The probable starters are Anthony DeSclafani for the Reds and Adam Warren for the Cubs. The opening line for this matchup has Cincinnati at +163 and Chicago at -173. The over/under was set at 8. The Reds have a 48-29-7 over/under record and a 41-43-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 49% of the time. The Cubs are 45-37-0 against the run line and have a 42-36-4 over/under record. They cover the spread 55% of the time.
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The Reds head into this matchup with a 30-54 record, including 12-29 on the road. Starting pitcher Anthony DeSclafani has a 2-0 record with an earned run average of 1.78 and a WHIP of 1.29. He has 23 strikeouts over his 30.1 innings pitched and he has given up 30 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.7. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 5.93 and they have given up 330 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .267 against the bullpen while being struck out 269 times and walking 170 times this season. As a team, Cincinnati has allowed 9.51 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.22 batters per nine. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.53. The Reds pitchers have collectively given up 797 base hits and 463 earned runs. They have allowed 147 home runs this season and they allow 1.8 homers per nine innings as a staff. Cincinnati as a pitching staff has walked 370 batters and struck out 605. They walk 4.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.2 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.55 and their FIP as a unit is 5.74.
As a team, Cincinnati is batting .237, good for 29th in the league while putting together a .241 average away from home. The Reds hold a .398 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .298 which is good for 29th in baseball. They rank 29th in baseball with 7.98 hits per game. Jay Bruce comes into this game hitting .268 and his on-base percentage is at .314. He has 81 hits this season along with 45 runs scored and 60 runs batted in. He's struck out 68 times and has walked 19 times. Brandon Phillips is hitting .249 and he has an on-base percentage of .289. He has totaled 75 hits so far while scoring 38 runs and he's driven in 30. He has walked 13 times and has struck out 42 times. The Reds have 669 hits, including 142 doubles and 93 home runs. They've stolen 58 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 29 times. Cincinnati has walked 222 times this season and they've struck out 705 times as a unit. They've left 474 men on base and have a team OPS of .695. They score 4.24 runs per contest and have scored a total of 356 runs so far this year.
Chicago comes into this matchup with a 26-11 home record and a 52-30 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.56, Adam Warren has a 3-1 record and a 1.40 WHIP. He has 18 strikeouts over the 25.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 22 hits. He has allowed 7.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.43. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.56 and they have given up 184 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .212 against the Cubs bullpen while being struck out 235 times and walking 96 times this season. As a team, Chicago has allowed 7 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.77 batters per nine. They are 1st in the league in team earned run average at 3.06. The Cubs pitchers as a team have surrendered 577 base knocks and 255 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 78 home runs this year and they give up 0.9 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Chicago as a staff has walked 247 hitters and struck out 720. They give up a walk 3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.12 while their FIP as a staff is 3.73.
As a team, they are batting .255, good for 15th in the league while putting together a .244 average at home. The Cubs hold a .434 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .348 which is good for 2nd in baseball. They rank 15th in baseball with 8.67 hits per contest. Anthony Rizzo comes into this matchup batting .282 and he has an OBP of .401. He has 80 hits this year along with 49 runs scored and 61 RBI. He's struck out 50 times and has walked on 46 occasions. Kris Bryant is hitting .279 and he has an OBP of .373. He has collected 86 hits so far while he's scored 67 runs and drove in 63. He has earned a walk 39 times and has punched out 82 times. The Cubs as a unit have 711 base hits, including 148 doubles and 111 homers. They have 31 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 18 times. Chicago as a team has walked 353 times this year and they have struck out 714 times. They've had 616 men left on base and have an OPS of .782. They score 5.28 runs per game and have totaled 433 runs so far this season.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends
The Cincinnati Reds are 48-29-7 against the over/under so far this season
The Cincinnati Reds are 41-43-0 against the run line so far this season
Chicago Cubs Betting Trends
The Chicago Cubs are 42-36-4 against the over/under so far this season
The Chicago Cubs are 45-37-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
06/23/16 P Alfredo Simon Trapezius 15-day DL (6/16)
06/01/16 P Caleb Cotham Shoulder 15-day DL (5/29)
05/20/16 P Tim Adleman Oblique 15-day DL (5/20)
05/02/16 C Devin Mesoraco Shoulder 60-day DL (5/1); out for season
04/10/16 CF Yorman Rodriguez Hamstring 60-day DL (3/27)
04/04/16 P Homer Bailey Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
07/04/16 3B Kris Bryant Leg injured last game, probable Tuesday vs. Cincinnati Reds
07/03/16 2B Chris Coghlan Ribs 15-day DL (7/3)
06/21/16 P Clayton Richard Finger 15-day DL (6/21)
06/20/16 CF Dexter Fowler Hamstring 15-day DL (6/19)
06/09/16 2B Tommy La Stella Hamstring 15-day DL (6/8)
06/07/16 LF Jorge Soler Hamstring 15-day DL (6/6)
05/18/16 P Joe Nathan Elbow 60-day DL (5/17)
04/08/16 C Kyle Schwarber Knee 60-day DL (4/8); out for season
04/04/16 P Aaron Brooks Hip 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 3B Christian Villanueva Fibula 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Dallas Beeler Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Zac Rosscup Shoulder 60-day DL (2/25)
Josh's Pick: Take the Reds
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