Monday, September 19, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Dan Straily vs. Jason Hammel
The Cincinnati Reds head to Wrigley Field on Monday to take on the Chicago Cubs. The probable pitchers are Dan Straily for the Reds and Jason Hammel for the Cubs. The opening line for this game has Cincinnati at +205 and Chicago at -235. The over/under is 8. The Reds have a 79-59-10 over/under mark and a 77-71-0 run line record, meaning they cover 52% of the time. The Cubs are 77-71-0 against the run line and have a 67-73-8 over/under record. They cover the spread 52% of the time.
The Reds head into this game with a 62-86 record, and they are 26-45 on the road. Starting pitcher Dan Straily has a 12-8 record with an ERA of 3.81 and a WHIP of 1.18. He has 145 strikeouts during his 172.2 innings pitched and he has given up 138 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 7.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.8. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 4.97 and they have allowed 520 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .250 against the pen while they've been struck out 478 times and walked 275 times this year. As a unit, Cincinnati has given up 9.09 base hits per nine innings while striking out 7.74 hitters per nine. They are 27th in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.89. The Reds pitchers have collectively given up 1,334 base hits and 718 earned runs. They have allowed 238 home runs this season and they allow 1.6 homers per nine innings as a staff. Cincinnati as a pitching staff has walked 588 batters and struck out 1,136. They walk 4 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.46 and their FIP as a unit is 5.26.
As a team, Cincinnati is hitting .253, good for 18th in the league while putting together a .250 average on the road. The Reds have a .407 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .315 which is good for 23rd in the league. They rank 20th in baseball with 8.56 hits per contest. Zack Cozart comes into this game hitting .252 and his on-base percentage is at .308. He has 117 hits this season along with 67 runs scored and 50 runs batted in. He's struck out 84 times and has walked 37 times. Joey Votto is hitting .313 and he has an on-base percentage of .428. He has totaled 157 hits so far while scoring 91 runs and he's driven in 85. He has walked 101 times and has struck out 116 times. The Reds have 1,266 hits, including 252 doubles and 152 home runs. They've stolen 124 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 45 times. Cincinnati has walked 420 times this season and they've struck out 1,182 times as a unit. They've left 914 men on base and have a team OPS of .721. They score 4.4 runs per contest and have scored a total of 651 runs so far this year.
Chicago comes into this game with a 52-22 home mark and a 94-54 overall record. With an ERA of 3.60, Jason Hammel has a 14-9 record and a 1.20 WHIP. He has 136 strikeouts over the 157.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 138 hits. He has allowed 7.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.44. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.49 and they have given up 335 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .209 against the Cubs bullpen while being struck out 471 times and walking 179 times this season. As a team, Chicago has allowed 6.85 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.87 batters per nine. They are 1st in the league in team earned run average at 3.09. The Cubs pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,022 base knocks and 464 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 155 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Chicago as a staff has walked 458 hitters and struck out 1,321. They give up a walk 3.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.11 while their FIP as a staff is 3.82.
As a team, they are batting .254, good for 17th in the league while putting together a .250 average at home. The Cubs hold a .427 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .342 which is good for 2nd in baseball. They rank 19th in baseball with 8.66 hits per contest. Kris Bryant comes into this matchup batting .296 and he has an OBP of .390. He has 165 hits this year along with 115 runs scored and 96 RBI. He's struck out 142 times and has walked on 70 occasions. Anthony Rizzo is hitting .290 and he has an OBP of .388. He has collected 155 hits so far while he's scored 88 runs and drove in 101. He has earned a walk 71 times and has punched out 97 times. The Cubs as a unit have 1,281 base hits, including 266 doubles and 184 homers. They have 57 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 32 times. Chicago as a team has walked 596 times this year and they have struck out 1,235 times. They've had 1,103 men left on base and have an OPS of .769. They score 4.96 runs per game and have totaled 734 runs so far this season.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends
The Cincinnati Reds are 79-59-10 against the over/under so far this season
The Cincinnati Reds are 77-71-0 against the run line so far this season
Chicago Cubs Betting Trends
The Chicago Cubs are 67-73-8 against the over/under so far this season
The Chicago Cubs are 77-71-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
09/17/16 SS Zack Cozart Knee "?" Sunday vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
09/16/16 CF Billy Hamilton Oblique 15-day DL (9/5)
09/16/16 P Cody Reed Back 15-day DL (9/5)
09/14/16 P Alfredo Simon Shoulder 60-day DL (9/12)
09/09/16 P Homer Bailey Bicep out indefinitely
06/01/16 P Caleb Cotham Shoulder 15-day DL (5/29)
05/02/16 C Devin Mesoraco Shoulder 60-day DL (5/1); out for season
04/10/16 CF Yorman Rodriguez Hamstring 60-day DL (3/27)
09/17/16 LF Jorge Soler Side "?" Sunday vs. Milwaukee Brewers
08/12/16 P Pedro Strop Knee 15-day DL (8/11)
04/08/16 C Kyle Schwarber Knee 60-day DL (4/8); out for season
04/04/16 P Aaron Brooks Hip 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 3B Christian Villanueva Fibula 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Dallas Beeler Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Zac Rosscup Shoulder 60-day DL (2/25)
Tony's Pick: Take the Cubs
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